Surging energy prices, rising import costs and mounting stagflation concerns are pushing markets to consider that the Federal Reserve's next move could be a rate hike.Traders in the futures market pushed the probability of a rate increase by the end of 2026 to 52% Friday morning, the first time it has crossed the 50% threshold, according to the CME Group FedWatch tool.The move comes as global benchmark crude prices topped $110, adding to a series of developments this week signaling that inflation pressures ...

🇺🇸 NOW: Markets price in 12.4% chance of Fed rate hike at April 29 meeting, CME FedWatch shows. https://t.co/0nXzbHCFXR ...

🚨 THE FED RATE HIKE ODDS JUST SURPASSED RATE CUT ODDS FOR THE FIRST TIME:"A MONTH AGO NO ONE WOULD HAVE BELIEVED THIS"The Atlanta Fed's Market Probability Tracker now shows the odds of a rate hike exceeding the odds of a rate cut within the next 3 months. Cut probability collapsed from 60% in early February to just 16%. Hike probability has risen to 15% from single digits.The Fed held rates at 3.5% to 3.75% on Wednesday, signaled only one cut this year, and revised core inflation projections upward to 2.7%, ...

For those that want to argue the economy isn’t in a bad place&& household networth is all time high.You’re not wrong on the latter the household networth is all time high.But let’s actually look into the data.> top 1% holds 29% of all dollars> top 10% holds 69% of all dollars> bottom 50, half of America holds just 3.5% of all dollars.The rich are continuing to get richerWhile even the middle class are only continuing to lose.The average American is in a worse position.&& if we get a rate HIKE, we’ll see eve ...

The housing market is reminiscent of the “Big Short” set upRate Cut anticipation was a big factor for many people anticipating being able to buy a home…There aren’t many of those sub prime D- grade mortgages…But the reality is…Sellers outweigh buyers by an extremely large number.If rate cuts don’t happen, and instead we have a hike…You’re looking at mortgage rates over 8% here sooner than later.The inability to afford to own a home, even with prices declining, continues to grow.Easy (@EasyEatsBodega):Actual ...

Actually insane…From September 2025, the market was anticipating FOUR rate cuts.Now the market believes there will be a RATE HIKE in 2026.No cuts. https://t.co/D6aRvoOcl4Easy (@EasyEatsBodega):The economy is in serious trouble.> Job losses rising hand over fist.> Home sellers outnumber buyers by massive margin.> Fed rates now look likely to HIKE instead of CUT this year.The mid term elections are going to be a MASSIVE democratic sweep if the economy continues ...

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Global rates. The global bond selloff. We kind of understand what's going on here, but are we entering.In your view, a new era when it comes to the global bond trade. We're not overly concerned about it, particularly from a U.S. perspective. Right.If you think about what Japan is going through now with the, you know, be a little behind the curve catching inflation. We've been through that. We got through that five years ago.The best way to look at its real yields rate, inflation adjusted yields, not exactly ...

The Bank of England follows, leaving interest rates unchanged in a 9-0 vote and saying this all members stand ready to act to contain inflation and forecasting inflation at over 3% for the month of February. Net 3.5% for the month of March. And this is a problem not just for the UK.For the ECB as well. You know, it's notable that this was actually a unanimous decision because usually there are dissents on the Bank of England when you hear what the individual members have to say. It highlights just how much ...

Japan’s five-year government bond auction drew stronger demand than its 12-month average on receding expectations of a possible rate hike by the Bank of Japan amid ongoing uncertainties surrounding the Iran war https://t.co/8IOQ3pJ8F5 ...