Subscriber Churn

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FuboTV's Margin Gains, NFL Bundle Plan Keep Analyst Bullish Despite Subscriber Dip
Benzingaยท 2025-05-05 20:57
Core Viewpoint - FuboTV reported mixed financial results for the first quarter, with revenue growth but subscriber losses, leading to a price target reduction by Needham analyst Laura Martin from $3.35 to $3 while maintaining a Buy rating [1] Financial Performance - FuboTV's first-quarter revenue reached $405.96 million, an 8.1% year-over-year increase, slightly below the analyst consensus estimate of $415.45 million [1] - Adjusted EPS loss was two cents, outperforming the analyst consensus estimate of nine cents [1] - Revenue for the first quarter was reported at $416.3 million, a 3% year-over-year increase, and 1% above Martin's estimates [3] - Adjusted EBITDA loss improved significantly to $1.4 million, a 96% year-over-year improvement and 58% better than Martin's estimate [3] - Free cash flow showed a loss of $62 million, an increase of $9.3 million year-over-year [8] Subscriber Metrics - FuboTV's total subscribers were 1.824 million as of March 31, down 8,000 sequentially and 4% year-over-year [4] - North American subscribers decreased to 1.47 million, down 206,000 sequentially and 93% year-over-year [5] - Subscriber guidance for the second quarter of 2025 is projected at 1.225 million to 1.255 million for North America, reflecting a 14% year-over-year decline [5][6] Advertising Revenue - Ad revenue for the first quarter was $22.9 million, down 17% year-over-year and 31% below Martin's estimates, primarily due to the loss of Warner Bros. Discovery and TelevisaUnivision content [3][8] - Interactive ad formats increased by 37% year-over-year in the first quarter, with projections of a 41% increase in the first half of 2025 [9] Future Outlook - FuboTV plans to launch a new skinny bundle before the fall 2025 NFL season, which will include content from Walt Disney Co and other non-Disney linear TV programmers [1][2] - The company expects the Disney deal to close by the second quarter of 2026 [2]