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Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) Presents at Global Technology, Internet, Media & Telecommunications Conference 2025 Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-19 17:13
Core Insights - The company, Astera Labs, has successfully gone public over a year ago and is targeting a high-growth market with a total addressable market (TAM) of approximately $10 billion [2] Group 1: Market Overview - The market landscape has evolved significantly since the company's IPO, leading to an expansion into new markets [2] - The company is reassessing its serviceable available market (SAM) and TAM in light of these changes and is optimistic about its growth potential [2]
Ocado suffers £300m slump as US supermarket axes its warehouses
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-18 16:56
Ocado started selling its automated warehouse technology to supermarkets around the world in recent years - Kroger/Reuters Ocado has suffered a £300m slump after its biggest customer announced plans to shut automated warehouses built using its technology. Kroger, a US supermarket chain, said it would close three facilities set up with Ocado as it shifts towards fulfilling orders in-store. The sites, known as customer fulfilment centres, are expected to cease operations in January. Ocado said shutting dow ...
英维克- 进入 10 倍总可寻址市场(TAM)的黄金窗口
2025-11-13 02:48
Summary of Shenzhen Envicool Technology Co., Ltd Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhen Envicool Technology Co., Ltd - **Industry**: Data Center Liquid Cooling - **Market Cap**: Rmb74.1 billion / US$10.4 billion [6] Key Points Industry Growth and Market Potential - The global rack-level liquid cooling market is projected to grow from US$2-3 billion in 2024 to US$13 billion by 2028, representing a **51% CAGR** [2][23] - The total addressable market (TAM) for liquid cooling in China is expected to be **10 times** that of the global market [2][25] - The increasing power density of AI racks is driving the demand for liquid cooling solutions [1][15] Company Performance and Projections - Envicool's price target has been raised from Rmb30.15 to Rmb100.00, reflecting its potential for overseas expansion and solidifying its leadership in China [1] - The company's market share in China is expected to increase from **20%+ in 2024 to 30%+ by 2028** due to higher adoption of liquid cooling technologies [3] - Envicool's gross margin for data center cooling is anticipated to rise from **27% in 2024 to 34% by 2028** [2] Competitive Landscape - Intense competition exists in the Chinese market, but leading firms like Envicool are expected to capture more market share due to higher technology entry barriers [3] - The launch of high-density products by competitors such as Huawei and Alibaba indicates a growing necessity for liquid cooling solutions [3][16] Financial Projections - Envicool's net profit is projected to grow at a **65% CAGR from 2025 to 2028**, normalizing at over **40% CAGR from 2028 to 2031** [4] - The price target is based on a **40x P/E ratio for 2028**, higher than the historical average of **30x**, reflecting expected higher earnings growth [4][13] Strategic Opportunities - 2026 is identified as a "golden window" for new entrants in the liquid cooling market due to a higher mix of AI ASIC shipments [1][30] - Envicool is well-positioned to expand into the overseas market, with expectations of capturing **4-5% of the global wallet share by 2028** [2] Risks and Challenges - A **4% reduction** in 2025 net profit estimates was noted due to project delays in China [4] - The market has priced in a larger TAM but remains skeptical about the sustainability of Envicool's market share gains and margin expansion [13] Conclusion - Envicool is poised for significant growth in the liquid cooling market, driven by increasing demand from AI applications and a strategic focus on both domestic and international markets. The company's strong R&D capabilities and established relationships with leading tech firms position it favorably for future opportunities [11][35]
Lisa Su announces more than $1T forecast for AMD's total addressable market
Youtube· 2025-11-11 19:48
Group 1 - AMD CEO Lisa Su announced a significantly increased forecast for the total addressable market (TAM) for AI, projecting it to exceed $1 trillion by 2030, up from the previously outlined $500 billion earlier this year [1][2] - The $1 trillion figure includes not only AI chips but also AMD's traditional CPU chips and networking products, which some analysts may view as too inclusive compared to competitors like Nvidia [3] - AMD's CPU demand is accelerating due to AI, as general-purpose compute is essential alongside advanced graphics chips [4] Group 2 - AMD expects over 50% growth in its server business and anticipates data center AI revenue to grow 80% annually over the next five years [5] - The next generation of AMD's AI chips and rack-scale systems is projected to generate tens of billions of dollars in revenue by 2027 [5] - AMD's advancements in rack systems are aimed at enhancing its competitiveness against Nvidia in the data center market [6]
