Core Insights - Goldman Sachs researchers indicate that the US labor market is showing signs of softening, with a notable increase in layoffs across various industries, marking the highest level of planned mass layoffs since 2016, excluding pandemic-related spikes [1][5] Layoff Trends - Layoff announcements have reached unprecedented levels outside of a recession, with significant cuts reported in sectors such as technology, industrial goods, and food and beverage [2] - The rise in layoffs is concerning as it reflects "growing signs of weakness" in the labor market, with workers facing challenges in securing new employment [3][4] WARN Notices - The increase in WARN notices, which are required for companies with over 100 employees before layoffs, serves as a key indicator of employer behavior and potential job cuts [5] - Publicly traded companies have begun discussing potential layoffs during earnings calls, suggesting a trend towards workforce reductions and efficiency measures in the near future [6] Jobless Claims and Economic Indicators - Despite the rise in layoffs, weekly jobless claims remain low, indicating that government reports may not yet fully capture the labor market's deterioration [7] - Historical data shows that jobless claims typically lag behind private layoff trackers by about two months, hinting at a possible increase in federal job loss data as winter progresses [7] Impact of AI on Employment - Concerns about artificial intelligence leading to workforce reductions are present, but current evidence does not support the notion that AI is a significant driver of recent layoffs [8]