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Why the 'Mag 7 is too much of the market, get out' is money-losing, false narrative
CNBC· 2025-11-02 22:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concentration of the stock market in the "Magnificent Seven" companies and challenges the narrative that this concentration poses a significant risk to the market's stability, arguing that the focus on this concentration is misguided and not fundamentally driven [1][2]. Group 1: Market Concentration - The "Magnificent Seven" stocks (Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla) account for 38% of the market, raising concerns about excessive concentration [1]. - Despite ongoing warnings about the risks of concentration, the market has not collapsed, suggesting that the fears may be unfounded [1][2]. - The article posits that the concentration could be alleviated by the growth of other stocks in the market rather than a collapse of the Seven [1]. Group 2: Individual Company Analysis - Alphabet is viewed positively due to its successful transition to AI and strong performance in cloud services, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 27 times next year's earnings [2]. - Microsoft is recognized for its strong Co-Pilot numbers and enterprise software dominance, with no significant negatives impacting its outlook [2]. - Apple is noted for its strong market position and potential revenue from partnerships, with expectations of nearly $50 billion from Alphabet [2]. - Amazon's recent performance in AWS shows a turnaround, with growth accelerating to 20%, countering previous narratives of underperformance [2]. - Meta Platforms is seen as a strong player, with significant spending planned to maintain competitiveness in the AI space [2]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The article emphasizes the importance of viewing stocks as individual investment opportunities rather than merely components of an index, suggesting that this perspective can lead to better investment decisions [2]. - It is suggested that the S&P 500 may need to rebalance to address concentration issues, but this does not necessarily indicate impending doom for the Seven [2]. - The future performance of the Seven will depend on their internal strengths and weaknesses, with the next quarterly reports being crucial for assessment [2].
The Stock Market Is Doing Something It Hasn't Done in Over a Half-Century, and It Could Signal a Big Move in 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-11 16:10
Group 1 - The S&P 500 index has reached new all-time highs in 2025, largely driven by high-performing artificial intelligence stocks, with some exceeding $1 trillion in market capitalization [1] - Many investors are turning bearish, with indicators suggesting the market may be overvalued, signaling potential significant movements in stocks for 2026 [2] - The S&P 500's largest constituents, particularly nine stocks, now account for over 38% of the index, indicating a lack of diversity [5][8] Group 2 - The concentration measure of the S&P 500, which compares the weighted average market cap to the unweighted average, has risen to 10.67, the highest level since 1970 [6][7] - This concentration level is even greater than during the dot-com bubble, highlighting the potential risks associated with the current market structure [7]