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蚂蚁双线申牌、京东沙盒测试 稳定币商机与挑战何在?
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming implementation of Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation on August 1 has sparked significant interest in the capital market, with major companies like JD.com and Ant Group preparing to apply for stablecoin licenses, indicating a growing trend towards stablecoin adoption in the region [1][2][6]. Industry Developments - JD.com has entered the second phase of testing for its stablecoin in Hong Kong, aiming to issue stablecoins pegged to the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) and US dollar (USD) [4]. - Ant Group's subsidiaries are also preparing to apply for stablecoin licenses, reflecting a broader trend among cross-border payment companies to explore stablecoin opportunities [1][2]. - The total market capitalization of stablecoins has exceeded $130 billion as of 2023, with projections suggesting it could surpass $250 billion by 2025 [2]. Regulatory Environment - The Hong Kong government has expressed its commitment to processing stablecoin license applications promptly after the regulation comes into effect, which is expected to enhance the region's status as a global virtual asset hub [1][6]. - The core regulatory requirements of the Stablecoin Regulation include a minimum registered capital of HKD 25 million, 100% quality liquid asset reserves, unconditional redemption mechanisms, and strict anti-money laundering obligations [7]. Market Opportunities - The stablecoin market is anticipated to experience accelerated growth as the regulatory framework matures, with potential structural opportunities arising in the Hong Kong stock market related to stablecoin issuance and technology provision [9][8]. - Companies like Changliang Technology are positioning themselves to provide technical services for stablecoin issuance and operation, indicating a growing ecosystem around stablecoin technology [5][4]. Payment Innovations - Stablecoins are seen as a solution to enhance payment efficiency in various sectors, including supply chain finance and cross-border trade, potentially reducing transaction costs significantly [6][10]. - The integration of stablecoins into payment systems could lower cross-border payment costs by up to 90%, with transaction times reduced to under 10 seconds [7]. Challenges and Considerations - Despite the growing interest, the commercial models for stablecoins are still in the exploratory phase, with challenges related to regulatory compliance and the need to demonstrate tangible value to the real economy [10][11]. - The dominance of existing stablecoins like USDT and USDC, which hold approximately 90% of the market share, poses a challenge for new entrants like Hong Kong's stablecoin [10][11].