RT ponzi.land (@ponzidotland)Lot of noise recently with this guy...Imagine what's gonna happen once they stake it all.Supply and demand. ...

Core Insights - The return of McDonald's Snack Wrap has led to unexpected high demand, resulting in a temporary depletion of lettuce supplies [1][5][8] - The company issued a directive to franchisees to pause adding shredded lettuce to McChicken sandwiches to manage supply shortages [2][5] - McDonald's had not anticipated such a surge in demand after the Snack Wrap's nine-year absence from the menu [5][11] Supply Chain Management - The supply shortage of lettuce has been resolved and is currently stable, with other ingredient outages also being temporary [8] - McDonald's typically follows a standard process for projecting supply needs but was caught off guard by the pent-up demand for the Snack Wrap [5][8] Customer Engagement - The decision to bring back the Snack Wrap was influenced by customer enthusiasm, including social media buzz and petitions [11] - McDonald's U.S. President had previously indicated that the Snack Wrap had a "cult following," which contributed to its relaunch [9][11]

Tokenization of Securities - The industry is considering whether algorithms should match supply and demand in the tokenization of securities and new offerings [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high of $118,856, surpassing its previous peak of $111,560, indicating strong market momentum and investor interest [1] Supply Dynamics - Approximately 94% of all possible bitcoins have been mined, with around 20% of the supply believed to be permanently lost [3] - The upcoming halving in April 2024 will reduce the daily output of new bitcoins from 900 to 450, tightening supply further [3] - The current supply situation is optimal for buyers, as demand is increasingly driven by institutional investors rather than retail enthusiasts [4] Institutional Demand - Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw net inflows of $4.6 billion in June, reducing the public float available for new investors [5] - Major companies, such as Tesla, are maintaining significant Bitcoin holdings, with Tesla holding 11,509 coins valued at nearly $1.4 billion [6] - New Bitcoin treasury companies are emerging, focused on acquiring and storing bitcoins, further constraining supply [6][8] Government Interest - Governments are exploring or accumulating Bitcoin, with the U.S. planning to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) to hold forfeited coins [9] - This institutional and governmental interest contributes to a competitive environment for Bitcoin, as various entities vie for a limited supply [10] Market Sentiment and Conditions - Current market conditions are healthier compared to the 2021 crypto bull market, characterized by ETF-driven demand and increased regulatory clarity [12] - Investor sentiment appears cautious rather than exuberant, indicating a more stable market environment [13] Investment Strategy - Dollar-cost averaging is recommended as a strategy to mitigate the impact of market volatility, allowing investors to buy a fixed amount of Bitcoin regularly [16] - With tightening supply and increasing institutional interest, the current price level may be a temporary milestone rather than a peak [17]

Market Reaction to Geopolitical Events - Equity markets are seemingly moving past concerns related to geopolitical events, as evidenced by Asian FX and dollar offer trends [1] - The oil market is largely discounting the recent flare-up in US-Iranian conflict, with prices falling below the June 12 level [3] - Oil traders perceive minimal risk to the market, contingent on no strikes on Iranian oil infrastructure and no disruption to the Strait of Hormuz [2] Oil Supply and Demand Fundamentals - The oil market's focus is shifting to supply and demand fundamentals, which are currently bearish [4] - Widespread expectations suggest oil supplies will outpace demand in the second half of the year [5] - Chinese demand growth has been weak in recent months, contributing to the bearish outlook [6] - OPEC plus has been agreeing to increase output more than normal, adding barrels to the market [8] - Iran has been increasing its exports, further contributing to the supply glut [8] Price Outlook - The market sentiment has swung back to a bearish view, with discussions shifting from extreme scenarios like $100 oil to potentially lower prices [6] - The $60 range is considered a likely level for oil prices, barring disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz [9] - Shale drillers potentially taking advantage of the recent price spike could add supply, putting downward pressure on prices [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an Overweight (OW) rating for various companies across the energy sub-sectors, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [94][95]. Core Insights - The energy sector has performed in line with the broader market year-to-date, with rising geopolitical risks and stronger oil prices contributing to this performance [15][17]. - The report highlights a preference for natural gas exposure over oil, particularly in the Exploration & Production (E&P) segment, due to expected gas deficits and oversupply in the oil market [103][95]. - The refining and marketing sub-sector is expected to benefit from summer travel demand and tight product inventories, supporting margins [115][117]. Energy Performance & Valuation - Energy sub-sectors are near 10-year median EV/EBITDA multiples, with services stocks at the low end of historical ranges [17]. - The report forecasts a median free cash flow (FCF) yield of 11% at $65 WTI, with variations based on oil price scenarios [103][110]. Commodities and Macro Outlook - WTI oil prices have rallied approximately 25% since early May, driven by a tight crude market and geopolitical tensions [24][31]. - The report anticipates a surplus in the oil market in the second half of 2025, while a natural gas deficit is expected to re-emerge [103][42]. Sub-Sector Views Exploration & Production - The report emphasizes a defensive bias and preference for U.S. gas exposure over oil, with EQT identified as a top pick [95][111]. - Oil producers with a positive rate of change are favored, with Devon Energy (DVN) and Permian Resources (PR) highlighted for their strong performance [95][111]. Refining & Marketing - The summer travel season is expected to provide a demand boost, with product inventories remaining tight [115][117]. - Key stock plays include Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) and HF Sinclair Corp (DINO) due to their operational strengths [115][117]. Energy Services - The report suggests maintaining exposure to defensive and diverse characteristics, with Baker Hughes (BKR) and Schlumberger (SLB) as preferred stocks [95][130]. - The energy services sector is trading at historically low valuations compared to the S&P, indicating potential upside [124][132]. Midstream Energy - Midstream energy infrastructure is viewed as misvalued, with expectations for strong free cash flow and high dividend yields [136][142]. - Key stocks in this segment include Targa Resources Corp (TRGP), Oneok Inc. (OKE), and Energy Transfer LP (ET) [142].