What We’re Reading (Week Ending 09 November 2025) : The Good Investors %
The Good Investors· 2025-11-09 01:00
Group 1: Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) - High ROIC alone is insufficient for strong long-term investment returns; companies must also reinvest capital effectively to grow revenue and earnings [3][4] - A small percentage of companies achieve very high ROICs, with only ~5.5% having >20% ROIC and ~1.5% having >40% ROIC [9] - Revenue growth that translates into earnings growth is crucial for rising stock prices, and companies must consistently earn returns on capital that exceed their cost of capital [6][11] Group 2: Labor and Capital Decoupling - Companies like Alphabet and Microsoft have significantly reduced the number of employees needed to achieve $100 billion in revenue over time, indicating a trend of decoupling labor from capital [12][13] - Walmart has maintained a stable headcount while increasing revenue, suggesting efficiency improvements in operations [14] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - The acquisition of Metsera by Pfizer faced competition from a higher bid by Novo Nordisk, leading to a significant increase in Metsera's stock price [14][15] - Historical examples illustrate that boards often prefer lower offers with more deal certainty over higher bids with regulatory risks, which can lead to bidding wars [21][22] Group 4: Nuclear Power Industry - Oklo Inc., a nuclear startup, has faced regulatory challenges but has a market value of around $20 billion, indicating investor interest despite setbacks [19][20] - The NRC denied Oklo's reactor design application due to safety concerns, highlighting the regulatory hurdles in the nuclear industry [26][24] Group 5: AI and Economic Impact - AI-related stocks have accounted for 75% of S&P 500 returns since the launch of ChatGPT, indicating a significant impact on the economy [31] - The construction of AI data centers is increasingly financed by borrowing, suggesting a shift in funding dynamics compared to historical railroad projects [32][33]
Ross Gerber Decries Affordable Tesla Model Y Talks Amid October 7 Speculation: 'It's Really Sad' - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Benzinga· 2025-10-07 08:41
Core Viewpoint - The launch of a more affordable Tesla Model Y trim has been met with skepticism from industry analysts, who express concerns about its potential impact on Tesla's brand and market positioning [1][3]. Group 1: Analyst Reactions - Ross Gerber, co-founder of Gerber Kawasaki, criticized the potential new Model Y, stating it is "really sad" to see a less capable version being introduced [2]. - Gary Black, managing director of Future Fund LLC, echoed similar sentiments, arguing that the new affordable Model Y does not enhance Tesla's brand leverage or expand its Total Addressable Market (TAM) [3]. Group 2: Q4 Outlook - Despite exceeding Wall Street and analyst estimates with over 497,000 units delivered in Q3, Gerber warned that Tesla may face challenges in Q4 [4]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - Tesla is noted to perform well on Momentum and Growth metrics, while its Value rating is poor. The company shows a favorable price trend across short, medium, and long-term perspectives [5].
Better Crypto Buy: XRP vs. BNB
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 10:15
Core Insights - The article discusses the comparative investment potential of XRP and BNB, emphasizing that crypto assets that expand their total addressable market (TAM) tend to appreciate in value more effectively than those that focus solely on existing markets [1]. XRP Overview - XRP was designed by Ripple primarily as a payments and asset-settlement cryptocurrency, targeting financial institutions such as banks and currency exchange houses [3]. - The XRP Ledger (XRPL) features compliance-friendly functionalities that allow asset issuers to meet regulatory requirements without relying on third-party smart contracts, which is crucial for institutions concerned about legal liabilities [4]. - Transaction costs on the XRPL are minimal and predictable, which is essential for high-volume money transfers, and it offers rapid transaction settlement times, reducing the need for businesses to tie up working capital [5]. - Ripple is actively exploring new markets for XRP, leveraging its strong reputation to attract major financial companies for trial programs, which could lead to increased capital inflows if successful [6][7]. - The investment thesis for XRP hinges on Ripple's ability to execute its strategy effectively, expanding the range of financial services and attracting a broader user base, thereby enhancing the network's value [8]. BNB Overview - BNB aims to serve as a valuable native token for the Binance crypto exchange, positioning itself within the cryptocurrency ecosystem [8]. - Both XRP and BNB are focused on financial use cases, but XRP's broader goal encompasses a wider array of financial tools and capabilities compared to BNB [8]. - XRP faces significant competition from other cryptocurrencies and traditional fintech companies as it seeks to expand its market presence [9].
