Mike, is this information like, you know, could have been useful six weeks ago to we get any do do we glean anything from something like this. No, not really. It's been described by one analyst as a sort of Rorschach test.You see in it what you want to see. You know, maybe some people see clouds or something like that. But those who think that the Fed should be on hold point to the strong job creation and the fact that inflation is still going up. And those who think the Fed should be cutting can point to t ...

RT AF Post (@AFpost)The unemployment rate for US college graduates is now 9.3%, higher than a peak of 8.7% during the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.This year, the US approved around 200,000 H-1B visas.Follow: @AFpost https://t.co/LIQY9cFeLH ...

The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September jobs report Thursday, after it was delayed due to the government shutdown. Investors are hoping the new data can shed light on the state of the US economy. Gene Sperling, former director of the National Economic Council, had to work through a government shutdown in 2013. He speaks on "Bloomberg The Close." -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg ...

(Subtitles may contain inaccuracies) We have none other than the Chair and CEO Jane Fraser. Thanks so much for having us. Well, we're delighted to have Bloomberg here.Thank you very much for joining our conference. So what do you hope to get out of this in talking to all your guests and your clients and to understand a little bit more about the China market, which you know very well. But we're coming out of a bruising trade war.We're not even out of it yet. Right. Some say it's a truce, not necessarily a la ...

Core Insights - President Trump's approval rating has dropped to 44%, a decline of 2 points from September, with the lowest ratings in handling inflation (39%) and tariffs (40%) [2][6] - 57% of voters characterize the U.S. economy as weak, marking a 6-point increase since September [6] - The Republican Party is urged to broaden its base as a majority of voters reject Zohran Mamdani's policies [8][12] Economic Concerns - 35% of voters believe the country is on the right track, a decrease of 5 points [6] - Inflation and affordability are the top issues for voters, with 48% citing inflation as their primary concern [6] - 55% of voters feel the government shutdown is significantly harming the economy [12] Political Landscape - Congressional approval has fallen to 27%, the lowest since June 2024 [6] - The Republican Party's approval rating stands at 44%, while the Democratic Party's approval is at 43% [6] - 63% of voters believe the GOP needs to broaden its positions to appeal to a wider audience [12] Public Opinion on Policies - Trump's policies maintain majority support, with 16 out of 18 policies favored by voters [6] - The most popular policies include lowering drug prices (85%) and deporting illegal immigrants who have committed crimes (79%) [6] - 56% of voters believe Trump has exceeded his presidential authority, and 51% view his actions as dictatorial [6] International Relations - 63% of voters support the removal of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, with 81% backing his removal in light of election fraud and criminal charges [19] - 71% of voters favor the Trump administration's efforts to secure the safe return of Israeli hostages and end hostilities in Gaza [12] - 72% support sanctions on Russia's oil and gas companies to push for a ceasefire in Ukraine [12]

Welcome back. We are following breaking news where the fate of the president's sweeping tariff agenda is now in the hands of the Supreme Court. Justice is hearing arguments today on a case challenging the president's the international emergency economic powers act to impose many of those sweeping tariffs.The court's three liberal justices pressed Solicitor General John Sauer on whether the president's tariffs are infringing on Congress's authority to impose tariffs. And some of the court's conservative just ...

Barclays' Middle East Strategy - Barclays is establishing its regional headquarters in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, aiming to secure investment banking and other licenses [1][2] - The new headquarters will be located in the King Abdullah Financial District, with headcount to increase as licenses are obtained [3] - Barclays is re-entering the Saudi market after a decade, differentiating itself by focusing on connecting Saudi Arabia with the rest of the world and facilitating foreign investment and liquidity, rather than competing in retail banking [4][5] - The Middle East is a very important part of Barclays' plan to boost IPOs, equity-linked business, and M&A [7] - Investment flows are increasingly two-way in the region, with money coming back into the Middle East, presenting an opportunity for Barclays [8] - Barclays sees significant growth in the wealth business in the Middle East, particularly in Dubai, and aims to help people save and grow wealth for future generations [11][12] - Barclays is expanding prime brokerage services to cater to asset managers and hedge funds moving to Dubai and Abu Dhabi [13][14] Economic Outlook and Risk Management - Barclays observes continued consumer strength in both the UK and the US, driven by improved balance sheets and conservative saving habits [18] - The bank is increasing vigilance in lending practices due to the end of a 15-year credit cycle and unexpected credit losses, emphasizing the importance of learning from instances of fraud [22][21] - Stable interest rates and relatively low credit spreads are seen as positive signals for deal-making, with AI and technological changes spurring M&A activity [26][27] AI Integration - Barclays is fundamentally altering its business through AI, focusing on making it available to staff and changing business processes [28] - The bank emphasizes a selective, patient, and realistic approach to AI implementation, aiming to empower employees and improve productivity rather than viewing it as a zero-sum game [29][30][32][33]

