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Uber is 'Disrupting Itself Again,' Investing Profits In Grocery, Self-Driving Cars: Analyst
Benzingaยท 2025-11-05 17:50
Core Viewpoint - Uber Technologies, Inc is experiencing significant growth, with gross bookings increasing by 21% year-over-year, marking its fastest growth since 2023, driven by demand in Mobility and Delivery sectors [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Gross bookings rose 21% year-over-year on a constant-currency basis, with Delivery gross bookings increasing by 24% and Mobility rising by 19% [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA was near the high end of guidance but slightly below consensus, indicating a focus on reinvestment rather than margin expansion [4]. - Uber aims for mid-to-high-teens annual gross bookings growth, 30%-40% adjusted EBITDA growth, and over 90% free cash flow conversion through 2026 [6]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company is prioritizing long-term growth by investing in affordability programs, grocery and retail delivery, and autonomous vehicle development [1][5]. - Grocery and Retail gross bookings have reached a $12 billion annual run rate, growing faster than restaurant delivery [5]. - Uber is intentionally "disrupting itself" by reinvesting in major growth opportunities [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Moderate EBITDA margin expansion is expected by 2026 as Uber focuses on scaling new business lines [6]. - Early progress in autonomous vehicle operations is noted, with trip growth in cities like Austin and Atlanta exceeding the U.S. average [7]. - The partnership with NVIDIA suggests a preparation for an autonomous vehicle buildout, which may delay profitability for several years [7]. Group 4: Market Reaction - Uber's shares were down 1.48% at $93.31 at the time of publication [8].
Mondelez International(MDLZ) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-03 13:15
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reaffirmed its full year 2025 organic sales growth guidance of about 5% despite facing headwinds from U.S. retailer restocking and adverse weather conditions in Europe affecting chocolate demand [9][10] - For 2025, the company anticipates a reasonable top-line growth of 4% to 5% but expects a 10% decline in EPS, which is considered acceptable given the current cocoa circumstances [6][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales in North America declined approximately 3.5% year over year in the first half, attributed to retailer restocking and softer underlying trends [14][20] - The company is focusing on optimizing shopping trips and maximizing brand presence, particularly for Oreo, which has seen increased penetration but decreased purchase frequency [18][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, the company experienced higher elasticities than anticipated, with current levels around 0.6 to 0.7, compared to the expected 0.4 [28][29] - The cocoa supply situation is improving, with a 7% increase in cocoa pot counts in West Africa compared to the last five-year norm, suggesting potential price reductions in the future [31][32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The long-term strategy established in 2018 remains valid, focusing on building presence in key categories and supporting brand growth [5][6] - The company is exploring collaborations with other brands, such as Coca-Cola and Biscoff, to enhance product offerings and market presence [21][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumer spending has remained stagnant over the past 24 to 30 months, leading to cautious shopping behavior [15][16] - The outlook for North America is expected to remain challenging for the next 6 to 12 months, with consumers becoming increasingly careful in their spending [20] Other Important Information - The cakes and pastries category is projected to grow from $95 billion to approximately $125 billion by 2030, with the company aiming to enhance its position in this fragmented market [52][54] - The company is maintaining a disciplined approach to M&A, focusing on smaller assets that align with its strategic goals [48][50] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for North America in the next 6 to 12 months? - Management expects continued challenges in North America, with consumers remaining cautious and spending levels stagnant [20] Question: How does the company view current cocoa levels and supply dynamics? - The company believes current cocoa prices are unsustainable and anticipates a surplus in the market, leading to potential price reductions [30][32] Question: What is the strategy regarding M&A and share buybacks? - The company remains disciplined in M&A, focusing on smaller strategic assets, while being pragmatic about share buybacks given current stock prices [46][50]