US consumer price inflation eased more than expected in January, offering markets some relief, but signs of firm underlying price pressures, along with a strong jobs report has reinforced the view that interest rates are likely to stay unchanged for now. Data from the Labor Department showed consumer prices rose 2. ...

US inflation moderated in January to 2.4%, an easing after Donald Trump’s tariffs triggered price fluctuations last year.Prices rose 0.2% from December to January, according to data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday measuring the consumer price index (CPI), which measures the price of a basket of goods and services. Core CPI, which strips out the volatile food and energy industries, went up 0.3% over the month.Economists anticipated prices would ease slightly, pushing the annual inflat ...

The US jobs market added 130,000 jobs in January, according to a highly anticipated labor market report released on Wednesday, a surge of job growth after months of fatigue in the labor market.The unemployment rate was 4.3% in January, a slight cooling since the fall. Economists predicted 70,000 in job gains and an unchanged unemployment rate for January.The gains are still 13,000 jobs less than the the 143,000 jobs added a year ago in January 2025, but more than double the 50,000 jobs that were added in De ...

Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold is gaining support due to a weaker US dollar and expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][3] - Silver is trading at 91.09, reflecting a 4.72% increase, driven by the same factors affecting gold [1] - The US dollar is showing weakness, trading around 99.10, which makes gold and silver cheaper for international buyers [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicates cooling inflation, with core CPI rising only 0.2% in December, keeping annual core inflation at 2.6%, the lowest in four years [4] - The headline CPI increased by 0.3% monthly, resulting in an annual inflation rate of 2.7%, aligning with market forecasts [4] Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the situation in Iran and threats from the Trump administration, are contributing to market uncertainty [5][6] - The crackdown on protests in Iran and the government's internet blackout are exacerbating the situation, leading to increased market sentiment tension [6]

Core Insights - US inflation unexpectedly cooled in November, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 2.7% over the past 12 months, down from 3% in September and below the expected 3.1% increase [1][3] - The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 2.6%, significantly lower than the anticipated 3% rise [3] - The November inflation report did not include monthly figures due to the cancellation of the October report caused by a government shutdown that disrupted data collection [3] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time this year in response to price pressures, despite facing a weakening labor market [4] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell cautioned that upcoming economic data may be distorted due to the government shutdown and should be interpreted with skepticism [4]

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Group 1 - Gold prices declined as the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose to its highest level since September 11, impacting bullion priced in dollars [1][2] - Spot gold decreased by 0.7% to $3,736.16 per ounce, while silver fell after reaching over $44 per ounce earlier in the week [2] - Investors are awaiting key US inflation and jobs data, with expectations that the Fed's preferred measure of underlying inflation may have grown at a slower pace last month, which could support arguments for rate cuts [1]

Core Insights - Consumer inflation increased in August, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 2.9% year-over-year, up from 2.7% in July, and a month-over-month increase of 0.4%, exceeding expectations of 0.3% [1] - The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, remained steady at a 3.1% increase over the past 12 months [2] - Market expectations indicate a strong belief that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by at least a quarter point in the upcoming meeting, driven by concerns over labor market weakness rather than inflation [3][4]

Inflation Analysis - Underlying US inflation accelerated in July [1] - Inflation reached the strongest pace since the start of the year [1] Economic Indicators - CPI analysis is available [1]