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Soft market to drive lacklustre margins for P&C reinsurers in 2026: J.P. Morgan
ReinsuranceNe.ws· 2026-01-09 14:00
“Lacklustre margins” are expected in 2026 for property and casualty (P&C) reinsurers, mainly driven by price cuts during this year’s January 1 renewals and a softening trend for upcoming mid-year cycles, according to a recent J.P. Morgan report.Currently, there is increased capital in the market, fuelled by two years of robust returns at reinsurers, coupled with higher alternative capacity. This surplus is driving competition and downward pressure on pricing.Additionally, while the LA wildfires in the first ...
RenaissanceRe(RNR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-24 20:35
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a modest operating loss for Q1 2025, but a profit on a net GAAP basis due to diversification and favorable mark-to-market gains in the investment portfolio [18][19] - Tangible book value per share plus accumulated dividends increased quarter over quarter despite catastrophe losses and $380 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [19][31] - The annualized return on average common equity was reported at 7% despite significant insured losses [30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Underwriting income was significantly impacted, reporting a loss of $771 million, while net investment income remained strong at $45 million [32][33] - Property catastrophe gross premiums written increased by 24% to $1.7 billion, and net premiums written rose by 33% to $1.4 billion, driven by reinstatement premiums from the California wildfires [37] - The casualty and specialty combined ratio was reported at 111%, with an adjusted combined ratio of 109%, reflecting the impact of large events [45] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that the property market is in exceptional shape compared to historical standards, with increased rates and retentions since 2023 [96] - Demand for reinsurance in Florida is growing, with strong pricing expected due to increased risk moving back into the private market [100] - The casualty market is showing signs of improvement, with rates increasing and better claims management being observed [104][106] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to preserve margins while continuing to grow tangible book value per share in the current environment [27] - The focus remains on underwriting profitability and capital management, with a strategy to repurchase shares at attractive valuations [28][53] - The company is positioned to benefit from increased risk aversion in a volatile macroeconomic environment [92] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged unprecedented uncertainty in the economic environment but expressed confidence in the company's ability to outperform due to its anti-correlated business model [7][10] - The company expects to continue delivering value to shareholders and is well-positioned for midyear renewals [92] - Management highlighted the resilience of the investment portfolio and the potential for increased demand for reinsurance as volatility rises [16][92] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $360 million of shares during the first quarter and continued to repurchase shares at attractive prices during the recent market sell-off [28][52] - The Bermuda corporate income tax of 15% was implemented, resulting in a corresponding tax expense, but the company reported an overall income tax benefit of $45 million [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of California fires on midyear renewals - Management indicated that the property market is in exceptional shape, with increased rates and retentions since 2023, and expressed confidence in the upcoming renewals [96][100] Question: Changes in casualty specialty combined ratio guidance - Management noted that the casualty market is improving, with stable trends and strong rates, leading to a cautious but optimistic outlook for the combined ratio [103][106] Question: Proportion of third-party ownership of catastrophe volume - Management stated that the allocation to Da Vinci remains stable, with no significant changes expected in the near future [110][111] Question: Reserve releases and management of the other property segment - Management clarified that favorable development in reserves was a byproduct of their annual review process and not a targeted focus [115][116] Question: Confidence in casualty reserves amidst adverse developments - Management expressed confidence in their underwriting and reserving processes, highlighting a well-balanced portfolio despite some adverse developments in certain lines [120][122]