Economic Indicators - December pending home sales are expected to decline by -0.5% month-over-month [1] - Initial weekly unemployment claims are projected to increase by +12,000 to 210,000 [1] - Q3 GDP is anticipated to remain unchanged at +4.3% quarter-over-quarter annualized [1] - November personal spending is expected to rise by +0.5% month-over-month, while personal income is expected to increase by +0.4% month-over-month [1] - The November core PCE price index is forecasted to rise by +0.2% month-over-month and +2.8% year-over-year [1] - January S&P US manufacturing PMI is expected to increase by +0.2 to 52.0 [1] - The final University of Michigan January US consumer sentiment index is expected to remain unchanged at 54.0 [1] Stock Market Performance - The S&P 500 Index is down -1.29%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index is down -1.22%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index is down -1.41% [5] - Overseas stock markets are also lower, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down -1.17%, China's Shanghai Composite down -0.01%, and Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 down -1.11% [8] Earnings Reports - Q4 earnings season has begun positively, with 88% of the 33 S&P 500 companies that have reported beating expectations [6] - S&P earnings growth is expected to increase by +8.4% in Q4, while excluding the Magnificent Seven technology stocks, growth is expected to be +4.6% [6] Commodity and Sector Movements - US natural gas-producing stocks are surging as natural gas prices have increased by more than +25% to a 3-week high [2][16] - Gold and silver mining stocks are climbing as gold and silver prices reach all-time highs, with companies like Hecla Mining and Coeur Mining up more than +4% [2][15] - The Magnificent Seven technology stocks are declining, with Nvidia down more than -3% and other major players like Amazon and Tesla down more than -2% [13] Bond Market - Rising bond yields are impacting stocks, with the 10-year T-note yield reaching a 4.75-month high of 4.31% [3] - The 10-year Japanese government bond yield has risen to a 27-year high of 2.359% due to fiscal concerns [3][9] - The 10-year T-note yield is up by +6.2 basis points to 4.285% [9] Company-Specific News - 3M Co. is down more than -5% after forecasting 2026 adjusted EPS below consensus [17] - RAPT Therapeutics is up more than +62% after GSK Plc agreed to acquire the company for approximately $2.2 billion [18] - Micron Technology is up more than +4% after a price target increase by Stifel [18] - Intel is up more than +2% following an upgrade by Seaport Global Securities [19] - Netflix is up more than +1% after reaching an agreement to buy Warner Bros. Discovery's studio and streaming business [20]

Market Trends - BTC surged past $125 thousand without institutional or ETF support [1] - Rally fueled by strong retail demand and safe-haven buying amid the US government shutdown [1] Investment Opportunities and Potential Risks - Signs of overheating exist in the market [1] - Sustaining the rally depends on institutional flows and leveraged positions [1]

Core Insights - Jim Wyckoff has over 25 years of experience in stock, financial, and commodity markets, including roles as a financial journalist and market analyst [1][2] - He has covered all futures markets traded in the U.S. during his career [1] - Wyckoff operates an analytical and trading advisory service called "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" [2] Group 1 - Jim Wyckoff has a background in journalism and economics, having studied at Iowa State University [2] - He has worked with various financial news and advisory services, including Dow Jones Newswires and TraderPlanet.com [2] - Wyckoff provides daily market roundups and technical analysis on Kitco.com [3]