Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation's international business is a key growth driver, with HOKA and UGG showing strong performance abroad, particularly in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 where international revenues increased by 49.7% year over year to $463.3 million, significantly outperforming U.S. sales [1][10] International Business Performance - HOKA's international growth is robust, especially in the EMEA region, with record European reorders and strong consumer acquisition. Key products like Bondi, Clifton, and Arahi are leading sales, with Bondi and Clifton being top U.S. running franchises and doubling volumes in China for spring/summer 2025 [2] - UGG has also seen strong international growth, particularly in Europe and China. The brand's 365 strategy has expanded its appeal beyond cold-weather items, with new styles like the PeakMod clog gaining popularity, supported by effective marketing campaigns [3] Infrastructure and Strategic Investments - To meet rising demand, Deckers has invested in infrastructure, including changing its EMEA logistics provider and opening new stores in cities like Berlin, Milan, and various locations in China. These initiatives aim to enhance retail presence and build long-term brand equity [4] Future Outlook - Management anticipates that international markets will continue to outpace U.S. growth, with HOKA positioned as the fastest-growing brand and UGG expanding its seasonal and demographic reach. The goal is to increase international sales to 50% of total revenues, creating a more balanced and resilient business model [5] Competitive Landscape - In comparison, Steven Madden, Ltd. reported an 8% year-over-year increase in international revenues for the second quarter of 2025, while Wolverine World Wide, Inc. saw a 15.7% increase to $250 million, both outpacing U.S. sales [6][7][8] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Deckers shares have declined by 46.3% year to date, contrasting with the industry's decline of 9.6%. The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.80X, below the industry average of 18.22X [9][12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deckers' fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a slight decline of 0.6%, while fiscal 2027 indicates an 8.3% increase, with recent upward revisions in earnings estimates for both fiscal years [13]

Core Insights - Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (WWW) reported a strong second quarter in 2025, with revenues increasing by 11.5% year over year to $474.2 million, driven by brand momentum, particularly from Saucony and Merrell [1][10] Brand Performance - Saucony achieved record second-quarter revenues, rising 41.5% year over year, with a gross margin expansion of 560 basis points, supported by successful product launches and expanded lifestyle distribution [2][10] - Merrell experienced a revenue growth of 10.7% and nearly 600 basis points of margin expansion, bolstered by modernized trail offerings and increased lifestyle footwear appeal [3][10] - Sweaty Betty narrowed its revenue decline to 6.1% while improving margins by over 500 basis points, focusing on restoring its premium positioning through targeted campaigns [4] - The Wolverine brand also showed progress with new premium product introductions, contributing to overall growth alongside Saucony and Merrell [5] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors in the footwear industry include Deckers Outdoor Corporation, Tapestry, Inc., and Urban Outfitters Inc., with Deckers showing strong performance through its flagship brands HOKA and UGG [6][7][8][9] Financial Metrics - WWW's shares have gained 29.3% year to date, contrasting with a 1.5% decline in the industry [11] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 19.78X, significantly below the industry average of 30.45X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WWW's financial 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 44%, with a 17.2% increase projected for 2026 [13]

Group 1 - Company experienced an 8.3% year-on-year decline in revenue, totaling 9.16 billion RMB, due to fluctuating store traffic and increased discounts [1] - Gross margin decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 33.5%, while net profit fell by 44% year-on-year to 190 million RMB, resulting in a net profit margin of 2.1% [1] - Inventory levels remained healthy, with inventory days at 146, below the target of 150 days, and old inventory accounting for less than 9% [1] Group 2 - Online sales showed robust growth of 16%, with live streaming sales exceeding 100% growth, contributing to 33% of total revenue [2] - The company maintained its offline store count at 3,408, with a net closure of 40 stores, while same-store sales declined by 10% to 20% [2] - The company plans to optimize its product mix and develop proprietary brands, with short-term revenue contribution from these brands at only 2-3% [2]

