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瑞银:施政报告未提减住宅印花税料地产股受压 但料恒基地产(00012)表现或跑赢同业
智通财经网· 2025-09-19 06:44
该行预期,地产商股价将因缺乏减税措施而轻微承压,但恒基地产(00012)表现或好过同行,因其受惠 于农地收回加速、补地价付款灵活性提升,以及市区重建项目获批更高容积率,现予"买入"评级,目标 价29港元。 至于领展房产基金(00823)与九龙仓置业(01997)可能逊于同行,因REIT互联互通进展有限,而且吸引旅 客的措施不足;分别予"买入"及"中性"评级,目标价为44.2港元及20港元。 智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,新一份《施政报告》未有如该行预期中削减住宅印花税,"房地 产互联互通"没有任何进展,亦没有REIT互联互通的时间表。符合该行预测的是,政府加速推进北部都 会区发展,并将3,000万至5,000万港元的豪宅投资纳入新资本投资者入境计划。对私人住宅市场而言, 政府未有推出公屋租置计划,并将居屋白表配额由60%降至50%,均属正面讯号。 ...
大行评级|瑞银:预期香港地产股将因缺乏减税措施而轻微承压 恒地或跑赢同业
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-18 03:59
Core Viewpoint - UBS indicates that the Hong Kong government's new Policy Address did not meet expectations regarding the reduction of residential stamp duty, and there has been no progress on real estate connectivity or a timetable for REIT connectivity [1] Group 1: Government Policy Impact - The government is accelerating the development of the Northern Metropolis and has included luxury home investments of HKD 30 million to 50 million in the new capital investment immigration scheme [1] - The absence of a public housing purchase plan and the reduction of the White Form allocation for subsidized housing from 60% to 50% are seen as positive signals for the private residential market [1] Group 2: Company Ratings and Expectations - Real estate developers' stock prices are expected to be slightly pressured due to the lack of tax reduction measures, but Henderson Land is likely to perform better than peers due to accelerated land resumption, increased flexibility in land premium payments, and higher plot ratios approved for urban redevelopment projects [1] - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for Henderson Land with a target price of HKD 29 [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties may face pressure due to lower dividend yield and the absence of stamp duty reduction, also receiving a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 96 [1] - Link REIT and Wharf Real Estate Investment may underperform peers due to limited progress on REIT connectivity and insufficient measures to attract tourists, receiving "Buy" and "Neutral" ratings with target prices of HKD 44.2 and HKD 20 respectively [1]