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超17亿元三元材料大单“落地”
高工锂电· 2025-03-04 10:52
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent developments in the supply contracts for lithium battery cathode materials, particularly focusing on the partnership between Changsheng Technology and SK On, which is expected to enhance revenue and market position for Changsheng Technology in the high-nickel and medium-nickel cathode materials sector [2]. Group 1: Supply Contracts and Revenue Impact - Changsheng Technology signed a supply contract with SK On to deliver 17,000 tons of various lithium battery cathode materials from 2025 to 2027, with potential additional negotiations for 110,000 tons from 2026 to 2028 [2]. - The revenue impact from this contract is projected to exceed 1.7 billion yuan, based on current prices for high and medium nickel ternary cathode materials [2]. - The partnership is a renewal of previous contracts, with SK On's contribution to Changsheng Technology's revenue decreasing over the past three years, but the new orders are expected to increase this contribution [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics of Cathode Materials - The market share of ternary cathode materials has been pressured by lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode materials, with the installation ratio of ternary batteries to LFP batteries shifting from 4:6 to 2:8 from 2023 to early 2024 [3]. - The slowdown in demand for ternary materials is attributed to a shift in the market towards mid-to-low-end electric vehicles and the growth of the energy storage market, which predominantly uses LFP materials [3]. - Despite the slowdown, ternary cathode materials maintain a stronger price position compared to LFP materials due to higher technical barriers and a more diversified international customer base [3]. Group 3: Future Growth Potential - The future growth of ternary cathode materials largely depends on the expansion of downstream applications, particularly in high-energy density and high-performance sectors such as VR/AR devices, humanoid robots, and aerospace applications [5]. - Emerging battery technologies, including solid-state and semi-solid-state batteries, are favoring high-nickel ternary materials, indicating potential growth in these new applications [5]. - Although these applications are still in the developmental stage, their maturation and market adoption could lead to increased demand for ternary cathode materials [5].