Core Viewpoint - Qipai Technology has faced continuous losses and negative gross margins over the past two years, primarily due to industry downturns, pricing pressures, and increased fixed asset investments, but is showing signs of improvement in 2024 as the industry recovers [1][2]. Financial Performance - Gross margins from 2022 to the first half of 2025 were 0.99%, -17.43%, -5.94%, and -5.60%, with net profits of -58.56 million, -130.97 million, -102.11 million, and -58.67 million respectively [2]. - The main reasons for losses include product pricing being lower than costs, with significant price declines in key products like SOT, SOP, and QFN/DFN, which dropped by 12.17%, 15.08%, and 11.66% in 2023 [2]. - Fixed costs remain high, with manufacturing expenses consistently accounting for 48%-52% of main business costs, and depreciation reaching 121 million in 2023, a 14.3% increase year-on-year [2][3]. Capacity Utilization and Cost Pressure - Capacity utilization rates were 72.67% in 2022 and 68.13% in 2023, expected to improve to 80.57% in 2024 and 86.30% in the first half of 2025 [3]. - The company has invested 865 million in construction projects from 2022 to 2024, increasing fixed assets from 1.579 billion to 2.173 billion, leading to an average annual depreciation increase of over 15% [3]. Industry Comparison - Qipai Technology's performance trends align with the semiconductor packaging and testing industry, which has faced similar gross margin pressures [4]. - The company’s QFN/DFN products are the only ones with positive gross margins, contributing 32.06% of revenue in 2024 with a gross margin of 8.98% [4]. - Compared to industry peers, Qipai's gross margin of -5.45% in 2024 is significantly lower than the industry average of 13.43%, primarily due to its lower advanced packaging ratio [4]. Debt and Liquidity - As of June 2025, the company reported a current ratio of 0.41, a quick ratio of 0.29, and a debt-to-asset ratio of 66.87%, all below industry averages [5]. - The company has a total of 550 million in interest-bearing liabilities, with short-term borrowings of 121 million and long-term borrowings of 290 million [5]. - Qipai has a bank credit line of 924 million, with 314 million remaining available, and reported positive operating cash flow of 14.11 million in the first half of 2025 [5]. Future Outlook - The global packaging and testing market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 5.9% from 2024 to 2029, with advanced packaging being a key driver [6][7]. - Qipai anticipates improved gross margins and operational performance in 2025 due to increased capacity utilization and product structure optimization [6][7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the semiconductor industry has maintained a good growth rate over the past five years, with total operating revenue expected to reach 917.5 billion yuan by 2025, representing a 9% year-on-year growth and a total growth of 100% over five years [1] - Net profit for A-share semiconductor listed companies is projected to reach 51.3 billion yuan by 2025, also showing a 9% year-on-year growth and a total growth of 45% over the past five years [1] - The next three years will see "advanced process expansion" as a key focus for self-sufficiency, with significant advancements in domestic equipment and processes [1] Group 2 - The AI wave is expected to drive a surge in computing power demand, significantly increasing the value in segments such as servers, AI chips, optical chips, storage, and PCB boards [1] - The importance of advanced packaging technologies like CoWoS and HBM is highlighted in relation to the AI industry trend [1] - The semiconductor ETF tracks the China Semiconductor Chip (RMB) Index, which includes representative A-share listed companies across the entire semiconductor industry chain, reflecting the overall performance and growth potential of the sector [1]