Accessible version Last month, long-only funds' largest share purchases globally were TSMC, Rocket Companies, Apple, Tencent, and Robinhood Markets. In contrast, funds selling was for Meta, Naspers, NVIDIA, SanDisk, and JPMorgan Chase. The most well held stocks globally by long-only funds are TSMC (91%), SRM (88%), Microsoft (84%), NVIDIA (73%), Amazon (73%), and Tencent (72%). Crowded Positives and Crowded Negatives Analysis shows "Crowded Positives" (high ownership + positive Triple Momentum) tend to outp ...

Accessible version High Frequency Monitor Sentiment slip = opportunity Global equity markets fell on increased AI scrutiny The MSCI AC World index fell -2.5% last week as increased scrutiny on the AI theme and ambiguity over a possible December Fed rate cut outweighed the positives from NVIDIA earnings and US jobs data. By region, Asia Pac ex-Japan (-4.0%) fell the most driven by sharp declines in China (-5.5%) and Korea (-5.5%). Global sector performance showed defensive rotation, with Software, Semis, and ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The analysis focuses on the global equity market, particularly the performance and positioning of long-only funds across various sectors, including Semiconductors, Industrials, and Health Care [1][2][24]. Core Insights - **Equity Flow Trends**: Long-only funds globally purchased $27.2 billion in the Semiconductors sector, driven by positive sentiment towards AI, while they sold $42.3 billion in Industrials and $27.1 billion in Health Care [1]. - **Regional Activity**: Funds bought $21.0 billion in Asia Pacific excluding Japan, while selling $56.5 billion in the US [1]. - **Top Stock Movements**: In the US, NVIDIA saw a significant inflow of $16.9 billion, while Apple experienced an outflow of $11.2 billion. In Emerging Markets, TSMC gained $5.9 billion, and MercadoLibre lost $1.4 billion [2]. Crowded Stocks Analysis - **Crowded Positives**: Stocks with high ownership and positive momentum include Meta, Broadcom, Netflix, Visa, Mastercard, and Wells Fargo [3][4]. - **Crowded Negatives**: Stocks with high ownership but negative momentum include Meituan, LVMH, and Pilbara Minerals [3]. - **Under-owned Negatives**: Stocks like BHP, Targa Resources, and Lockheed Martin are under-owned but have potential upside [4]. Fund Ownership and Active Exposure - **Fund Ownership Metrics**: The report indicates that 73% of relevant funds own Stock B, highlighting the importance of fund ownership in investment decisions [28]. - **Active Exposure Analysis**: The analysis includes over 5,647 active long-only funds managing more than $29 trillion in equities, with a focus on their relative weight against benchmarks [18][19]. Performance Metrics - **Back-tested Performance**: Crowded Positive stocks have outperformed the global combined universe by 4.4% since January 2015, while Under-owned Negatives have consistently underperformed [73]. - **Equity Flow Calculation**: The report emphasizes the importance of equity flow in understanding fund behavior, with cumulative long-only equity flow for China stocks reaching $193.0 billion [27]. Methodology and Limitations - **Methodology**: The analysis combines fund ownership, active exposure, and Triple Momentum to identify investment opportunities and risks [36][63]. - **Limitations**: The report notes that the analysis does not include funds that do not declare holdings regularly or those with less than $500 million in AUM, which may skew results [72]. Conclusion - The report provides a comprehensive overview of fund flows, stock positioning, and performance metrics, highlighting significant trends in the equity market and identifying potential investment opportunities and risks across various sectors and regions.