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Forget the Bond Vigilantes. It's the Gold Vigilantes You Need to Worry About.
Barrons· 2025-12-24 13:14
Core Viewpoint - The year is marked as historic for precious metals, driven by low volatility in the Treasury market [1] Group 1 - Precious metals are experiencing significant interest due to their performance amid a stable Treasury market [1] - The muted volatility in the Treasury market has contributed to a favorable environment for investing in precious metals [1]
Treasuries Stumble as Shutdown Ends and Traders Brace for Swings
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-13 14:13
Group 1 - The longest government shutdown in US history has ended, leading to small losses in Treasuries and diminishing expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut next month [1] - Treasury yields increased by as much as three basis points, particularly in tenors sensitive to Fed policy, with the five-year tenor leading the selloff [2] - The ICE BofA MOVE Index, which measures expected bond-market volatility, has risen to a one-month high, indicating potential for sharp swings in the Treasury market as official economic data resumes [4] Group 2 - Investors in the nearly $30 trillion Treasury market have been relying on private data due to the absence of official statistics, with recent ADP Research figures indicating a slowing US jobs market [5] - During the shutdown, Treasuries remained stable, with 10-year note yields fluctuating around the 4% level, contributing to the market's best year since 2020 with a 0.4% return [6]
GOVT: Treasury Volatility Falls To Multi-Year Lows Ahead Of Fed Rate Cuts
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-14 18:36
Group 1 - The ICE BofA MOVE Index, which measures implied volatility in the Treasury market, has reached its lowest level since early 2022, indicating a significant reduction in bond market volatility [1] - This decline in volatility occurs as the Federal Reserve prepares for upcoming monetary policy decisions, suggesting a potential shift in market dynamics [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding macro drivers affecting various asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and cryptocurrencies [1] - It highlights the role of empirical data in shaping investment narratives and the necessity for clear communication of financial information to diverse audiences [1]