Core Viewpoint - Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) is poised for a potential short-term rally based on historical performance trends and seasonal analysis, despite recent stock volatility [1][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Amazon's stock closed at $212, down 0.5% for the day and 3.6% year-to-date, but remains above the critical $200 level [1]. - A 15-year seasonality analysis indicates that Amazon is entering a bullish period from weeks 25 to 28, with historical data supporting consistent gains during this timeframe [3][5]. Group 2: Seasonal Trends - The four-week period from weeks 25 to 28 has historically shown strong performance, with week 28 having an 87% win rate and an average return of 3.9%, making it one of the most favorable weeks for investors [5]. - Beyond week 28, the surrounding period maintains a win rate of 60% to 70%, indicating broader seasonal strength [6]. Group 3: Prime Day and AWS Conference - The timing of this bullish stretch aligns with Amazon's Prime Day, typically held in mid-July around week 28, which often leads to increased sales and positive investor sentiment [6]. - Investors are also focused on the AWS re:Inforce conference, which is expected to bolster bullish sentiment, particularly as AWS is a key growth driver for Amazon [7].

Group 1: TJX Companies Inc - TJX stock is currently down 2.4% at $131.75 despite better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance [2] - Historically, TJX has underperformed during Memorial Day week, finishing higher only three times in the past decade with an average decline of 1% [3] - A similar performance this year could see the stock drop to just above $130, retreating from a record high of $135.85, although it has gained 8.8% in 2025 [3] Group 2: Lululemon Athletica Inc - Lululemon stock is showing seasonal strength, currently at $325.64, and has the potential to recover from a 14.7% year-to-date deficit [4] - It is one of the top five Memorial Day week performers among S&P 500 stocks, finishing higher eight out of the last ten years with an average gain of 4.8% [5] - A repeat of past performance could push Lululemon's stock to $341.27, a level not seen since late March [5]