Core Insights - Amazon.com Inc. is the second-largest employer in the United States, following Walmart Inc. [1] Company Overview - Amazon's position as the second-largest employer highlights its significant role in the U.S. labor market [1]

Economic Growth - The US economy grew at an upwardly revised annualized rate of 3.8% in the second quarter, the fastest pace since Q3 2023, driven by strong consumer spending and business investment [4][6][11] - The previous estimate for GDP growth in the second quarter was 3.3% [5][12] Consumer and Business Spending - Consumer spending increased at a revised pace of 2.5%, up from 1.6%, contributing significantly to GDP growth [13] - Business investment in equipment was revised up to an 8.5% growth rate from 7.4%, and spending on intellectual property products expanded at a 15.0% rate, revised from 12.8% [13] Trade Deficit Impact - A sharp contraction in the trade deficit, which added a record 4.83 percentage points to GDP growth, was a key factor in the economic rebound [7] - The trade deficit contraction was attributed to a decrease in imports following a record surge in the first quarter [7][9] Labor Market and Employment - Despite strong economic indicators, job growth has slowed, attributed to President Trump's tariffs and immigration policies, leading to a near stall in job growth through August [3][4] - A drop in first-time applications for unemployment benefits indicates strong demand for labor as companies retain workers [2] Future Economic Outlook - Tepid growth is expected in the second half of the year, with economists projecting overall economic growth of about 1.5% for the full year, down from 2.8% in 2024 [10]

Core Viewpoint - The latest research report from CICC indicates that the economic data for the first quarter of 2025 in the U.S. reveals a weakening growth momentum, with potential adverse effects on the second quarter due to tariff policies, inventory destocking pressures, and a deteriorating external trade environment [1] Economic Performance - The U.S. real GDP for the first quarter recorded a seasonally adjusted annual rate of -0.3%, marking the first contraction in nearly three years and a significant drop from the previous quarter [3] - The negative GDP growth was primarily driven by businesses preemptively stockpiling goods to avoid potential tariff costs, which detracted 4.8 percentage points from GDP growth [3] - Despite a slight increase in actual domestic private final sales to 3.0%, signals of weakening growth momentum are evident, including a decline in durable goods consumption and a 1.4% drop in government spending, largely due to an 8% decrease in defense spending [3] Tariff Policy Impact - CICC identifies three main pressures on the U.S. economy following the implementation of tariff policies: 1. A slowdown in imports may alleviate the negative impact of preemptive stockpiling on GDP, but inventory destocking will directly suppress production and investment 2. Consumer spending, influenced by preemptive purchases and rising prices, may further slow down 3. Retaliatory measures from trade partners could weaken export competitiveness [3] Labor Market Conditions - In April, the U.S. non-farm payrolls added 177,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations; however, the previous two months saw a downward revision of 58,000 jobs, and the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, not reflecting the true employment pressures [4] - High levels of layoffs and an increase in the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits to the highest level since 2021 indicate a shift in the labor market supply-demand relationship [4] - The impact of tariff policies on the profits of trade-related companies and the lagging effects of reduced demand in the service sector may pose greater downward pressure on the employment market [4]