Safe Haven Asset

Search documents
Banks Boost Gold Forecasts: One Sees +30% Bull-Case Potential
MarketBeat· 2025-09-22 12:11
Core Viewpoint - The price of gold is expected to continue rising, driven by persistent inflation and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, with analysts projecting significant upside in gold prices over the next few years [2][6][10]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) fund has increased by nearly 118% over the past three years, with gold's spot price currently around $3,680 per ounce, up from approximately $1,675 in 2022 [1]. - Several investment banks have raised their gold price forecasts, with Deutsche Bank targeting $4,000 per ounce by 2026, while UBS and ANZ Group also project prices of $3,900 and $4,000 respectively [7][9]. - Analysts predict further upside in gold prices ranging from 6% to 36%, with an average upside of around 8% excluding Goldman Sachs' more bullish forecast [10]. Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing Gold - Persistent inflation remains significantly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, which has been a key driver for gold's price increase, as high inflation diminishes the value of fiat-denominated assets [3][5]. - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.9% year-over-year in August, while the Fed has lowered the Fed Funds Rate by 25 basis points to between 4.25% and 4.50% [5]. - Markets anticipate further rate cuts in 2025, indicating that the Fed may prioritize avoiding recession over aggressively combating inflation, which could lead to lower real yields and higher gold prices [6]. Group 3: Investment Vehicles - The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is the most popular option for tracking gold prices, though it has a 0.4% expense ratio that slightly reduces returns compared to holding physical gold [11]. - The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) offer alternative exposure to gold mining stocks, with GDX focusing on larger firms and GDXJ on smaller ones, both showing strong total returns over the past three years [12][13].
What Is the Gold-Platinum Ratio Signaling for Investors? | Presented by CME Group
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-03 21:02
[Music] The gold platinum ratio calculated as the price of gold divided by the price of platinum serves as a key metric for investors by providing insights into the relative valuation, market dynamics, and broad economic signals between the two precious metals. The ratio helps investors determine whether gold or platinum is overvalued or undervalued compared to the other, guiding decisions on when to buy, sell, or switch between the two. Historically, platinum has traded at a premium to gold due to its rari ...
X @Market Spotter
Market Spotter· 2025-08-21 13:01
#Bitcoin remains the safe haven asset of crypto, but will altcoins outperform this cycle? ...
Trump assures gold bars will not face tariffs after US customs ruling rocked markets: ‘Crisis averted'
New York Post· 2025-08-11 20:55
President Trump on Monday said gold bars will not face tariffs – leading to relief from global bullion markets after days of speculation that the precious metal could be caught up in the ongoing global trade war.“Gold will not be Tariffed!” Trump wrote in a post on his social media platform Truth Social Monday.US spot gold – the global benchmark – fell 1.2% to $3,357 an ounce following Trump’s comment, while gold futures dropped 2.4% to $3,407 after soaring to a record-high above $3,500 last week. Presiden ...
Why Gold Miner Stocks Plunged Today on a Great day for the Markets
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-23 20:43
Group 1: Market Performance - Shares of gold mining stocks such as Barrick Gold, Newmont Mining, Gold Fields, and AngloGold Ashanti experienced declines of 4.6%, 2.6%, 6%, and 5.1% respectively, despite broader market indexes being up [1] - The price of gold fell by 3.4% on the same day, contributing to the decline in gold mining stocks [1] Group 2: Gold Price Trends - Gold has surged 42% over the past year, often seen as a "safe haven" asset amid geopolitical uncertainties and inflation concerns [3] - The price of gold typically rises when the value of the dollar declines, as it is priced in dollars [3] Group 3: Political Influence on Gold and Markets - The Trump administration's tariff policies have created instability, leading to increased global uncertainty and a decline in the dollar's value [2][4] - Recent comments from President Trump indicating a potential easing of tariffs have led to a market rally and a corresponding drop in gold prices [5][6] Group 4: Company Strategies - Barrick Gold is actively looking to divest from certain gold mining operations, including a recent sale of its stake in an Alaska project and potential sales of its Canadian and Ivory Coast operations [8] - The actions of Barrick Gold may suggest a belief that gold prices have peaked, although future market conditions remain uncertain [9] Group 5: Investment Insights - Gold and gold-oriented stocks can serve as a hedge against economically sensitive holdings, making them valuable in a diversified portfolio [10]