Market Sensitivity to Tariffs - Emerging and frontier markets are sensitive to new tariff announcements, with Japan facing domestic pressure due to an upcoming election [1][2] - US is a crucial market for Asian countries, limiting their options in trade negotiations [3] - The US President hopes ongoing negotiations will be successful [4] Impact of a Weaker Dollar - A weaker dollar negatively impacts foreign investors with $17 trillion invested in US equities, particularly those denominated in Euro, Yen, Taiwanese dollar, or Singapore dollar [6] - From April 2011 to two years prior to the discussion, the US dollar index increased by 55%, but has since fallen by 20% [5] - The dollar's depreciation is causing losses for foreign investors, even if the S&P 500 is performing well [6] - Some money is flowing out of US equities from non-US investors and back into growth stocks, especially in Asia's tech sector [7] Potential Winners and Strategies - The US President aims to bring jobs back to America through tariffs [8] - Asian automakers have already moved some production to the US [9] - South Korean semiconductor producer SK Hynix might build a factory in the US, similar to TSMC [9] - The US is the largest exporter of services globally, requiring caution in trade actions to avoid affecting US companies selling services like software, finance, and intellectual property [10] - The current trade war is focused on goods, and the US President is navigating to prevent it from expanding into a services trade war [11]