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AppLovin: Strong Growth And High Margins Should Continue To Drive The Stock Higher
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-08-19 18:42
Company Performance - AppLovin reported strong results in the second quarter, leading its share price to return to near all-time highs [1] - Sequential revenue growth was softer, but the company is currently throttling ecommerce growth, which is expected to change in the coming quarters [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to poor understanding of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims for excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's research emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and long-term investment horizon [1] Market Trends - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities, differing from past trends [1] - Many industries may face stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1] Leadership Background - Richard Durant holds undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance from the University of Adelaide and an MBA from Nanyang Technological University [1] - He has passed the CFA exams, indicating a strong foundation in finance and investment analysis [1]
Proto Labs: Stronger Growth Is Supportive Of The Stock
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-08-11 14:00
I previously suggested that Proto Labs (NYSE: PRLB ) offered limited upside. The stock is up around 16% since then, due to a combination of improved cash flows and growth. CapEx is unsustainably low at the moment, though, and Proto Labs' revenue mix continues toRichard Durant is the leader of Narweena, an asset manager focused on finding market dislocations that are the result of a poor understanding of a businesses long-term prospects. Narweena believes that excess risk adjusted returns can be achieved by ...
Xometry: Resilient In The Face Of Macro Headwinds
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-08-08 14:15
Company Overview - Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ: XMTR) experienced a significant increase in share price following the release of its second quarter earnings, attributed more to low investor expectations than exceptionally strong results [1] - The company's growth is slowing down, yet remains relatively solid in the context of the current macroeconomic environment [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset management firm led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations caused by misunderstandings of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims to achieve excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets characterized by high barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment approach emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a preference for smaller cap stocks and markets lacking obvious competitive advantages [1] Economic Insights - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities distinct from historical trends [1] - Certain industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, some businesses may face increasing costs and diseconomies of scale, while the economy shifts towards asset-light business models, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments [1] - A growing pool of capital is competing for a limited number of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia over time [1]
Mobileye: Core Business Continues To Exhibit Strength
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-30 13:19
Group 1: Company Performance - Mobileye reported solid results in the second quarter, driven by the core ADAS business, with Supervision volumes exceeding expectations [1] - The current strength of Mobileye is notable given the potential impact of tariffs on the auto industry [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to poor understanding of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns [1] - The research process emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and long-term investment horizon [1] - Narweena's investment strategy is influenced by an aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity, which may create new investment opportunities [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Many industries are expected to face stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically improve business performance due to decreased competition [1] - Conversely, some businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale [1] - The economy is increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1]
Geospace: Attractively Priced, Despite Near-Term Macro Concerns (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-24 09:26
Company Overview - Narweena is an asset manager that focuses on identifying market dislocations caused by a poor understanding of businesses' long-term prospects [1] - The firm aims to achieve excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena's research process emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights [1] - The company has a high risk appetite and a long-term investment horizon, focusing on deeply undervalued stocks, particularly in smaller cap stocks and markets with less obvious competitive advantages [1] Market Insights - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create a different set of investment opportunities compared to the past [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, some businesses may face rising costs and diseconomies of scale [1] Economic Trends - There is a growing dominance of asset-light businesses in the economy, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressing risk premia [1] Leadership Background - Richard Durant, the leader of Narweena, holds undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance from the University of Adelaide and an MBA from Nanyang Technological University [1] - Durant has passed the CFA exams, indicating a strong foundation in finance and investment analysis [1]
SLB: Growth Investments Will Pay Off In Time
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-06-24 18:12
Company Overview - SLB is reorienting its business to adapt to depressed activity levels, particularly in the onshore US market, with a focus on long-term growth in its New Energy and Digital businesses [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, seeks to identify market dislocations due to poor understanding of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry [1] - The research process emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and long-term investment horizon targeting deeply undervalued stocks [1] Market Dynamics - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities, contrasting with industries facing stagnation or secular decline, which may improve business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments, resulting in a large pool of capital chasing limited investment opportunities, driving up asset prices and compressing risk premia over time [1] Leadership Background - Richard Durant holds undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance from the University of Adelaide and an MBA from Nanyang Technological University, along with having passed the CFA exams [1]
MongoDB: Still Attractively Priced, Even After The Recent Run Higher
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-06-06 03:59
Group 1 - MongoDB's stock has increased over 40% following the release of solid Q1 results, indicating strong company performance and attractive pricing [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misunderstandings of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities [1] - The research process at Narweena emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and a long-term investment horizon [1] Group 2 - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities, differing from past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly characterized by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments and a limited set of investment opportunities driving up asset prices [1]
AST SpaceMobile: Differentiation Taking Shape
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-06-02 21:35
Group 1 - AST SpaceMobile's stock has been stable recently, but there are positive developments in its business fundamentals [1] - Competing services are experiencing initial challenges, yet there are indications of increasing demand [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misinterpretations of long-term business prospects [1] Group 2 - Narweena aims for excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with entry barriers [1] - The research process emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights [1] - The investment strategy is characterized by a high risk appetite and a long-term horizon, focusing on deeply undervalued stocks [1] Group 3 - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities [1] - Many industries may face stagnation or secular decline, potentially improving business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Other businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale, impacting their performance [1] Group 4 - Economies are increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1] - Richard Durant, the leader of Narweena, has a strong educational background in engineering, finance, and an MBA, along with CFA exam completion [1]
Autodesk: Near-Term Fortunes Dependent On Construction Spending
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-05-26 13:07
Group 1 - Autodesk's growth is currently accelerating due to a shift in its business model, although underlying growth remains modest as recent tailwinds are fading [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations resulting from a poor understanding of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities [1] - The investment strategy is influenced by an aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity, which may create new investment opportunities distinct from past trends [1] Group 2 - Many industries are expected to face stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, some businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale, impacting their performance negatively [1] - The economy is increasingly characterized by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] Group 3 - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1] - Richard Durant, the leader of Narweena, has a strong educational background in engineering and finance, along with an MBA, and has passed the CFA exams [1]
Okta: Rebounding On Agent Hype
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-05-22 12:00
Company Overview - Okta's stock has seen a positive shift from investors over the past 6 months despite tepid revenue growth, with impressive margin gains reported [1] - The company's Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) growth indicates potential revenue increases in the future [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misunderstandings of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims for excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with high barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment approach emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a preference for smaller cap stocks and less obvious competitive advantages [1] Market Trends - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities distinct from historical trends [1] - Certain industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Other sectors may face rising costs and diseconomies of scale, impacting overall market dynamics [1] - The economy is increasingly influenced by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A growing pool of capital is competing for a limited number of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premiums [1]