呈交日期: 2026年4月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03908 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,903,714,428 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 1,903,714,428 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 1,903,714,428 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 1,903,714,428 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Core Viewpoint - The ABS market in China experienced a growth in the first quarter of 2026, with a total issuance of 466 projects amounting to 4,152 billion yuan, representing a 4% increase compared to the same period in 2025 [2]. Market Overview - The cumulative outstanding scale of the ABS market reached approximately 35,121 billion yuan by the end of the first quarter of 2026, with credit ABS at 3,917 billion yuan, enterprise ABS at 22,841 billion yuan, ABN at 6,211 billion yuan, and public REITs at 2,151 billion yuan [1]. New Issuance Statistics - In the first quarter of 2026, the credit ABS market saw 29 new issuances totaling 325 billion yuan, a 42% year-on-year increase. The largest issuance was in personal auto loans, with 6 projects totaling 207 billion yuan, followed by non-performing loans with 22 projects totaling 108 billion yuan [6]. - The enterprise ABS market had 344 new issuances totaling 2,960 billion yuan, marking a 12% year-on-year increase. The largest issuance was in financing lease receivables, with 80 projects totaling 765 billion yuan, followed by corporate receivables with 45 projects totaling 411 billion yuan [7]. - The ABN market had 93 new issuances totaling 867 billion yuan, a 14% decrease year-on-year. The largest issuance was in bank/internet consumer loans, with 30 projects totaling 261 billion yuan, followed by general small loan receivables with 24 projects totaling 193 billion yuan [11]. Underwriting Rankings - In the first quarter of 2026, CITIC Securities led the underwriting rankings with 102 projects and a total underwriting amount of 582.6 billion yuan, followed by Guotai Junan with 85 projects totaling 418.6 billion yuan, and Ping An Securities with 64 projects totaling 370.8 billion yuan [13][15]. Detailed Market Rankings - In the credit ABS market, the top underwriters were: 1. China Merchants Securities with 58.1 billion yuan from 16 projects 2. CITIC Securities with 54.5 billion yuan from 13 projects [19]. - In the enterprise ABS market, CITIC Securities led with 446.4 billion yuan from 71 projects, followed by Guotai Junan with 368.6 billion yuan from 69 projects [22]. Asset Class Rankings - The top three asset classes by issuance scale were financing lease receivables, bank/internet consumer loans, and corporate receivables. In the financing lease category, Ping An Securities led with 191.2 billion yuan, followed by CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan [25]. - In the bank/internet consumer loan category, Huatai Securities led with 94.0 billion yuan, followed by CITIC Securities with 72.0 billion yuan [28]. - In the corporate receivables category, Ping An Securities led with 51.2 billion yuan, followed by Guotai Junan and CITIC Securities [32]. Issuer Rankings - In the credit ABS market, Jizhi Auto Finance topped the issuer rankings with 55.0 billion yuan, followed by Dongfeng Auto Finance and Volkswagen Auto Finance [35]. - In the enterprise ABS market, CITIC Financial Asset Management led with 150.0 billion yuan, followed by Huaneng Guochan Trust with 132.0 billion yuan [42].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share capital market in China maintained a positive trend in Q1 2026, with significant growth in equity financing driven by favorable regulatory policies and an active market environment [2]. Group 1: Overview of Equity Financing Market - In Q1 2026, there were 96 equity financing events in the A-share market, an increase of 26 events year-on-year, raising a total of 230.22 billion yuan, which is a 106.88% increase compared to the same period last year [4][10]. - The number of IPOs reached 35, up by 8 from the previous year, with a total fundraising of 29.78 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 79.58% [20][4]. - The private placement (增发) projects accounted for 49 events, increasing by 14 year-on-year, with a total fundraising of 191.23 billion yuan, marking a 136.02% increase [36][4]. Group 2: Distribution of Financing Methods - In Q1 2026, the distribution of financing methods showed that IPOs raised 29.78 billion yuan (12.93% of total), private placements raised 191.23 billion yuan (83.06%), and convertible bonds raised 9.22 billion yuan (4%) [7][10]. Group 3: Industry Distribution of Financing Entities - The non-ferrous metals industry led the fundraising with 71.13 billion yuan, followed by the coal and chemical industries with 60.08 billion yuan and 19.71 billion yuan, respectively [11]. Group 4: Regional Distribution of Financing Entities - Beijing topped the regional fundraising with 79.56 billion yuan from 11 projects, largely due to China