Economic Outlook - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence in the U.S. economy, highlighting key deflationary trends and tax policy changes that are positively impacting working Americans [1][2] - Bessent anticipates that 2026 and 2027 will be strong years for the economy, attributing this to recent tax reforms enacted by President Trump [2] Tax Reforms and Disposable Income - The recent tax reforms include no taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security, as well as the deductibility of auto loans for American cars, which are expected to boost real income [2] - Many workers have kept their withholding levels unchanged, leading to substantial tax refunds in the first quarter of next year, which will increase disposable income [3][4] Inflation and Consumer Price Index - Bessent stated that the administration has the affordability crisis, referred to as "Biden inflation," under control, with energy prices decreasing [5] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show a downward trend in the coming months, with the September report delayed but anticipated to impact Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [5][6] - A significant increase in the number of CPI components experiencing price surges was noted, rising from 55% a year ago to 72%, primarily due to Trump's tariffs [6]

Economic Overview - The top 10% of earners account for nearly 50% of all consumer spending, while the bottom 80% are only keeping pace with inflation, indicating a potential risk if high earners become more cautious in their spending [1] - The August Bureau of Labor Statistics report revealed only 22,000 jobs added, with the unemployment rate reaching 4.3%, the highest in nearly four years [2] - ADP data indicated a loss of 32,000 private sector jobs in September, suggesting ongoing employment challenges [3] GDP and Consumer Spending - GDP growth was revised to 3.8% for the second quarter, up from a previous estimate of 3.3%, marking a significant recovery from a -0.6% growth in the first quarter [5] - The increase in GDP was attributed to a reduction in imports and a greater rise in consumer spending, particularly in transportation, financial, and insurance services [4] Public Sentiment and Economic Outlook - A Fannie Mae survey found that 67% of consumers believe the economy is "on the wrong track," a 3-point increase from August [8] - Pew Research Center reported that 74% of U.S. adults view the economy as "fair/poor," with 42% attributing their negative outlook to rising prices and personal expenses [9] Investment Strategies - Experts suggest diversifying investments to include alternative assets, such as gold and real estate, to mitigate risks associated with stock market volatility [11][12] - Gold prices have reached a historic high of $4,350 per ounce, making it an attractive option for investors seeking stability [12] - Real estate investment opportunities are available through platforms like Arrived, allowing individuals to invest in shares of vacation homes or rental properties with minimal capital [14]

Core Insights - A significant majority of Americans report an increase in monthly household costs, with 74% indicating rises of at least $100 compared to the previous year [2][5] - Despite claims from the Trump administration that inflation is under control, the public sentiment reflects ongoing economic concerns, with 54% believing the economy is in a recession [7][8] - The inflation rate has decreased from over 9% in 2022 to 2.9% in August, yet it remains above the Federal Reserve's target of 2% [4] Economic Sentiment - The Harris poll indicates that inflation is perceived as the biggest risk to the US economy, with 31% of Republicans and 33% of independents identifying it as such [8][10] - Pessimism about the economy has increased among independents, with 41% expressing negative views about the Democratic party and 43% about the Republican party [19] Policy Perspectives - Economic policies proposed by Democrats, such as a federal ban on price gouging and expanding the child tax credit, are more popular among voters compared to Trump's policies [16][17] - Trump's most supported policy, eliminating taxes on social security, has 43% approval, while other policies like mass deportation and tax cuts are less favored [17] Voter Dynamics - The 2024 presidential election is seen as a referendum on Biden's economic policies, with many voters dissatisfied with the economic situation post-COVID [6][15] - The shift in independent voters' sentiments may have contributed to Trump's electoral success, as they were previously more aligned with Democrats [14]