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汇丰:贵金属_风险缓解,黄金随石油下跌;或现应激性反弹
汇丰· 2025-06-30 01:02
Precious Metals Precious Metals Daily Commodities Gold slides with oil as risks ease; knee Global -jerk bounce likely James Steel Chief Precious Metals Analyst HSBC Securities (USA) Inc. james.steel@us.hsbc.com +1 646 867 5600 Precious metals overview | | | Gold | Silver | Platinum | Palladium | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | prices USD/oz | AM fix | -- | -- | -- | -- | | | PM fix | 3,302.50 | 36.06 | 1,304.00 | 1,071.00 | | | Spot | -- | -- | -- | -- | | EFPs | Current | -- | -- | -- | -- | | Nyme ...
东吴证券晨会纪要-20250627
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-27 01:49
证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-06-27 [Table_Tag] 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观点评 20250624:Risk-off 阶段开启,risk-on 后转向成长 轮动变化的节奏来看,当前资金形态和风格节奏与 2024 年年初、2024 年 年末以及 2025 年 3 月末的风格轮动或有类似。初期均以 TMT 板块表现 为主,随后在量能逐步收窄的过程中,向上游资源、金融轮换,随后短期 向消费、制造板块和 TMT 等相对强势的板块略反弹,最后轮动回资源和 金融板块。当前宏观经济基本面相对 2024 年末和 2025 年 3 月末并未发 生根本性改变,后续的行业轮动变化的节奏可能延续前期的资金端行为 主导,经历过小盘的提升后,随着小盘轮动到极值,逐步向大盘价值、稳 定板块切换,短期以防御模式应对。 参考今年以来 ETF 净流入的方向, 防御模式下 A50、沪深 300 指数作为底仓,优先选择高股息中更为稳定 的银行、运营商、公用事业、家电龙头等稳定的板块进行防守。在政策力 度加强、市场明朗后,下一步的反攻方向优先选择筹码出清后的成长板 块,往政 ...
Risk-off阶段开启,risk-on后转向成长
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-24 01:35
证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观点评 宏观点评 20250624 Risk-off 阶段开启,risk-on 后转向成长 2025 年 06 月 24 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 海外波动加剧 中美关系的缓和与反复:虽然近期特朗普的关税政策有所缓和,但未来 仍存在继续加码的可能。关税是当初特朗普竞选总统时的重要承诺之 一,为了保证共和党在中期选举的席位,特朗普对待关税的态度始终摇 摆不定,通过反复的关税政策营造一种正在努力为铁锈区选民争取福利 的假象。向前看,尽管当期关税政策阶段性缓和,中美双方在技术、产 业政策和国家安全等领域的深层次分歧仍未解决,叠加特朗普反复无常 的关税政策,未来中美关系依旧面临较高的不确定性。 伊以冲突扩散引发全球地缘政治风险加剧:近期,以色列与伊朗之间的 冲突再度升级,成为全球关注的焦点。6 月 13 日开始,以色列对伊朗境 内的核设施和军事目标实施了大规模打击,此次冲突是 1979 年伊朗伊 斯兰革命以来双方最大规模直接军事对抗。以色列意图瘫痪伊朗核潜 力,伊朗则转向打击以经济命脉及领导层目标。至 6 月 21 日,美国空 袭伊朗三处核设施,进 ...
Iran Vows Retaliation for US Strikes, Trump Threatens More Attacks | Daybreak Europe 06/23/2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-23 07:06
>> GOOD MORNING. I AM, CAN IN LONDON. THESE ARE THE WORRIES THAT THAT YOUR AGENDA.THE WORLD AWAITS IRAN'S RESPONSE AFTER THE U.S. HITS NUCLEAR SITES IN THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC. PRESIDENT TRUMP WARNS OF REPERCUSSIONS FOR ANY RETALIATION. PRES.TRUMP: IRAN, THE BULLY OF THE MIDDLE EAST, MUST NOW MAKE PEACE. IF THEY DO NOT, FUTURE ATTACKS WILL BE FAR GREATER AND A LOT EASIER. >> OIL GAINS ON CONCERNS ABOUT SUPPLY DISRUPTION WITH THE FOCUS ON WHETHER IRAN WILL MOVE TO BLOCK THE CRUCIAL STRAIT OF HORMUZ.U.S. AND EUR ...
防御在前,反攻在后
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-23 03:35
证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观点评 宏观点评 20250623 防御在前,反攻在后 2025 年 06 月 23 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 海外波动加剧 中美关系的缓和与反复:虽然近期特朗普的关税政策有所缓和,但未来 仍存在继续加码的可能。关税是当初特朗普竞选总统时的重要承诺之 一,未来为了保证共和党在中期选举的席位,特朗普对待关税的始终摇 摆不定,通过反复的关税政策营造一种正在努力为铁锈区选民争取福利 的假象。向前看,尽管当期关税政策阶段性缓和,中美双方在技术、产 业政策和国家安全等领域的深层次分歧仍未解决,叠加特朗普反复无常 的关税政策,未来中美关系依旧面临较高的不确定性。 伊以冲突扩散引发全球地缘政治风险加剧:近期,以色列与伊朗之间的 冲突再度升级,成为全球关注的焦点。6 月 13 日开始,以色列对伊朗境 内的核设施和军事目标实施了大规模打击,此次冲突是 1979 年伊朗伊 斯兰革命以来双方最大规模直接军事对抗。以色列意图瘫痪伊朗核潜 力,伊朗则转向打击以经济命脉及领导层目标。至 6 月 21 日,美国空 袭伊朗三处核设施,进一步扩大了战争范围。在持续的打击下, ...
Gold and CHF Are Portfolio-Diversifiers: 3-Minute MLIV
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-19 08:28
On the day where we see nervousness in equity markets, probably driven by what we see in the in the Middle East and the potential for US involvement there. So European futures down, US futures down, but we will be without the liquidity there, of course, because we don't have U.S. trading. What are you watching when it comes to that overall risk appetite story.I think it's going to be an overall direction to stay. We've got some micro themes given all the central banks on tap. So it's going to be exciting fo ...
汇丰:年中展望_多资产方向
汇丰· 2025-06-16 03:16
11 June 2025 Mid-year outlook Multi-Asset Multi-Asset Direction H1 = uncertainty = risk-off in H2? H1 has been all about high levels of uncertainty, whether among companies, central banks or in politics. But when looking at past spikes in economic policy uncertainty, we find that risk assets typically rebound rather than suffer further. What's the next catalyst? One of the most frequent questions we're currently getting is what the next upside catalyst will be. Persistently subdued sentiment and positioning ...
Bitcoin hit new record because it became less risky, says Swan CIO
CNBC Television· 2025-06-12 14:48
Joining us right now from Bitcoin 2025, it's Swan Bitcoin CIO Ben Workman. And obviously, the world's largest cryptocurrency is a major focus at this event. And many people I spoke with that are attending are pointing to Bitcoin's new all-time high reached just last week under $112,000 as risk sentiment continued to improve following last month's tariff induced selloff.So, what do you think is contributing to Bitcoin hitting these new all-time highs. What are the factors at play. I think Bitcoin became real ...