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价格最大涨幅超50%,全球晶圆代工龙头或再上调报价,行业“通胀正在发酵”
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-09-23 23:44
Industry Insights - The price of the latest 3nm process CPUs has increased by approximately 20% compared to the previous generation, with a further expected increase of over 50% for the upcoming 2nm process [1] - TSMC has communicated to clients that wafer foundry prices for 5/4, 3, and 2nm processes will rise by about 5% to 10% due to issues related to tariffs, exchange rates, and supply chain efficiency [1] - The global semiconductor wafer production capacity is projected to grow from 31.5 million pieces per month in 2024 to 33.7 million pieces per month in 2025, driven by increasing chip demand [1] - The rise of the AI industry is boosting demand for high-end consumer electronics and computing power, which is expected to sustain growth in the wafer foundry sector in the coming years [1] - The wafer foundry industry in mainland China has a cost advantage of approximately 30-40% compared to overseas foundries, which is accelerating the layout of domestic capacity by foreign companies due to geopolitical factors [1] Company Developments - SMIC, the leading semiconductor foundry in mainland China, has achieved mass production from 90nm to 14nm, with its N+1 process nearing 7nm levels; Goldman Sachs has raised the company's 12-month target price for A-shares from 160.1 RMB to 182.8 RMB [2] - Yandong Microelectronics focuses on 6-inch and 8-inch specialty process platform products in its wafer foundry business; the company has announced that a light communication product has entered the sample trial production stage [2]