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中远海能涨超4% 9月原油轮市场需求表现强劲 多重因素下VLCC运价有望走强
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 02:24
Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Energy (中远海能) shares rose over 4%, currently trading at 9.71 HKD with a transaction volume of 112 million HKD, influenced by geopolitical developments and market forecasts [1] Company Summary - China Merchants Energy's operational performance in the first half of the year met expectations, with net profit exceeding forecasts primarily due to one-time gains [1] - Bank of America has raised its earnings forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting favorable conditions in the oil tanker market due to OPEC+ production increases and tightening US sanctions [1] - The bank maintains a "Buy" rating, indicating that the company is expected to be a major beneficiary of the recovery in the tanker market [1] Industry Summary - The Chinese Ministry of Transport announced a port service fee for US vessels in response to US port fees on Chinese ships, effective from October 14 [1] - Goldman Sachs anticipates that the shipping industry's effective capacity may experience temporary disruptions, adding upward pressure on freight rates, particularly for very large crude carriers (VLCCs) [1] - Huatai Securities noted strong demand in the crude oil tanker market in September, predicting that OPEC+ production increases will stimulate inventory replenishment and cross-regional arbitrage demand, with VLCC rates expected to strengthen in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 [1]