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Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Cra America.Other people make friends. I'm just trying to make a little money. My job is not just to entertain, but to educate, to teach you.So call me at 1800 743 CBC. Tweet me, Jim Kramer. We have two economies.There's the tremendous economy with amazing growth, the one that's connected to artificial intelligence, and then there's the anemic economy connected to the consumer, which seems to deteriorate by the day. Oh, it's a stark contrast, but you can't r ...

Economic Overview - There are two contrasting economies: a thriving AI economy and a struggling consumer economy, with the latter deteriorating daily [2][19] - AI-related stocks have significantly contributed to market performance, accounting for 75% of S&P's returns and 80% of earnings growth since late 2022 [18] AI Economy - Intel, a semiconductor company, is reportedly seeking funds from Apple to re-enter the AI market, although this has not been confirmed [4][5] - Corewave has expanded its agreement with OpenAI, increasing its total contract value to $22.4 billion, highlighting the robust activity in the AI sector [8] - Meta is constructing a $10 billion data center in Louisiana, which will require significant energy resources, raising concerns about the impact on local consumers [9][10] Consumer Economy - CarMax reported disappointing results, with sales 6% below expectations, leading to a 20% stock plunge; the company may benefit from lower interest rates [12][13] - KB Home is reducing its home construction due to high interest rates, which are critical for the housing market [14][15] - Starbucks announced layoffs of 900 corporate workers and a 1% reduction in North American store count as part of a restructuring plan to improve profitability [16][17] Market Dynamics - The consumer-oriented part of the economy is weak, and without rate cuts, the situation is expected to worsen [19][23] - High interest rates are not a concern for AI companies, which often have substantial cash reserves [23] - Retailers are struggling with excess workforce and store counts, with only large players like Walmart able to compete effectively [21][22]

The main U.S. equity indexes bounced off their intraday lows Thursday, but extended their respective losing streaks to three. The short-term trend continued despite incoming data showing both consumers and businesses remain resilient drivers of economic growth.The Bureau of Economic Analysis said before the opening bell that its final estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product showed the U.S. economy grew by 3.8% from April to June, faster than the 3.3% it saw in the second reading."It only seems fit ...

All right. Uh let's uh let's move on to the broader markets. The S&P 500 is pacing for what would be at least if it maintained what it's doing right now, a third straight day of declining.Still, although we're very close to record levels, joining us with his outlook is Michael Caneritz. He's Piper Sandler's chief investment strategist. Nice to have you here, Michael.Thanks. Uh you write um that you expect improving EPS breath to take over after three years of PE expansion. Can you explain what that means an ...

In the fall of 2024, the Federal Reserve cut the Fed funds rate by a full 100 base points. Conventional wisdom suggests that lower short-term rates should drag down longerterm yields. But that's not what happened.The 10-year Treasury yield actually rose, going from 3.6% up to 4.7% over the same period. Analysts were quick to call the rate cuts premature, arguing that inflation hadn't been fully defeated and that the Fed was risking another wave by easing policy too soon. 10 months on, the bond market skepti ...

live. It's time now for the big picture. Let's welcome in the team from Charles Schwab.Joe Maza, head trading derivative strategist. Charles Schwab and Cooper Howard, director and fixed income strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research. Let's start with you, Joe.We've been talking about a lot of um a lack of breadth in this market. You know, concentration risk. There's just a handful of names that, you know, continue to help chug things along.Why is that important. Why are you watching that. Well, I I ...

Governor, welcome to the program, sir. We've got tons of time to talk about what's going to happen next. Your thoughts on the labor market, the balance of risk, the broader economy.I actually wanted to lead the conversation with this one. Governor, what was your experience like. I'm sure this was unexpected 12 months ago.What was it like walking into the room and was it different to what you expected. Good morning and thanks for having me. It's great to see you again.Look, you know, walking into the room, y ...

Market Overview - Investors are assessing the potential for rate cuts from the central bank to support a weakening labor market without triggering inflation [1][7] - The three major indexes and the small-cap Russell 2000 reached record highs simultaneously for the first time in years [1][7] - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that asset prices appear highly valued, suggesting caution in future policy decisions [1][2] Valuation Insights - Analysts noted that current S&P pricing reflects 23-24 times expected earnings, with a projected 15% annualized earnings growth over the next five years, which is considered high [2][8] - Some valuation measures for stocks are at their highest levels since 2021, with potential further increases reaching thresholds not seen since the internet boom [5][8] Sector Performance - The materials sector was the worst performer in the S&P 500, declining by 1.6%, with Freeport-McMoRan's stock plunging 17% due to a force majeure declaration at its Grasberg mine [5][8] - Conversely, the S&P 500 energy index rose by 1.2%, benefiting from higher crude prices, which reached a seven-week high following a surprise drop in U.S. crude inventories [8] Company News - Sales of newly constructed single-family homes in the U.S. unexpectedly surged by 20.5% in August [5][8] - Lithium Americas' shares nearly doubled to close at $6.01 after reports of potential government equity stake discussions [8] - Ongoing talks for a government loan exceeding $2.26 billion for Lithium Americas' Thacker Pass lithium project with General Motors, which saw a 2.3% stock increase [5][8] - Micron Technology's stock fell by 2.8% following its quarterly results [5][8] - Oracle's stock declined by 1.7% amid news of plans to raise $15 billion in corporate bond sales [8] Market Activity - Declining issues outnumbered advancers on both the NYSE and Nasdaq, with ratios of 1.88-to-1 and 1.35-to-1, respectively [6][8] - The S&P 500 recorded 21 new 52-week highs and 10 new lows, while the Nasdaq Composite saw 85 new highs and 55 new lows [6][8] - Trading volume on U.S. exchanges was 18.04 billion shares, slightly above the 17.75 billion average over the last 20 trading days [7][8]

Market Overview - The market showed signs of fatigue before Jerome Powell's speech, where he stated that stocks are "fairly highly valued," leading to a slight sell-off in the market [1][2][3] - Powell discussed the economic landscape, highlighting the balance between inflation risks and a weakening labor market, indicating that future rate cuts are not guaranteed and will depend on incoming data [2][3] Federal Reserve Commentary - The week has seen a consistent theme of multiple Federal Reserve speakers, with Mary Daly being one of the notable figures providing commentary [4][5] - The market is expected to digest comments from both Fed officials and the Trump administration, which could influence market sentiment [5] Housing Market Insights - Recent data indicates a modest increase in mortgage applications, with purchases up 0.3% this week, following a 2.9% increase last week, and an 18% increase year-over-year [6][7] - Refinances saw an 8% increase this week, down from 24.4% last week, but still up 42% year-over-year [7] - Mortgage rates are trending downwards, with conforming loans decreasing from 6.39% to 6.34% and jumbo loans from 6.48% to 6.44%, moving closer to the 6% mark [7] Upcoming Economic Data - New home sales are anticipated to be around 649,000 to 650,000, with existing home sales data expected the following day [8] - The market is also awaiting GDP and PCE data later in the week, along with jobless claims, as expectations grow for two more rate cuts from the Fed [8]