Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core View - The US September non - farm employment report data is divergent, with new employment exceeding expectations while the unemployment rate reaching a four - year high, making it difficult to resolve internal differences within the Fed. The market continues to trade on the expectation that there will probably be no interest rate cut in December. Sino - Japanese disputes persist, and with the general decline in the Asia - Pacific market, the risk appetite in the market has decreased. Today, the stock index of the A - share market opened lower and trended downward as a whole. Under the rising risk - aversion sentiment, the large - cap stock index maintained a relative advantage. In the short term, due to the relatively dull policy news and the weakening of positive policy signals, the bottom support for the stock index is insufficient. Without obvious positive stimuli, the stock index is expected to continue to correct. With high external uncertainties, the risk - aversion sentiment in the market is difficult to ease, and the dominance of large - cap stock indices may continue [4] Market Review - Today, the stock index fell on heavy volume, and the large - cap stock index was relatively resistant to decline. Taking the CSI 300 index as an example, it closed down 2.44%. In terms of capital, the trading volume of the two markets increased by 2574.72 billion yuan. In the futures index market, IF and IH fell on light volume, while IC and IM fell on heavy volume [2] Important Information - The number of new non - farm jobs in the US in September was 1.19 million, far exceeding expectations. The employment figures for the previous two months were significantly revised down by 330,000, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.4%, a four - year high. "New Fed Wire": The September employment report fails to resolve internal differences within the Fed. The number of initial jobless claims in the US last week unexpectedly dropped to 220,000, and the number of continued claims was the highest in four years [3] Strategy Recommendation Futures Index Market Observation | | IF | IH | IC | IM | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Main contract intraday change (%) | - 2.64 | - 1.98 | - 3.37 | - 3.44 | | Trading volume (10,000 lots) | 16.6554 | 7.5314 | 19.3831 | 32.2669 | | Trading volume change compared to the previous period (10,000 lots) | 3.8268 | 1.7238 | 5.6263 | 11.1136 | | Open interest (10,000 lots) | 27.5889 | 9.5086 | 26.559 | 39.8785 | | Open interest change compared to the previous period (10,000 lots) | - 0.1995 | - 0.2689 | 0.9611 | 3.684 | [5] Spot Market Observation | Name | Value | | --- | --- | | Shanghai Composite Index change (%) | - 2.45 | | Shenzhen Component Index change (%) | - 3.41 | | Ratio of rising to falling stocks | 0.07 | | Trading volume of the two markets (billion yuan) | 19656.61 | | Trading volume change compared to the previous period (billion yuan) | 2574.72 | [6] Other Data Presentations - Presented data on the ratio of margin trading volume to A - share trading volume, cross - variety strength, and the premium/discount rate of IF, IH, IC, and IM, as well as the price - earnings ratios of the Shanghai Composite 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, and CSI 1000 Index [7][8][9][17]

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