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Tesla AI Chip Shockwave Flips The Trade, Stalling TSLQ Breakout - NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Benzinga· 2025-11-24 19:47
Core Insights - The Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF (TSLQ) experienced significant momentum in November, rising over 30% due to Tesla's declining stock driven by weak sales data from China and valuation concerns [1][3] - However, this momentum was abruptly reversed when Tesla's stock surged over 7% following CEO Elon Musk's announcement regarding the company's AI-chip strategy, leading TSLQ to drop nearly 15% in a single trading session [2][10] TSLQ's November Setup - TSLQ benefitted from a pullback in Tesla shares, which fell despite positive EV policy developments, such as the "Big, Beautiful Bill" allowing substantial tax deductions for U.S.-assembled EVs [3] - Tesla's stock faced pressure from a significant year-over-year decline in China deliveries, which fell 36% in October, coinciding with increased competition from local EV manufacturers like Xiaomi [5] - Valuation skepticism was highlighted by NYU professor Aswath Damodaran, who described Tesla as "irrationally valued" and questioned its long-term strategic direction [6] Analyst Sentiment - Analyst sentiment remains generally positive, with Stifel maintaining a Buy rating and a price target of $508, suggesting over 20% upside potential [8] - However, there is a notable divergence in analyst targets, with a consensus target around $378, indicating growing disagreement among analysts, which could benefit leveraged inverse ETFs like TSLQ [9] Impact of Musk's AI-Chip Announcement - Musk's announcement about Tesla's internal AI-chip development, which includes the deployment of "several million" chips, reignited market interest in Tesla's long-term AI strategy, despite acknowledging production delays [10][14] - The structure of TSLQ, which seeks to deliver -2× the daily performance of TSLA, means that any positive movement in Tesla's stock can lead to significant losses for TSLQ, as seen with the recent 7% increase in Tesla's shares [11][12]