EUR/USD (^EURUSD) on Wednesday fell by -0.04%. The euro was under pressure on Wednesday from a stronger dollar. The euro also moved lower after Wednesday’s Eurozone economic news showed that Nov CPI was revised lower and Q3 labor costs posted their smallest increase in three years, both of which are dovish for ECB policy. In addition, Wednesday’s unexpected decline in the German Dec IFO business conditions survey to a 7-month low was bearish for the euro.The markets are discounting a 24% chance that the FOM ...

Core Insights - Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) stock reached a 52-week high of $45.97, closing at $45.67, driven by record silver prices and strong Q3 performance [1][11] - The company has a market capitalization of $19.3 billion and holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenues were reported at $855 million, a 19% year-over-year increase, attributed to higher gold and silver prices [2] - Mine operating earnings surged 78.1% to $313 million, with adjusted earnings per share at 48 cents, marking a 50% increase from the previous year [2] - A record free cash flow of $252 million in Q3 brought cash and short-term investments to $910.8 million, with working capital at $1.01 billion [3] Dividend and Cash Flow - The quarterly dividend was increased by 17% to 14 cents, raising the annualized dividend to 56 cents from 48 cents [4] Strategic Acquisitions - The acquisition of MAG Silver Corp. in early September enhanced PAAS's position as a leading silver producer and strengthened its silver reserve base [5] - PAAS gained a 44% stake in the Juanicipio project, expected to produce 14.7-16.7 million ounces of silver in 2025, positively impacting Q3 performance [6] Production Outlook - The silver production outlook for 2025 has been increased to 22-25 million ounces, up from the previous estimate of 20-21 million ounces [8] Market Conditions - Silver prices have surged 88% year-over-year, driven by strong safe-haven demand, geopolitical tensions, and resilient industrial demand [9] - Current silver trading prices are above $57, influenced by expectations of a rate cut [9] Stock Performance - Over the past year, PAAS shares have increased by 117.4%, compared to the industry's 136.6% rise [12]

Group 1 - Jim Wyckoff has over 25 years of experience in stock, financial, and commodity markets [1] - He has worked as a financial journalist and covered various futures markets in the U.S. [1] - Jim is the proprietor of an analytical, educational, and trading advisory service [2] Group 2 - He has held positions as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as a senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com [2] - Jim is also a consultant for the "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service [2] - He was the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com [2] Group 3 - Jim provides daily market roundups and technical analysis on Kitco.com [3]

Economic Indicators - The US ADP employment change for September unexpectedly fell by 32,000, marking the largest decline in 2.5 years, with August revised lower to a loss of 3,000 from a previously reported gain of 54,000 [2] - The MBA mortgage applications decreased by 12.7% for the week ending September 26, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down by 1.0% and the refinancing sub-index down by 20.6% [2] - The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose by 12 basis points to 6.46% from 6.34% in the prior week [2] Stock Market Performance - Stock indexes continued to decline due to signs of a weakening US labor market, with the S&P 500 down by 0.18%, the Dow Jones down by 0.19%, and the Nasdaq 100 down by 0.27% [5] - The government shutdown led to a risk-off sentiment in stocks, causing the dollar index to fall to a one-week low and gold prices to reach a record high [4] Corporate Earnings Expectations - More than 22% of S&P 500 companies provided guidance for Q3 earnings that are expected to exceed analysts' expectations, the highest in a year [6] - S&P companies are projected to achieve 6.9% earnings growth in Q3, an increase from 6.7% at the end of May [6] Company-Specific Movements - Corteva (CTVA) shares fell over 5% after announcing plans to split its seed and pesticide businesses [12] - Viasat Inc (VSAT) declined more than 3% following a downgrade by Barclays [12] - AES Corp (AES) shares rose over 13% on news of potential acquisition talks by BlackRock's Global Infrastructure Partners [14] - Nike (NKE) increased more than 3% after reporting Q1 revenue of $11.72 billion, surpassing the consensus of $11.02 billion [15]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Gold's shares surged over 60% following its trading debut in Hong Kong, raising approximately $3.2 billion, marking it as the world's second-largest IPO this year [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Zijin Gold is the overseas gold-mining arm of China's Zijin Mining Group, which operates all of its gold mines outside of China [3]. - The company produced 1.3 million ounces (40.4 tonnes) of gold in 2024, ranking ninth globally in reserves [5]. - Zijin Mining is the largest producer of mined gold in China and has a global footprint that includes Central Asia, South America, Oceania, and Africa [4]. Group 2: Market Context - The IPO of Zijin Gold comes at a time when spot gold prices have recently surpassed $3,800 per ounce, driven by strong safe-haven demand and global economic uncertainty [2]. - The listing is part of a resurgence in Hong Kong's IPO market, which raised about $14.1 billion in the first half of 2023, reflecting a 695% year-on-year increase from the same period in 2022 [3]. Group 3: Strategic Moves - In April, Zijin Mining announced a restructuring to carve out its overseas gold operations into the new Zijin Gold unit, aiming to sharpen its focus on gold [4]. - Major investors in the IPO included Singapore's sovereign wealth fund GIC, Hillhouse's HHLRA, and BlackRock Funds [3].

Industry Overview - The Zacks Mining – Gold industry is part of the broader Zacks Basic Materials sector, which is expected to see a decline in earnings for the second quarter, with overall earnings projected to fall by 7.5% despite a 2.8% increase in revenues [1] Gold Prices and Market Dynamics - Gold prices have increased significantly this year, rising approximately 29% year to date, driven by global trade tensions and safe-haven demand [3] - On April 22, gold prices reached a record high of $3,500 per ounce, and while they retreated, they closed the second quarter above $3,300 per ounce, marking a nearly 6% increase in the quarter [4] Company Performance Expectations - Gold mining companies are expected to benefit from higher gold prices and efforts to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs in their second-quarter results [2] - Despite higher mining costs due to inflationary pressures, companies are focused on reducing operational costs and improving efficiency, which is anticipated to support their margins [5] Selected Companies and Earnings Estimates - Barrick Mining Corporation is expected to report earnings of 47 cents per share, with an Earnings ESP of +1.14% and a Zacks Rank 1, having beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters [9] - Franco-Nevada Corporation has an Earnings ESP of +0.91% and a Zacks Rank 3, with a consensus estimate of $1.10 for second-quarter earnings, benefiting from increased contributions from streaming agreements [11] - Integra Resources Corp. has an Earnings ESP of +4.76% and a Zacks Rank 3, with a consensus estimate of 7 cents for second-quarter earnings, expected to benefit from strong production at the Florida Canyon mine [13]