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新力量NewForce总第4827期
First Shanghai Securities· 2025-07-31 10:47
Group 1: Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) or Figma (FIG) [4][14]. Group 2: Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corp. reported Q1 2026 earnings that exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in HOKA and UGG brands, with revenue increasing by 17% year-on-year to $965 million [8]. - The gross margin for Deckers was 55.8%, slightly down from 56.9% in the same period last year, while operating profit rose to $165 million from $133 million year-on-year [8]. - HOKA brand revenue grew by 20% to $653 million, and UGG brand revenue increased by 19% to $265 million, while other brands saw a decline of 19% [8]. - Figma is positioned as a significant IPO in the second half of the year, with an increased offering price range of $30-32, suggesting a market capitalization between $17.6 billion and $18.8 billion [14]. - Figma is seen as a disruptor to Adobe, with a focus on enhancing productivity through cloud-based collaboration tools, which contrasts with Adobe's traditional software model [15][16]. Group 3: Financial Summary - For Deckers, the forecast for Q2 2026 revenue is between $138 million and $142 million, with diluted earnings per share expected to be $1.55 [9]. - Historical and forecasted total revenue for Deckers is projected to grow from $4.288 billion in FY24 to $5.470 billion in FY26, reflecting an 18% increase in FY24 and a 16% increase in FY25 [10]. - Figma's revenue growth rate is anticipated to be between 45% and 50%, with a net dollar retention rate of 132% [18].