Shenhua's private placement. Shandong followed with 65.28 billion yuan from 5 projects, primarily from Hongqiao Group's private placement [14][17]. Group 5: IPO Trends - The IPO market saw 35 issuances in Q1 2026, raising 29.78 billion yuan, a 79.58% increase year-on-year [20]. - The innovation and entrepreneurship board led the fundraising with a total of 51.38% of the total IPO amount, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen main boards followed [22]. Group 6: Top IPO Financing Projects - The highest IPO financing in Q1 2026 was by Zhen Shi Co., Ltd., raising 2.92 billion yuan, followed by Shiya Technology and Hongming Electronics with 2.27 billion yuan and 2.12 billion yuan, respectively [34]. Group 7: Private Placement Trends - In Q1 2026, private placements had 49 projects, raising 191.23 billion yuan, significantly higher than the previous year [36]. - Private enterprises led the fundraising with 80.76 billion yuan, followed by central and local state-owned enterprises with a total of 103.26 billion yuan [39]. Group 8: Top Private Placement Projects - The largest private placement project was by Hongqiao Group, raising 63.52 billion yuan for asset acquisition, followed by China Shenhua with two projects totaling 60.08 billion yuan [50]. Group 9: Underwriting Rankings - CITIC Securities ranked first in underwriting amount with 61.95 billion yuan, followed by CITIC Construction Investment with 51.39 billion yuan and Huatai Securities with 45.01 billion yuan [54]. - In terms of the number of underwritings, CITIC Securities led with 15, followed by Huatai Securities with 13 [56].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Insights - The company demonstrated strong performance in 2025, achieving a revenue of 28.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.8 billion, up 72% year-on-year, exceeding the midpoint of the pre-announcement [1] - The company's return on equity (ROE) reached 9.39%, an increase of 3.88 percentage points year-on-year, with a significant operational leverage of 5.31 times, indicating a strong ability to utilize its balance sheet [1] - The company is leading in international business, with international revenue and net profit for 2025 reaching 15.2 billion and 5.1 billion HKD, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 41% and 78% [10] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 285 billion, with a quarterly revenue of 77 billion, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the quarter was 32 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 44% [1] Business Segments - Brokerage income for 2025 was 6.2 billion, up 45% year-on-year, while investment banking income surged to 5 billion, a 63% increase year-on-year [2] - Asset management revenue reached 1.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31%, with total assets under management (AUM) at 596.9 billion, up 8% year-on-year [2] Market Position and Growth - The company has a strong market position, with a credit market share of 2.59%, an increase of 0.26 percentage points year-on-year, and a significant increase in lending to 65.9 billion, up 51% year-on-year [3] - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit, projecting 11.3 billion for 2026, 12.7 billion for 2027, and 13.6 billion for 2028, with year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 13%, and 7%, respectively [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company achieved a significant increase in revenue and net profit in 2025, with operating income reaching 28.481 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.5%, and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 9.791 billion yuan, up 71.9% [5][9] - The company is actively pursuing international expansion and has seen notable success in its various business lines, including investment banking and wealth management [1][4] - The company is in the process of merging with Dongxing Securities and Cinda Securities, which is expected to enhance its capital strength significantly [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Self-Investment - The company reported investment income of 14.201 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 40.32%. The financial investment scale increased by 14.8% to 426.715 billion yuan [2] - Equity investment income reached 8.38 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 100.73% year-on-year, while bond investment income decreased by 68.03% to 2.252 billion yuan due to market volatility [2] Investment Banking - The investment banking segment saw revenue of 5.031 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 62.5%. The company led the market in several key metrics for Hong Kong IPOs [3] - The A-share equity financing business experienced remarkable growth, with IPO underwriting amounts increasing by 3.5 times year-on-year [3] Wealth Management and Asset Management - The company achieved brokerage business revenue of 6.171 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.75%. The total