Short interest

Search documents
Checking in with a Former Meme Stock Before Earnings
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-08-07 18:44
Core Viewpoint - AMC Entertainment is preparing for its second-quarter earnings report, with expectations of a loss and increased revenue compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Wall Street anticipates a loss of four cents per share on revenue of $1.35 billion, indicating a significant increase from the same quarter last year [1] Group 2: Stock Performance History - AMC Entertainment stock has a poor post-earnings history, with only one out of the last eight earnings reports resulting in a higher closing price the next day, which was a mere 0.2% increase in August 2024 [2] - The options market is pricing in a 9.2% move for the stock, which is larger than the average 4.9% swing over the past two years [2] Group 3: Current Stock Status - The stock is currently trading flat at $2.78, having finished 10 of the last 11 sessions lower, with a notable support level at $2.79 [3] - There is overhead pressure at the 320-day moving average, which may limit short-term gains, particularly around the $4 level [3] Group 4: Technical Indicators - The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) for AMC is at 13.4, indicating it is in "oversold" territory, suggesting a potential short-term bounce [4] - Year-to-date, the stock has declined by 30% [4] Group 5: Options Trading Activity - Options traders are predominantly buying calls, with 57,132 calls purchased compared to 7,224 puts in the past two weeks, indicating bullish sentiment despite the stock's struggles [5] - Short interest accounts for 15% of the stock's total available float, suggesting some call purchases may be hedging against short positions [5]
Meme stock rally resurgence: Robinhood's Steve Quirk on recent trading trends
CNBC Television· 2025-07-25 12:04
Meme Stock Resurgence - American Eagle Outfitters saw its stock price increase by more than 15% for the week due to high short interest, brand recognition, and the announcement of Sydney Sweeney headlining a fall campaign [1] - Other meme stocks like Kohl's and Krispy Kreme also experienced significant swings, with Krispy Kreme up more than 40% for the week [2] - The resurgence is being referred to as "meme stock 3.0" [3] Retail Trader Behavior - Many retail traders are using tools like ChatGPT to identify stocks with high short interest and the potential to run [11] - Retail traders are allocating small amounts to these volatile stocks, driven by interest and online discussions [9] - The majority (85%) of people who joined Robinhood during the initial meme stock era are still active on the platform, now engaging in retirement accounts and yield products [17] Market Analysis - The market has increased by nearly 30% in a short period, leading investors to seek new opportunities [8] - The meme stock phenomenon may not have the same impact as before due to a faster turnover of favored stocks [10] - There's a mix of sophisticated and less sophisticated investors participating in meme stock trading, with institutional investors being cautious [15][16]
Is Chewy Stock's Uptrend at Risk? Analyst Turns Cautious
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-05 12:50
Core Viewpoint - Chewy Inc's stock has experienced a downgrade from "buy" to "hold" by Jefferies, despite an increase in the price target from $41 to $43, primarily due to valuation concerns [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Chewy's stock is down 2.8% in pre-market trading [1] - The stock has increased by 113% over the last 12 months and 41.2% year-to-date [1] - The stock reached a two-year high of $47.55 on June 3 [1] - The 10-day moving average has served as a reliable support level during recent pullbacks [1] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - A majority of analysts remain positive, with 20 out of 28 covering firms maintaining a "buy" or better rating [2] - There is potential for sentiment to shift if momentum fades [2] - Short interest has decreased by 17.2% in the last two weeks, with 7.8% of the float sold short, which could support future gains [2] Group 3: Options Market - Options are currently pricing in relatively low volatility, with Chewy's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) at 65%, placing it in the 29th percentile of its annual range [2] - This suggests that options premiums are affordable [2]
Canada Goose Soars 30%—Is This Rally Built to Last?
MarketBeat· 2025-05-21 18:24
Core Viewpoint - Canada Goose's stock price surged by 30% following its FQ4 report, driven by brand loyalty and high short interest, although the short interest has decreased since the report [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Canada Goose's Q4 revenue grew by 7.4% year-over-year, with a 15.7% increase in direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales, while wholesale sales declined by 23.2% [4] - DTC sales increased by 11.6% on an FX-neutral basis, supported by a 6.8% rise in comparable sales and an increased store count [5] - The company improved its gross margin by 620 basis points, with operating income more than doubling and net income growing by over 400% [6] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The high short interest at the beginning of May was above 20%, contributing to the stock's price spike [1] - Analysts predict that short sellers may reposition at higher levels following the Q4 release, despite concerns about future profitability due to tariff impacts [2][7] - Institutions own about 85% of Canada Goose stock, but their trading activity has been limited, influencing the stock's price action [8][9] Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - The consensus among analysts is a "Reduce" rating with a 12-month price target of $9.50, indicating a potential downside of 14.99% from the current price [8][10] - Analysts have reduced coverage and ratings for Canada Goose, favoring retailers with better cash flow and capital returns [11][14] - The stock's recent price surge may have already peaked, facing resistance at around $11.80, with limited upside potential [12][13]
Palantir Stock Stalls at Resistance as Bearish Setup Emerges
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-15 15:30
Group 1 - Palantir Technologies Inc stock is experiencing resistance at peak call open interest levels and February highs following the recent first-quarter results [1] - The stock's post-earnings rebound has stalled around the 50% year-to-date level and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, indicating potential for lower highs [1] - Short interest constitutes only 2.3% of the equity's available float, the lowest level since March, allowing room for short sellers to increase their positions [4] Group 2 - The peak call open interest at the 125-strike is acting as resistance, and a decline below $115 could attract shares towards the 100-strike [4] - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 83 out of 100, indicating it has surpassed options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [5] - A recommended June put option has a leverage ratio of 5.5, which would double with a 15.8% drop in the underlying security [5]
Tesla Short Interest Soars To 21.16%, Making It 4th Most Shorted Stock Currently: Here's What Its Charts Indicate
Benzinga· 2025-04-02 10:27
Core Insights - Tesla Inc. has seen a significant increase in short interest, rising over 21% to 81.331 million shares, making it the fourth most shorted stock in the U.S. market [1][3][4] Short Interest and Trading Volume - The short interest increased from 67.126 million to 81.331 million shares, representing about 2.9% of the company's publicly available shares as of March 14 [1][2] - The short interest surged by 21.16% from the previous settlement date of February 28, with average daily trading volume rising from 84.714 million to 125.16 million shares [2] Market Sentiment - The increase in short interest indicates lower confidence among investors, as noted by tech analyst Beth Kindig [3] - Tesla's notional short interest is now the fourth-largest, following Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple [4] Technical Analysis - Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend for Tesla's stock, which closed at $268.46, remaining below its 8, 50, and 200-day moving averages [4] - The relative strength index is at 47.30, indicating a neutral zone, while the MACD shows a bearish trend with a score of -11.6, although the histogram indicates a potential bullish sign within the bearish trend [5] Price Action - Tesla shares were down 1.37% in premarket trading, with a year-to-date decline of 29.22%, despite a 61.11% increase over the last year [6] Analyst Ratings - A consensus "hold" rating from 29 analysts suggests an average price target of $309.55, with a potential upside of 67.86% based on recent ratings from Stifel, Deutsche Bank, and Wedbush averaging $450 [8]