Key Takeaways URBN's retail comps rose 4.8%, with all three brands seeing positive store and digital sales.Wholesale revenues climbed 24.2%, led by Free People and FP Movement's sharp gains.Store expansion and strong full-price sales drove both segment growth and profitability.Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) began fiscal 2026 with strong results across retail and wholesale. Retail comparable sales rose 4.8% year over year, with mid-single-digit positive gains in digital channel sales and sales from retail stor ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][6][34] Core Views - The company experienced an 8.3% year-on-year decline in revenue to 9.16 billion RMB in the first half of the year, primarily due to increased discounts and a drop in customer traffic [1][4] - The gross profit margin decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 33.5%, leading to a 44.0% year-on-year decline in net profit to 190 million RMB [1][4] - The company maintains a healthy inventory level with an average inventory turnover of 146 days, keeping within the target of 150 days [1][4] - Online sales showed a robust growth of 16%, with live streaming sales exceeding 100% growth, contributing to 33% of total revenue [3][4] - The company plans to optimize its product mix and develop its own brands to enhance sales performance [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of the year decreased by 8.3% to 9.16 billion RMB, with a net profit decline of 44.0% to 190 million RMB [1][4] - In the second quarter, revenue fell by 11.6% to 4.05 billion RMB, but the gross margin improved by 1.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 34.5% [2][4] - The company has a stable cash level of 2.7 billion RMB and plans to distribute an interim and special dividend of 0.23 HKD per share, with a payout ratio of 60% [1][4] Channel Performance - Online channels showed a 16% increase in revenue, while offline store sales were negatively impacted by reduced customer traffic, with same-store sales down by 10% to 20% [3][4] - The company closed 40 stores, bringing the total to 3,408, a 2.0% year-on-year decrease [3][4] Future Outlook - The company expects to stabilize profitability despite current revenue pressures, with a forecasted net profit of 390 million RMB in 2025, down 21% year-on-year, but projected to recover by 21% in 2026 and 11% in 2027 [4][32] - The target price is maintained at 0.59 to 0.69 HKD, corresponding to a 6-7x PE for 2026 [4][32]

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) is currently trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.67, which is above the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry average of 1.64 [1][4] - The company's stock has experienced a significant decline of 22.3% over the past three months, underperforming the industry drop of 2.1% [4][5] - DECK's gross margin fell by 110 basis points year over year to 55.8% in Q1 of fiscal 2026, with expectations of further contraction [14] Valuation and Performance - DECK's P/S ratio is higher than peers such as Boot Barn Holdings (2.22), Under Armour (0.43), and Crocs (0.99) [4] - The stock closed at $100.47, which is 55.1% below its 52-week high of $223.98 [10] - The company has trailed the Retail-Wholesale sector's rally of 3.5% and the S&P 500's growth of 9.3% during the same period [5] Operational Challenges - DECK faces margin pressures due to a shift towards lower-margin wholesale sales, elevated tariff costs, and softer U.S. direct-to-consumer trends for HOKA [5][13] - The anticipated $185 million in unmitigated tariff costs is a primary concern, particularly with potential increases in Vietnam import duties [13] - Elevated inventory levels reached $849 million, up 13% year over year, raising concerns over potential markdowns [16] Growth Potential - Despite challenges, DECK's brands HOKA and UGG exceeded growth targets in Q1, with HOKA growing 19.8% to $653.1 million and UGG growing 18.9% to $265.1 million [19] - International revenues surged by 49.7% year over year in Q1, with strong gains in Europe, APAC, and China [20] - The company is focusing on innovation and brand storytelling, with new product launches and optimized distribution strategies [21] Strategic Initiatives - DECK's wholesale net sales rose 26.7% to $652.4 million in Q1, driven by HOKA's 30% increase in global wholesale revenues [22] - The company expects a 14% increase in wholesale revenues in fiscal 2026 [23] - Management is implementing strategies to address operational headwinds, including loyalty program improvements and store expansion [15]