Geopolitical Impact on Oil Prices - Oil prices have moved dramatically higher due to geopolitical tensions, with the current price movement largely attributed to a geopolitical premium [2] - The market is highly reactive to geopolitical headlines, causing volatility as traders assess the implications for supply and oil prices [4] - Current oil prices are around $74, and while higher than the $60-65 range before the geopolitical events, they are not yet at levels indicating supply interruption concerns [3][4] OPEC+ and Market Dynamics - OPEC+'s decision to bring forward supply surprised market participants, potentially preventing even higher oil prices [6] - Political considerations play a significant role in OPEC+ decision-making, particularly in maintaining group cohesion [7][8] - OPEC+ initially believed the market could absorb increased barrels until the first half of the year, but geopolitical concerns have altered this outlook [9] - OPEC still possesses considerable spare capacity that could be brought online, though escalating conflict impacting production and export facilities could drive prices even higher [10]

Core Viewpoint - OPEC+ plans to increase oil production, negatively impacting oil producers like ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips, while benefiting oil transport companies like Frontline due to increased demand for shipping services as oil prices fall [1][3][6]. Group 1: Impact on Oil Producers - ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips stocks are down 2.5% and 3.6% respectively following OPEC+'s announcement [2]. - Brent crude prices have decreased by 28% over the past year, contributing to the negative sentiment around oil producers [2]. - The increase in oil supply by OPEC+ is expected to lead to further price declines, which will negatively affect profits for ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips [4][3]. Group 2: Impact on Oil Transport Companies - Frontline's stock is up 3.9% as the demand for oil transport services is expected to rise due to falling oil prices [2][6]. - The company benefits from increased shipping needs as consumers seek to purchase cheaper oil, leading to higher demand for Frontline's services [7]. - Frontline is considered a cheaper investment option with a trailing earnings ratio of 7.7 and a generous dividend yield of 4.7% [8]. Group 3: Long-term Considerations - Despite the current sell-off, long-term investors may consider buying Exxon and ConocoPhillips stocks due to their respectable dividend yields of 3.7% and 3.4% respectively [9]. - Both companies are reasonably priced with trailing profit ratios of 14.1 for Exxon and 11.7 for Conoco, suggesting potential for future growth as demand rebounds [10].

Core Insights - The report titled "Apixaban Industry Research 2025" provides a comprehensive analysis of the Apixaban market, including trends, forecasts, and regional insights from 2019 to 2029 [1][4]. Group 1: Market Overview - The report includes general information about Apixaban, its synonyms, chemical composition, safety, hazards, handling, storage, and toxicological and ecological details [2][8]. - It explores various applications of Apixaban and examines manufacturing methods, supported by an analysis of relevant patents [3][8]. - The global market analysis covers constraints, drivers, and opportunities from 2019 to 2024, along with supply and demand dynamics across different regions [3][9]. Group 2: Future Trends and Forecasts - The report forecasts future trends and supply-demand scenarios for Apixaban up to 2029, providing detailed market predictions by region [4][10]. - It analyzes market prices across different regions and evaluates the end-use sectors for Apixaban [4][10]. Group 3: Key Topics Covered - Key topics include Apixaban applications, manufacturing methods, patents, world market analysis, and manufacturers across various regions [8][9]. - The report addresses key questions regarding market trends, size, main players, and the drivers and challenges that will shape the Apixaban market from 2025 to 2029 [6][8].