DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach is so convinced of his weak dollar view that he used his own money to buy gold miners and land last summer. ...

Gold prices continued to surge to new record highs as the yellow metal cleared $5,600 per ounce on Thursday. Gold had surged past the $5,000 threshold for the first time this Monday, marking a weekly... ...

Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP rose higher after the Federal Reserve’s first policy call of 2026. It’s one of those days where macro traders are staring at the same things. The Fed decision on interest rates, and Chair Jerome Powell’s statement during the press conference. Crypto just happens to be the loudest “risk-on” gauge on the screen when the market is feeling jumpy. And while the base case is boring - no rate cut - that outcome is now confirmed. Related: Treasury Secretary says millions of Americans may s ...

Gold (GC=F) futures jumped above $5,300 per ounce on Wednesday before easing as a weak dollar fueled the debasement trade, driving investors away from fiat currencies and government bonds. The US dollar stabilized on Wednesday after sliding to its lowest level in nearly four years as President Trump shrugged off concerns of an easing greenback. A weaker dollar has helped drive the price of bullion higher, extending year-to-date gains to 20%. "Dollar weakness is supercharging the rise in gold....adding ...

'A weak dollar makes you a hell of a lot more money,' says President Donald Trump. ...

Economic Overview - The current state of the US economy presents a paradox where strong headline numbers such as low unemployment (4.4%) and high GDP growth (5.4%) do not fully reflect underlying issues like sticky inflation and consumer confidence [1][6][12] - A weak dollar can enhance US export competitiveness but may undermine market confidence domestically, complicating the economic landscape [1][6] Consumer Behavior - The US economy exhibits a K-shaped recovery, where the top 20% of income earners are driving consumer spending, while lower-income groups struggle with inflation [1][6] - Consumer confidence has dropped to its lowest level in over a decade, indicating a disconnect between macroeconomic indicators and consumer sentiment [1][6] Labor Market Dynamics - The labor market is experiencing structural changes, with hiring concentrated in specific sectors like healthcare and leisure, reflecting the K-shaped economy [2][6] - Young college-educated workers are facing longer job search times, potentially influenced by both AI and structural labor market changes [4][6] Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve's cautious approach to interest rate adjustments may not adequately address the structural challenges in the labor market [2][6] - There is a growing concern that the Fed is moving too slowly in response to economic disparities affecting a significant portion of the population [1][6] AI and Future Employment - AI's impact on the labor market is expected to be gradual, with productivity gains rather than immediate job losses being the primary outcome [3][4] - The focus should be on engaging early-career individuals as they appear to be the most vulnerable to labor market shifts [4][6] Market Concentration - The US economy is characterized by concentrated job gains and wealth creation, particularly within a few tech stocks, raising concerns about vulnerability to economic shocks [6][7] - The stock market's performance is heavily reliant on a narrow set of companies, which may not reflect broader economic health [6][7]

Core Insights - Gold prices have surged 28.33% over the past six months and 64.74% year to date, with forecasts indicating further gains in the upcoming year [1][10] - Increased central bank buying, economic uncertainty, expectations of Fed rate cuts, and a weaker dollar are driving the case for greater gold exposure [2][10] Market Dynamics - A weaker U.S. dollar enhances gold demand, making it more affordable for foreign buyers; the U.S. Dollar Index has decreased by 1.06% in the past month and 9.23% year to date [3] - Interest rate cuts by the Fed are expected to weaken the dollar further, supporting gold prices; President Trump's indication of a Fed chair favoring lower rates adds to this optimistic outlook [4] Price Projections - Analysts from JPMorgan and Bank of America predict gold could reach $5,000 per troy ounce by 2026, driven by increased investor interest and geopolitical risks [5] - Morgan Stanley forecasts gold prices at $4,800 per ounce by the fourth quarter, citing stronger Chinese demand and rising central bank purchases [6] Investment Strategies - In the current market, a long-term passive investment strategy is recommended to navigate short-term disruptions; a "buy-the-dip" approach is suggested despite potential near-term pullbacks in gold prices [7][10] - Recommended ETFs for gold exposure include SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), iShares Gold Trust (IAU), and others, with GLD being the most liquid option with an asset base of $145.91 billion [11][12] Gold Miners ETFs - Gold miners ETFs provide exposure to the gold mining industry, which can amplify gains and losses; options include VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM) [13] - GDX is noted for its liquidity and significant asset base of $25.17 billion, with SGDM and SGDJ being the most cost-effective options for annual fees [14]

Silver prices, as we mentioned earlier, now at a record. They hit 67 an ounce earlier on. Gold around 4,300, up 65% this year.My next guest likes one name in particular in the metal space. Let's bring in Sarat Si. He's the managing partner at DCLA and a CNBC contributor.Sarat, it's great to see you. And one of your favorites is a name that, you know, I those of us who lived through these cycles for like 20 years now know they can be extremely volatile and not always the best stewards of capital over time. T ...

Core Insights - Sugar prices have shown a recovery from early losses, influenced by a weaker dollar and short covering in futures markets [2] - The global sugar supply outlook remains robust, with projected surpluses impacting price levels [2][4] Price Movements - March NY world sugar 11 increased by +0.25 (+1.60%), while December London ICE white sugar 5 rose by +3.30 (+0.74%) [1] - NY sugar reached a 3-week low earlier in the day, and London sugar hit a 4.25-year nearest-futures low [2] Supply Dynamics - BMI Group forecasts a global sugar surplus of 10.5 million metric tons (MMT) for 2025/26, while Covrig Analytics estimates a surplus of 4.1 MMT for 2025/25 [2] - Brazil's sugar output in the first half of September increased by +15.7% year-on-year to 3.622 million tons [3] - Cumulative sugar output in Brazil's Center-South region fell by -0.1% year-on-year to 30.388 MMT through mid-September [3] India’s Sugar Production Outlook - India's sugar production is projected to rise by +19% year-on-year to 34.9 MMT for 2025/26, following a significant decline in 2024/25 [4] - The Indian Meteorological Department reported cumulative monsoon rainfall of 937.2 mm, 8% above normal, indicating favorable conditions for sugar crop production [4] Export and Ethanol Production Factors - India may divert 4 MMT of sugar for ethanol production in 2025/26, which may not sufficiently alleviate the sugar surplus [5] - Indian sugar mills are expected to export up to 4 MMT of sugar, exceeding earlier expectations of 2 MMT [5]

Core Insights - Gold prices have reached a new record, positioning the metal for its largest annual gain in over 45 years [1] - Gold futures surged to approximately $3,750, while immediate delivery bullion traded above $3,700 per ounce [2] Year-to-Date Performance - Gold is up more than 40% year-to-date, marking its best performance since 1979, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve easing cycle and recent interest rate cuts [3][9] - The dollar index has decreased roughly 10% year-to-date, contributing to gold's rise as it is priced in US currency [4] Market Dynamics - Inflows into physically backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have reached a three-year high, with central banks continuing to accumulate gold [4] - Central banks, particularly in emerging markets like Russia, China, and India, are buying gold in significant quantities to hedge against currency fluctuations [5] Fund Manager Sentiment - A recent Bank of America survey indicated that gold is now the second most crowded trade, following the 'Magnificent 7' stocks, yet 39% of fund managers reported minimal allocation to gold [6] - The average allocation among surveyed fund managers was only 2.3% [6] Analyst Perspectives - Goldman Sachs analysts noted that gold's breakout is driven by conviction buyers, including increased ETF holdings and renewed demand from central banks after a seasonal lull [7] - Goldman Sachs has set a price target of $4,000 per troy ounce for gold by mid-2026 [8]