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OpenAI 时间表公开:2026-2028,打法彻底换了
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-29 00:43
Core Insights - OpenAI has outlined a clear roadmap for AI development, aiming to have AI research interns by September 2026 and fully automated AI researchers by March 2028, emphasizing a systematic approach rather than a sudden emergence of AGI [1][2][49] Group 1: AI Development Timeline - The goal is to create a system capable of independently completing research projects, with AI expected to reach intern-level capabilities by September 2026 and fully autonomous research capabilities by March 2028 [2][3] - The evolution of AI is shifting from merely solving problems to becoming a genuine research system, with expectations of achieving superintelligence within a decade [3][6] Group 2: Training and Infrastructure - OpenAI is focusing on two key variables in model training: the duration of "context computation" during training and the length of "inference time" post-training [8] - A significant investment is being made in infrastructure, with plans to build a facility capable of producing 1 gigawatt of computing power weekly, with a total investment commitment exceeding $1.4 trillion [26][29] Group 3: AI as a Platform - OpenAI is transitioning from viewing ChatGPT as a "super assistant" to developing it into an AI cloud platform where users can create their own AI services [12][15] - The platform will allow enterprises to integrate OpenAI technology via APIs and enable developers to create application-specific intelligent agents [15][18] Group 4: Safety and Security Framework - OpenAI has introduced a five-layer safety framework focusing on value alignment, goal alignment, reliability, adversarial robustness, and system security to ensure AI's safe integration into society [20][21] - A new research direction called "Chain of Thought Faithfulness" aims to make AI's reasoning process transparent and understandable [22][24] Group 5: Organizational Structure - OpenAI's structure has been redefined into a dual-layer system: the OpenAI Foundation, a non-profit controlling the mission, and the OpenAI Group PBC, a public benefit corporation executing commercial tasks [33][39] - The foundation has committed $25 billion to support AI healthcare and resilience initiatives, aiming to leverage AI for disease treatment and societal defense mechanisms [41][42] Group 6: Future Vision - OpenAI emphasizes that the competition among large AI enterprises will not only depend on the strength of their models but also on their ability to establish a balanced structure that integrates research, business, and public welfare [46] - The company envisions a future where AI capabilities are fully integrated into society, with a focus on preparing the necessary social structures before deploying advanced AI technologies [45][49]