number of wealth management clients approached 10 million, with total client assets reaching 4.28 trillion yuan [4] - The asset management business generated revenue of 1.582 billion yuan, up 30.84% year-on-year, with the public fund scale reaching 273.37 billion yuan, an increase of 24.7% [4] Internationalization - The company reported overseas business income of 5.605 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 77.8%, with its share of total revenue rising by 4.91 percentage points to 19.68% [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 28.5 billion RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.8 billion RMB, up 72% year-on-year, exceeding previous expectations [1][2] - The company's strong performance is driven by robust growth in investment, brokerage, and investment banking businesses, with a notable quarterly net profit of 3.2 billion RMB in Q4 2025, reflecting a 14% year-on-year increase and a 44% quarter-on-quarter increase [1][2] - The company is benefiting from a recovery in capital market activity, with an attractive current valuation [1] Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the year reached 9.8 billion RMB, a significant improvement of 72% year-on-year, while total assets grew to 782.8 billion RMB, up 16% year-on-year [2] - The leverage ratio at year-end was 5.35x, an increase of 0.37x from the beginning of the year, indicating a more aggressive use of leverage throughout the year [2] - Financial investments were the main driver of asset expansion, with a year-end financial investment scale of 426.7 billion RMB, up 15% year-on-year [2] Business Segments - Investment business revenue reached 14.2 billion RMB, a 40% increase year-on-year, making it the largest revenue source for the company [4] - Investment banking revenue was 5 billion RMB, up 63% year-on-year, with Q4 2025 showing a remarkable 103% year-on-year increase [4] - Brokerage business revenue increased by 45% year-on-year to 6.2 billion RMB, benefiting from heightened market activity [4] International Business - The company's international business showed strong performance, with total assets of 238.3 billion RMB, accounting for 30% of the group's total assets [5] - International business revenue reached 8.4 billion RMB, a 58% year-on-year increase, contributing 29% to total revenue [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company expects net profits of 11.4 billion RMB, 13 billion RMB, and 14.3 billion RMB for 2026, 2027, and 2028 respectively, with significant upward adjustments of 28% for 2026 and 2027 [6] - The target price is set at 43.60 RMB and 24.69 HKD, reflecting a premium valuation based on the company's strong growth and competitive international business [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company achieved a significant increase in revenue and net profit in 2025, with operating income reaching 28.481 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.5%, and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 9.791 billion yuan, up 71.9% [5][9] - The company is actively pursuing international expansion and has seen notable success in its various business lines, including investment banking and wealth management [1][4] - The company is in the process of merging with Dongxing Securities and Cinda Securities, which is expected to enhance its capital strength significantly [1] Summary by Sections Self-Investment - The company reported investment income of 14.201 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 40.32%. The financial investment scale increased by 14.8% to 426.715 billion yuan [2] - Equity investment income reached 8.38 billion yuan, a 100.73% increase year-on-year, while bond investment income decreased by 68.03% to 2.252 billion yuan due to market volatility [2] Investment Banking - The investment banking segment saw revenue of 5.031 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 62.5%. The company led the market in Hong Kong IPOs, with underwriting amounts reaching 79 billion USD [3] - The company completed 53 domestic M&A transactions totaling 729.59 billion USD, maintaining a strong position in the domestic market [3] Wealth Management and Asset Management - The brokerage business generated revenue of 6.171 billion yuan, a 44.75% increase year-on-year, with nearly 10 million clients and total client assets reaching 4.28 trillion yuan [4] - The company’s asset management revenue was 1.582 billion yuan, up 30.84% year-on-year, with the public fund scale reaching 273.37 billion yuan, a 24.7% increase [4] Internationalization - The company achieved overseas business revenue of 5.605 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 77.8%, with its share of total revenue rising by 4.91 percentage points to 19.68% [4] Financial Forecasts - The company adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2026 and 2027 upwards by 8.02% and 8.21%, respectively, and also increased net profit forecasts for the same years by 24.82% and 