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Economy is currently supercharging the productivity story, says Jefferies' David Zervos
Youtube· 2025-12-23 20:07
Core Insights - The productivity in America is reportedly improving, with growth rates around 2.8% in 2023 and 2.9% projected for 2024, despite a rising unemployment rate from 3.5% to 3.8% and then to 4.1% [2][3] - The current economic narrative suggests a shift towards higher productivity driven by factors such as remote work and better job placements, which have allowed companies to operate efficiently with fewer employees [4][5] - There is an expectation that deregulation and tax changes from the new administration will further enhance productivity, potentially leading to a growth rate of 3.5% to 4% with an unemployment rate of around 5% by the end of 2026 [8] Industry Trends - The finance industry is witnessing a trend where companies are leveraging tools to increase productivity without necessarily hiring more staff, indicating a shift in operational strategies [11] - The rise of AI is seen as a double-edged sword; while it allows for efficiency with fewer employees, it also raises questions about future job creation and the need for new roles to support AI-driven platforms [9][10] - The narrative around job creation is evolving, with expectations that new jobs will emerge to support technological advancements, although there may be a lag in this job growth [8][10]
Bitcoin Drops Below $85,000, Could it go below $80,000?
Bloomberg Television· 2025-12-02 00:01
ETF Market Dynamics - Outflows from Bitcoin ETFs are small relative to the massive inflows over the past 18 months, representing only a couple percentage points [1] - Ethereum ETFs have experienced approximately $25 billion outflows, warranting close attention [2] - A significant portion of the outflows is attributed to the basis trade, a strategy favored by hedge funds [3] - The basis trade, involving selling front-month futures contracts and buying spot at the same time, offered an annualized yield that has fluctuated, reaching 20% at times but now below 5% [4][5] - Decreased interest in the basis trade is driving money out of these ETFs, while retail investors and long-term investment advisors continue to buy [5] - The ETF space is experiencing aggressive growth, with inflows exceeding $1 trillion this year [15] Crypto Regulation and Taxation - Uncertainty surrounding regulatory clarity from the SEC and CFTC has been a concern for institutional investors in crypto ETFs and crypto investing [7] - Tax changes, including guidance from the IRS on "good income" versus "bad income," are expected to reshape the crypto landscape [6][8] - The tax treatment of staking yield, where assets are locked up to contribute to the network in return for in-kind Ethereum, is currently unclear [9][10] - Crypto ETFs are starting to allow for staking yield, but some institutional investors are hesitant due to potential tax implications [10] ETF Product Innovation - Hundreds of new crypto ETFs with different variations, leverage, and yield plays are expected to launch [12] - "Manufactured yield" products, using derivatives to generate high yields (sometimes over 80%), are gaining popularity [12][13] - Active ETFs, including "boomer candy" products offering downside protection, are growing rapidly, with legacy asset managers entering the market [13][14] - Goldman Sachs is acquiring a company specializing in buffer products, indicating a significant move into the active ETF space [14][15]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-18 15:17
Rich British families are looking for ways to pass on their money after tax changes under Labour. Read more on how they're doing it: https://t.co/MSSAwy2zZC📷: WPA Pool/Getty Image https://t.co/7yWbsZyNpI ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-18 05:10
Rich British families are looking for ways to pass on their money after tax changes under Labour. Here's how they're doing it https://t.co/KJk4gU2W5u ...
I’m a Tax Expert: 5 Smart Moves To Prepare For Tax Changes Under Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-01 11:57
Core Points - The "One Big Beautiful Bill" introduces new tax provisions that will have immediate effects on taxpayers retroactive to the beginning of the year [1] Group 1: Taxpayer Actions - Taxpayers should update their 2026 tax estimates to reflect new permanent deductions, including breaks for tips and overtime pay, a higher SALT deduction limit, and the return of the 20% small-business deduction [3] - It is advisable for taxpayers to compare the benefits of itemizing deductions against the standard deduction, especially with the new $40,000 cap on SALT deductions, which is adjusted annually for inflation [4][5] Group 2: Small Business Implications - Small-business owners can benefit from the 20% qualified business income deduction as a permanent tax break, allowing them to discount eligible profits [6] - The removal of limits on the pass-through entity tax deduction provides more flexibility for small businesses to reduce state taxes, with retroactive relief opportunities available for those with receipts under $31 million for 2022 and 2023 [7] Group 3: Energy Projects - Taxpayers involved in energy-efficient buildings or renewable energy projects should expedite qualifying projects under sections 45L and 179D before June 30, 2026 [8] - Wind and solar projects must be operational by the end of 2027 to qualify for full benefits, and businesses should carefully time the construction of new industrial facilities to take advantage of permanent 100% bonus depreciation [9]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-23 07:30
Market Trends & Uncertainty - UK real estate market is facing uncertainty due to potential tax changes in the upcoming budget [1] - Uncertainty is negatively impacting home sales [1] Company Performance - Foxtons, a London real estate agent, issued a warning about the impact of tax changes [1]
X @The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal· 2025-10-14 06:21
Tax Law Changes - The income brackets determining US tax payments are increasing for 2026 [1] - The lowest brackets are experiencing a larger increase due to the new tax law [1]
Suze Orman: Why Tax Changes Shouldn’t Drive You To Buy a New Car
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-22 13:44
Core Insights - The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) introduces new tax benefits for car buyers, including a temporary tax deduction on car loan interest, which may influence purchasing decisions [3][4] - Personal finance expert Suze Orman warns against using these tax benefits as justification for unplanned car purchases, emphasizing the importance of financial prudence [2][7] Tax Changes Summary - The OBBBA allows a temporary tax deduction of up to $10,000 on car loan interest until 2028, with income phase-out thresholds set at $100,000 for individuals and $200,000 for joint filers [3] - The act also ends the federal tax credit of $7,500 for new electric vehicle purchases and the $1,000 credit for home EV charging station installations, with expiration dates of September 30, 2025, and June 30, 2026, respectively [4] Market Implications - The average cost of a new car exceeds $49,000, and potential tariffs may further increase prices, which could lead to a rush in purchases due to perceived tax benefits [6] - Orman cautions that tax breaks should not be the primary reason for making significant investments in new cars, advocating for a more measured approach to car buying [7][8]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-15 19:44
Canada’s Department of Finance published a list of tax changes that the government is planning to implement, most of which were already announced during former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s time in power https://t.co/Z3SeD2lbzS ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-14 07:46
Tax & Wealth Migration - The number of wealthy individuals leaving the UK due to recent tax changes aligns with official predictions [1] Financial Times Report - FT reported the alignment between wealthy individuals leaving the UK and official predictions [1]