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Gary Black Says Tesla Is 'Too Good' A Company To Short Despite Valuation Concerns: 'Shorting Stocks Is No Picnic'
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-08 21:31
Core Insights - Gary Black, Managing Partner of The Future Fund LLC, has expressed reluctance to short Tesla Inc. despite concerns regarding its valuation, emphasizing that Tesla is a strong company in a thriving business environment [1][4]. Group 1: Shorting Stocks - Black stated that shorting stocks is challenging and typically reserved for companies facing secular demand decline or permanent market share loss, lacking the necessary tech, brand, distribution, or management depth to recover [2][4]. - He clarified that the firm would not short a company merely because it appears expensive; instead, they would choose not to own it [3][4]. Group 2: Tesla's Market Position - Black believes that Tesla's valuation, even at 198 times the adjusted EPS for 2026, does not warrant a short position due to the company's strong market position and the increasing global adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) [4]. - He noted that Tesla's marketing issues are manageable and that the company is likely to resolve challenges related to unsupervised autonomy, which could lead to increased sales [4]. Group 3: Concerns from Other Investors - Former fund manager George Noble expressed concerns about Tesla's stock, citing "irresponsible figures" used by momentum investors promoting the stock [5]. - Investor Michael Burry labeled Tesla as "ridiculously overvalued" but confirmed he does not hold a short position against the company [5]. Group 4: Marketing Strategies - Black highlighted the necessity for Tesla to enhance its marketing efforts, warning that reliance on word-of-mouth and CEO Elon Musk's cultural relevance could hinder its competitiveness against Robotaxi rivals [6].
Shorting Stocks Is Incredibly Tough To Do : The Good Investors %
The Good Investors· 2025-11-22 16:05
Core Insights - The challenges of shorting stocks are highlighted through the experiences with Luckin Coffee and Intellego Technologies, emphasizing that both fundamental analysis and timing are crucial for success in short selling [2][3][5] Company Analysis - Luckin Coffee's stock price increased by 59% from April 1, 2019, to January 31, 2020, despite fraudulent activities, illustrating the risks of shorting stocks [2][3] - Intellego Technologies, which offers dosimeters for UV radiation exposure, faced significant issues when its CEO was arrested for "gross fraud," leading to the suspension of its shares [4] - The stock price of Intellego Technologies rose from SEK 5 at its IPO in June 2021 to a peak of SEK 213 in early September 2025, before falling to SEK 47 prior to the trading suspension [4][5] Investment Implications - An investor who shorted Intellego Technologies' shares at the end of June 2025 would have experienced a nearly 200% gain in stock price before the eventual decline, reinforcing the difficulty of timing in short selling [5]