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation's first-quarter fiscal 2026 performance was driven by strong demand for its flagship brands, HOKA and UGG, with HOKA's revenues increasing by 19.8% year over year to $653.1 million and UGG's revenues growing by 18.9% to $265.1 million [1][9] Brand Performance - HOKA maintained strong momentum with successful product launches, including the Arahi 8, and is expected to continue its growth trajectory with upcoming models such as Mafate 5 and Mach 3 [2] - UGG expanded its product offerings beyond cold-weather items, introducing versatile styles like the PeakMod clog and Lowmel sneaker, aligning with casual fashion trends [3] International Growth - Deckers reported a 49.7% year-over-year increase in international revenues in the first quarter, with both HOKA and UGG contributing significantly [4] Future Projections - For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Deckers anticipates net sales between $1.38 billion and $1.42 billion, with HOKA expected to grow by 10% and UGG projected to increase in the mid-single digits [4][9] Competitive Landscape - Wolverine World Wide and Urban Outfitters are key competitors in the footwear market, with Wolverine's brands showing strong growth and Urban Outfitters' portfolio delivering positive performance [5][6][7] Valuation Metrics - Deckers shares have declined by 49.9% year to date, compared to a 12.6% decline in the industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15.77X, below the industry average of 17.64X, indicating a favorable valuation [11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deckers' fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 1.1%, while fiscal 2027 estimates indicate an 8.3% increase [12]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨纺织品、服装与奢侈品 [Table_Title] 望远镜系列 13 之 Deckers FY2026Q1 经营跟 踪：收入表现超预期，价格上调预计 Q2 受益 报告要点 [Table_Summary] FY2026Q1（2025/4/1-2025/6/30）Deckers 实现营收 9.6 亿美元，同比+17%，收入表现超预 期（彭博一致预期 9.0 亿美元）。毛利率同比-1.1pct 至 55.8%，预计主要受低毛利的经销渠道 强劲增长影响，但净利率受益于费用控制同比+0.4pct 至 14.4%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于旭辉 柯睿 SAC：S0490518020002 SAC：S0490524110001 SFC：BUU942 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 1）分品牌，UGG/HOKA/其他品牌营收分别+18.9%/+19.8%/-19.0%至 2.7/6.5/0.5 亿美 元，HOKA 及 UGG 表现均超公司预期，HOKA 高增主要受益于国际市场驱动，UGG 主 要受益于批 ...

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) reported a strong performance in its wholesale business for Q1 fiscal 2026, with wholesale net sales increasing 26.7% year over year to $652.4 million, primarily driven by the HOKA and UGG brands [1][10]. Wholesale Performance - HOKA's wholesale revenues rose 30%, supported by robust sell-in, expanded distribution, and strong reorders, particularly in EMEA and APAC regions [2][10]. - UGG's wholesale revenues also increased by 30% year over year, with notable gains in both domestic and international markets, especially in EMEA and China, due to early fulfillment of fall orders and inventory replenishment [3][10]. - Throughout Q1, sell-through outpaced sell-in across wholesale accounts, indicating effective inventory management and healthy consumer demand [4]. Market Dynamics - The wholesale channel is expected to grow faster than the direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel, driven by evolving consumer preferences for in-person retail experiences and strong partner engagement [5]. - Deckers' ability to align wholesale execution with market demand positions the business for continued momentum through the fiscal year [5]. Competitive Landscape - Key competitors in the wholesale channel include Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) and Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) [6]. - Steven Madden's wholesale channel reported a decline of 6.4% year over year, impacted by order cancellations and shipment delays, with a gross margin decrease to 31% [7]. - Urban Outfitters' wholesale channel achieved a 24% revenue increase in Q1 fiscal 2026, driven by strong full-price sales and improved profitability [8]. Valuation and Estimates - Deckers trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.05X, below the industry average of 17.43X, with a Value Score of A [12]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DECK's fiscal 2026 earnings implies a year-over-year decline of 1.1%, while fiscal 2027 indicates an uptick of 8.3% [13].

Group 1: Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) or Figma (FIG) [4][14]. Group 2: Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corp. reported Q1 2026 earnings that exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in HOKA and UGG brands, with revenue increasing by 17% year-on-year to $965 million [8]. - The gross margin for Deckers was 55.8%, slightly down from 56.9% in the same period last year, while operating profit rose to $165 million from $133 million year-on-year [8]. - HOKA brand revenue grew by 20% to $653 million, and UGG brand revenue increased by 19% to $265 million, while other brands saw a decline of 19% [8]. - Figma is positioned as a significant IPO in the second half of the year, with an increased offering price range of $30-32, suggesting a market capitalization between $17.6 billion and $18.8 billion [14]. - Figma is seen as a disruptor to Adobe, with a focus on enhancing productivity through cloud-based collaboration tools, which contrasts with Adobe's traditional software model [15][16]. Group 3: Financial Summary - For Deckers, the forecast for Q2 2026 revenue is between $138 million and $142 million, with diluted earnings per share expected to be $1.55 [9]. - Historical and forecasted total revenue for Deckers is projected to grow from $4.288 billion in FY24 to $5.470 billion in FY26, reflecting an 18% increase in FY24 and a 16% increase in FY25 [10]. - Figma's revenue growth rate is anticipated to be between 45% and 50%, with a net dollar retention rate of 132% [18].