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香港国际金融学会会长宋敏:“制度先行”有助于香港探路稳定币发展路径 应锚定跨境贸易等实体经济“主战场”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-30 05:36
Group 1: Core Insights - The upcoming implementation of the Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation on August 1, 2025, is expected to significantly impact the development of stablecoins and the internationalization of the Renminbi [1][4] - The regulation aims to establish a framework that prioritizes monetary sovereignty while promoting internationalization through a phased approach [4][6] - Hong Kong is positioned as a crucial hub for offshore Renminbi transactions, with a current offshore Renminbi fund pool of approximately 1 trillion yuan, accounting for over two-thirds of the global total [11][12] Group 2: Stablecoin Development - The emergence of stablecoins is driven by technological advancements, particularly blockchain and Web3.0, but cannot replace regulatory frameworks [2][3] - The rapid growth of US dollar stablecoins like USDT and USDC has extended the dollar's dominance into the blockchain space, highlighting the need for a regulatory response [3][4] - The Chinese approach to stablecoin regulation emphasizes establishing rules before allowing market entry, contrasting with the US model of "develop first, regulate later" [4][6] Group 3: Application Scenarios - The primary application for Hong Kong stablecoins is expected to be in cross-border trade settlements, leveraging Hong Kong's role as a major trade hub [7][8] - Real World Asset (RWA) digitization is another promising area for stablecoin application, with successful examples already emerging [7][8] - The potential for stablecoins to facilitate retail payments exists, particularly in regions with high inflation, but caution is advised in the Chinese context to protect monetary sovereignty [9][10] Group 4: Future Outlook - The development of a comprehensive regulatory framework for stablecoins is essential for the internationalization of the Renminbi, with a focus on real-world testing in cross-border trade [6][11] - Future steps may include replicating offshore experiences in free trade zones and gradually expanding the use of stablecoins in mainland China, with strict controls on foreign currency stablecoins [6][10] - The ongoing evolution of the offshore Renminbi market will likely lead to increased demand for stablecoins, particularly as more digitalized assets are introduced [8][11]