USD bearish view

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摩根大通:外汇年中展望-2025 年下半年货币市场的十个问题
摩根· 2025-06-30 01:02
J P M O R G A N Global FX Strategy 27 June 2025 FX Mid Year Outlook Ten questions (and answers) on currencies in 2H25 Outlook:Stay bearish USD. Valuation undershoots vs. rates/ equities, positioning, and a paucity of discrete catalysts are not a constraint for further weakness. Quality of USD carry has deteriorated and the dollar smile has widened. Historical data across DMs shows that FX hedge rebalancing should continue to act as a dollar depressant. Significant CNY strength is not a pre-condition for USD ...
全球外汇策略 - 不确定性是唯一确定的事
2025-06-02 15:44
V i e w p o i n t | Brian Levine +1-212-816-6896 brian.levine@citi.com Osamu Takashima +81-3-6776-3251 osamu.takashima@citi.com 29 May 2025 13:15:24 ET │ 10 pages Global FX Strategy Uncertainty is the only certainty CITI'S TAKE FX markets have been quick to fade the overnight USD rally after President Trump's IEEPA tariffs were struck down in court; we see this as a market recognition that this ruling will be appealed and that there are other tools available for the Trump administration (such as Section 122 ...