$NVDA $PLTR $TSLA Actual cash Stock-Based Compensation costs are much higher than GAAP SBC expense. This is not because the employees' shares went up in value. The shares were not yet in employees' hands.The grants of RSUs are made with the expectation of appreciation in value, but nearly all potential upside is funded by shareholders directly through future dilution or future massive buybacks to nowhere. Companies benefit by offloading nearly all that upside from the income statement, but it shows up large ...

Kudos to $NVDA and CFO Colette Kress for changing company policy on the presentation of its earnings and earnings per share. Going forward NVDA will no longer exclude its Stock-Based Compensation GAAP expense from the adjusted earnings it presents to investors and Wall StreetThis will now make earnings look more like GAAP earnings. Not exactly, but much better.None of this changes the thesis I laid out in my Foundations article The Tragic Algebra of Stock-Based Compensation or subsequent Recurrence and Shor ...

Stock-Based Compensation Analysis - The report analyzes the "tragic algebra" of stock-based compensation, using Nvidia as a primary example [1] - The analysis is a response to Nvidia's talking points distributed to Wall Street analysts [1] Company Specifics - Nvidia is used as a case study due to its suitability as an example [1]

Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies is experiencing a decline in stock value, with concerns about overvaluation and insider selling impacting investor sentiment [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Valuation - Palantir's stock is down approximately 2.5% over the last 30 days, raising concerns about a potential correction due to its high valuation metrics [1] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 517.27, indicating significant overvaluation based on traditional metrics [1] - Analysts have set a price target of $136.61 for Palantir, suggesting an 11.52% downside from the current price of $154.40 [12] Group 2: Insider Selling and Its Implications - Recent insider selling has raised alarms among investors, as it may indicate executives are aware of negative information that could affect stock value [3][9] - Most recent insider trades were executed under a Rule 10b5-1(c) plan, which is designed to prevent insider trading and indicates that these sales were pre-planned [4][11] - Insiders often sell shares to diversify their wealth or cover personal expenses, rather than signaling a lack of confidence in the company's future [10] Group 3: Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) Concerns - Palantir has faced criticism for its high levels of stock-based compensation, which totaled $1.57 billion as of June 2025, reflecting a 30% year-over-year increase [7][8] - High SBC can lead to dilution of existing shares, negatively impacting shareholder value and making the stock appear more expensive on a per-share basis [6][12] - The exclusion of SBC from "adjusted earnings" presentations may obscure the true cost of compensation, potentially misleading investors about the company's financial health [12] Group 4: Recent Partnerships and Business Developments - Palantir has formed a new partnership with Lumen Technologies, which is leveraging Palantir's Foundry and AIP programs to enhance its operations [13] - The partnership with Lear, a global automotive leader, has reportedly generated $30 million in cost savings in the first half of 2025, showcasing the effectiveness of Palantir's platforms [14]