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Smart Money's Big Bet on AST SpaceMobile
MarketBeat· 2025-10-16 18:56
Core Viewpoint - AST SpaceMobile has experienced significant stock price increases following a commercial partnership with Verizon, which will enable space-based cellular services starting in 2026 [2][3][4] Group 1: Stock Performance - AST SpaceMobile's stock reached an intraday all-time high of $99.26 on October 15, with gains in 10 out of the last 11 trading sessions since October 1 [1] - The stock has gained over 342% this year, including a nearly 160% increase since September 9, and has risen more than 879% since going public in November 2019 [7][8] - Despite these gains, the stock's price-to-earnings ratio is -40.8, indicating the company is not yet profitable [8] Group 2: Revenue and Partnerships - AST SpaceMobile has generated $4.9 million in revenue over the past 12 months, with a market cap of $34.3 billion [4] - The company has formed strategic partnerships with major telecommunications firms, including Verizon, AT&T, and Vodafone, which are expected to significantly boost revenue upon commercial launch [5][6] - Analysts project revenues of $830 million in 2027 and $2.54 billion in 2028, driven by these partnerships [7] Group 3: Institutional Investment - Institutional investors hold nearly 61% of AST SpaceMobile's float, with significant positions from firms like Vanguard, BlackRock, and Morgan Stanley [10][12] - Over the past year, institutional inflows totaled $1.59 billion, compared to $358.16 million in outflows, indicating strong institutional support [11] - The top institutional investors collectively hold 37.78 million shares, with Rakuten being the largest shareholder at 31.02 million shares [12] Group 4: Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have set a 12-month average price target of $45.27, suggesting a potential downside of nearly 53% from the current price [13][14] - There is a notable short interest in the stock, with over 20% of the float currently shorted, reflecting cautious sentiment among some investors [15]
Why Viasat Stock Was Zooming Higher Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-08 19:28
Core Viewpoint - Viasat has secured a significant contract with the U.S. military's Space Force to design and develop a satellite system, leading to a notable increase in its stock price [1][2]. Group 1: Contract Details - Viasat is one of five companies awarded a prime contract by the U.S. Space Force for a project aimed at establishing a dedicated satellite network in space [2]. - The initial phase of the project will last for seven months, although the identities of the other companies involved have not been disclosed [2]. Group 2: Company Performance and Market Reaction - Following the announcement, Viasat's stock rose over 10%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index, which increased by only 0.5% during the same trading session [1]. - The Vice President of Space and Mission Systems at Viasat emphasized the company's strong track record in delivering secure and high-performance satellite communication solutions [3]. Group 3: Financial Implications - Despite the positive market reaction, Viasat did not disclose any financial details regarding the Space Force contract, making it challenging to assess the potential impact on the company's fundamentals [3].
Iridium Falls 22% on Q2 Earnings Miss & Lowered View, Revenues Up Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-07-25 14:50
Core Insights - Iridium Communications reported Q2 2025 EPS of $0.20, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 13% and down from $0.27 in the prior year due to a one-time gain of $19.8 million last year not recurring [1][9] - Quarterly revenues reached $216.9 million, an 8% increase year over year, driven by service revenues and equipment sales, beating consensus estimates by 1% [2][9] Revenue Breakdown - Total service revenues increased by 2% year over year to $155.6 million, contributing 72% to total revenues, with a subscriber base expansion driving the growth [3][4] - The commercial service segment accounted for 59% of total revenues, rising 2% to $128.8 million, supported by strong IoT performance [4] - Government service revenues grew by 1% to $26.8 million, attributed to a contractual rate increase with the U.S. Space Force [4] Equipment and Engineering Performance - Subscriber equipment sales declined by 15% to $19.5 million, aligning with company expectations, and are projected to remain flat for the full year [5] - Engineering and support revenues surged by 62% to $41.9 million, primarily due to increased U.S. government activity, indicating ongoing demand for Iridium's satellite expertise [6] Financial Metrics - Total operating expenses were $166.6 million, up from $157.4 million in the prior-year quarter, mainly due to higher service costs [7] - Operational EBITDA increased by 6% year over year to $121.3 million, reflecting strength in recurring service and engineering revenues [10] Subscriber and Liquidity Information - As of June 30, the company had 2,483,000 billable subscribers, a 3% increase from the previous year, supported by commercial IoT growth [10] - Total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $79.3 million, with $1.8 billion of net debt [11] Updated Outlook - The company lowered its full-year 2025 service revenue growth guidance from 5%-7% to 3%-5% due to several factors, including subscriber losses and delays in PNT revenues [12] - OEBITDA is still forecasted to be between $490 million and $500 million, an increase from $470.6 million in 2024 [13]
Why AST SpaceMobile Stock Skyrocketed Last Week
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-21 08:46
Core Insights - AST SpaceMobile's stock experienced a significant increase of 27.2% in the past week, outperforming the S&P 500 index which rose by 0.6% [1] - The company's valuation has surged due to a recent announcement of $550 million in financing to support a major spectrum licensing deal [3] - AST SpaceMobile's market capitalization is now approximately $14.4 billion, with a valuation of about 37 times this year's expected sales and 234 times expected earnings [4] Financing and Spectrum Deal - AST SpaceMobile secured $550 million in funding through one of its subsidiaries to license wireless spectrum from Ligado Networks [3] - The licensing agreement provides AST access to 40 MHz of L-Band MSS spectrum in the U.S. and Canada, extending for over 80 years, with potential access to an additional 5 MHz [3] Growth Potential - The company's satellite-based cellular broadband network is compatible with existing mobile devices, which could disrupt the consumer telecommunications industry [5] - There is investor excitement regarding AST's potential to secure contracts with U.S. defense agencies and related contractors, indicating further growth opportunities [5]
Should You Buy Intuitive Machines While It's Below $12?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-24 12:08
Core Viewpoint - Intuitive Machines' stock has seen a significant increase despite missing earnings, and it is now considered cheap enough to buy, with a 20% rise since the Q1 earnings report [1]. Financial Performance - In Q1, Intuitive Machines reported a loss of $0.11 per share, an improvement from a loss of $2.68 per share in the same quarter last year [3]. - Sales for Q1 were $62.5 million, down 15% year-over-year, but are projected to rebound by 10% in Q2 [3]. - The company generated positive free cash flow of $13.3 million in Q1, the first occurrence in over two years, although analysts expect cash burn in the next three quarters totaling $15 million [4][5]. Long-term Prospects - Intuitive Machines is becoming a key contractor for NASA, having secured four "IM" missions to the moon, with two completed and two scheduled for 2026 and 2027 [7]. - The company has faced challenges with its landers, but management is addressing these issues for future missions, and NASA is satisfied enough to provide success payments for the IM-2 mission [8]. - Intuitive Machines is also working on a $4.8 billion Near Space Network contract, which is expected to generate approximately $480 million in annual revenue over the next decade [9]. Stock Valuation - The stock price has increased significantly post-earnings, currently around $11, which is nearly double the price paid previously [10]. - Despite being down about 50% from its all-time high in January, the stock is still considered to be at the high end of fair value for an unprofitable space stock, priced at 4.1 times trailing sales [11][12].