Monetary Policy & Inflation Outlook - The independence of the Federal Reserve is critical for both the current and future chairs [1] - The market is pricing in a full point (100 basis points) of rate cuts by the Fed this year [1] - Inflation is primarily a fiscal and monetary phenomenon, not driven by tariffs [3] - The industry anticipates soft growth numbers will lead the Fed to ease policy, potentially finding themselves behind the curve in September [6][10] Fiscal Policy & Economic Conditions - Government spending growth has slowed significantly, from a 45% increase in the first six months of fiscal year 2021 to a 5% increase currently [4] - Money supply growth has also slowed, from 27% to 4%, compared to a 50-year average of 6-7% [5] - The industry does not expect a significant inflation surge due to the changes in fiscal and monetary policy [6] Treasury Market & Investment Strategy - The industry suggests underweighting the back end of the Treasury market, maintaining a 70% stocks, 30% bonds allocation [7] - There is pressure on the back end of the curve due to factors such as the JGB market, slowing of QE in Japan, and spending out of Germany [8] - The two-year to five-year part of the Treasury curve may represent a good investment opportunity if weak economic data emerges [9]

factors, you know, in the coming months. For starters. >> Thank you I yield back. Thank you sir.>> Gentleman yields back. Gentleman from Nebraska, the chair of our Housing and Insurance subcommittee. Mr.. Flood, you're recognized for five minutes. >> Thank you, Mr. . Chairman.Chairman Powell, later this week, the banking agencies will be proposing changes to the supplementary leverage ratio, which we think are long overdue, considering the fed in 2021 indicated that they would soon put out proposals for ref ...

In the last of 15 years, there's been a number of corrections on the 500 and in every single one of them. When the S&P goes down more than 10%, the dollar index, the trade weighted dollar index goes up. This time.The dollar went down when the S&P 500 went down almost 20%. That's that's strange. Things are behaving differently.Usually when the Fed starts cutting interest rates, rates across the yield curve go down. The ten year Treasury almost always goes up immediately following the first Fed rate rate cut, ...