24.85% [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company's performance is driven by international advantages, with significant growth in revenue and net profit for 2025, achieving CNY 28.48 billion in revenue (up 33.5% year-on-year) and CNY 9.79 billion in net profit (up 71.9% year-on-year) [8] - The capital market's high activity level has boosted revenue growth, with brokerage and asset management revenues showing strong increases [8] - The investment banking segment has seen a substantial contribution, ranking first in Hong Kong IPO underwriting [8] - The company is expanding its international presence, with overseas business accounting for approximately 30% of revenue [8] - Investment income has increased, with a steady expansion of the investment portfolio [8] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are CNY 30.40 billion, CNY 33.66 billion, and CNY 36.79 billion, respectively, with growth rates of 6.7%, 10.7%, and 9.3% [2] - Net profit forecasts for the same years are CNY 10.50 billion, CNY 11.82 billion, and CNY 12.83 billion, with growth rates of 7.3%, 12.5%, and 8.6% [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be CNY 2.18, CNY 2.45, and CNY 2.66 for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue and other income of 40.77 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.91%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.79 billion yuan, up 71.93% year-on-year, with an EPS of 1.88 yuan [1][8] - The significant growth in performance is attributed to the high proportion of international business and the recovery of the Hong Kong IPO market, which led to substantial revenue growth from overseas operations. Additionally, the derivatives business achieved high returns [8] - Brokerage income saw a substantial increase of 44.7% year-on-year, amounting to 6.17 billion yuan, accounting for 21.6% of total revenue. The average daily trading volume in the market increased by 69.7% year-on-year [8] - The investment banking business also rebounded, with revenue reaching 5.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.6%. The company ranked first in various dimensions of Hong Kong IPOs [8] - The asset management business showed industry leadership, with revenue of 1.58 billion yuan, up 30.8% year-on-year, and total assets under management reaching 596.9 billion yuan, an 8.1% increase [8] - The company achieved a net investment income of 14.2 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 40.3% [8] - The profit forecast has been adjusted upwards, with expected net profits for 2026 and 2027 at 10.3 billion yuan and 10.8 billion yuan, respectively, indicating a growth rate of 5% for each year [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue and other income for 2025 is projected at 40.77 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 22.91% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 9.79 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year increase of 71.93% [1] - The EPS for 2025 is reported at 1.88 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 8.19 [1] - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 29.29 billion HKD, with a closing price of 17.41 HKD [6][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company benefited from active domestic and international markets, with international business revenue accounting for nearly 30% [1] - The total revenue and other income for 2025 reached 40.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.91%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.79 billion yuan, up 71.93% year-on-year [1] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 1.88 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 9.4%, an increase of 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue and other income (million yuan): - 2024A: 33,172 - 2025A: 40,770 - 2026E: 43,312 - 2027E: 44,667 - 2028E: 46,238 - Year-on-year growth rates: - 2025A: +22.91% - 2026E: +6.24% - 2027E: +3.13% - 2028E: +3.52% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (million yuan): - 2024A: 5,694 - 2025A: 9,791 - 2026E: 10,311 - 2027E: 10,781 - 2028E: 11,336 - Year-on-year growth rates: - 2025A: +71.93% - 2026E: +5.32% - 2027E: +4.56% - 2028E: +5.15% [1] Business Segment Performance - Brokerage business revenue for 2025 was 6.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.7%, accounting for 21.6% of total revenue [1] - Investment banking revenue reached 5.03 billion yuan, up 62.6% year-on-year, with significant growth in both domestic and international equity underwriting [1] - Asset management revenue was 1.58 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.8% [1] - Investment net income (including fair value) for 2025 was 14.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.3% [1] Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 10.3 billion yuan in 2026 and 10.8 billion yuan in 2027, with a growth rate of 5% for each year [1] - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2026-2028 are 7.20, 6.89, and 6.55 respectively [1]