Gary Black Says Tesla Robotaxi Valuation Overstated, Advocates Market Share And TAM-Based Approach Amid Competition From Waymo - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Benzinga· 2025-09-25 10:59
Group 1 - Future Fund LLC's managing director, Gary Black, suggests a new valuation approach for Tesla's Robotaxi, advocating for a total addressable market (TAM) and market share-based method instead of the capacity-driven approach [1][2] - Black warns that while Tesla is likely to achieve unsupervised autonomy, other competitors will also do so, indicating a more competitive landscape [2] - The capacity-driven approach has been criticized for overstating Tesla's Robotaxi value by three to five times [2] Group 2 - Waymo has launched a business fleet targeting enterprises, universities, and private events, potentially expanding the market for autonomous cab companies [3] - Amazon's Zoox is seeking approval to deploy 2,500 driverless pod Robotaxis, which could benefit from proposed revisions to Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards [4] - Tesla has received approval to expand its Robotaxi testing operations in Arizona, moving towards more autonomous operations [5] Group 3 - Tesla is facing lawsuits related to its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, with customers in Beijing suing for not receiving the service after payment [6] - Tesla scores well on momentum and growth metrics, with satisfactory quality but poor value, and shows a favorable price trend in the short, medium, and long term [7]
4 Ways to Identify Promising Growth Stocks
The Smart Investor· 2025-09-19 09:30
Core Insights - The current investment landscape presents opportunities for growth investors despite market volatility, facilitated by modern brokerages that provide access to a wide range of global stocks [1] Group 1: Strategic Reviews and Resets - Companies undergoing strategic reviews can reposition themselves for sustainable growth by focusing on high-potential areas and exiting unprofitable segments [3] - Hongkong Land Holdings announced a strategic review in October, planning to exit the build-to-sell property segment and focus on integrated commercial developments to generate steady income [4] - Singtel has been executing a strategic reset since May 2021, aiming to capitalize on 5G opportunities and improve return on invested capital (ROIC), targeting low double-digit ROIC by fiscal 2026 [5][6] Group 2: Sustainable Trends and Catalysts - Identifying sustainable trends, such as the rise of athleisure, can uncover promising growth stocks, exemplified by Lululemon's revenue growth from US$8.1 billion in fiscal 2023 to US$10.6 billion in fiscal 2025 [9][10] - Mercadolibre's revenue surged from US$10.8 billion in 2022 to US$20.8 billion in 2024, driven by the e-commerce market's projected 19% CAGR from 2022 to 2027 [11] - Coupang's revenue increased from US$20.6 billion in 2022 to US$30.3 billion in 2024, achieving profitability in 2023 with US$1.4 billion in net income [12] Group 3: Large Total Addressable Market (TAM) - Companies with a large TAM, such as ResMed, which aims to serve 500 million people by 2030, present significant long-term growth potential [13][14] - Dexcom targets a growing market for continuous glucose monitoring, with only 5% penetration among Type 2 diabetics not on insulin, indicating substantial room for expansion [15] Group 4: Successful Serial Acquirers - Companies like Hawkins have successfully executed multiple acquisitions, resulting in revenue growth from approximately US$935 million in fiscal 2023 to over US$974 million in fiscal 2025 [18] - Rollins, a pest control company, added 24 businesses through acquisitions in 2023 and 32 in 2024, leading to revenue growth from US$2.7 billion in 2022 to US$3.4 billion in 2024 [19][20]
CrowdStrike Faces Valuation Test Before Key Earnings Report
MarketBeat· 2025-08-12 11:06
Core Viewpoint - CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. has experienced a decline of 9.76% in the last 30 trading days, yet it remains one of the best-performing technology stocks in the S&P 500 with a 79% increase in 2025, following a year-long rally initiated by effective damage control after a software outage [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported $194 million in new net annual recurring revenue (ARR) for the first quarter of its 2026 fiscal year, a critical metric for cybersecurity firms indicating year-over-year revenue retention [7]. - CrowdStrike achieved its first $1 billion in quarterly revenue recently, indicating a market share of under 5% in its core cybersecurity market, which is projected to be $103 billion [10][14]. - The forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 771x, influenced by negative GAAP earnings of 44 cents in the last quarter due to high stock-based compensation [11][13]. Market Outlook - The total addressable market (TAM) for AI-native cybersecurity platforms is estimated at $116 billion for the current year, expected to grow to $250 billion by 2029 [9]. - CrowdStrike's guidance suggests a potential to generate over $1.3 billion in adjusted operating profit for FY2026, making its forward multiple appear reasonable on a non-GAAP basis [13]. Product Development - The company is expanding its AI-native Falcon platform, which is utilized by approximately 92% of Fortune 500 companies in various business areas [4]. - Recent launches include AI Systems Security Assessment and AI for SecOps Readiness, aimed at securing AI systems and integrating AI into security operations [6]. Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - CrowdStrike stock has lost bullish momentum, crossing below its 50-day simple moving average, with an RSI around 36 indicating potential for a trend reversal with strong earnings [15]. - Resistance is noted at $475, with support levels around $400 and a significant buying opportunity around $375 to $380 if the stock declines further [16].