Year - End Rally
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Why I'm Expecting A Year-End Rally, And Another Big Year Next Year!
ZACKS· 2025-12-12 20:50
Hard to believe there’s only 3½ weeks left in the year.But what a year it’s been.YTD, the Dow is up 14.5%; the S&P is up 17.3%; and the Nasdaq is up 22.2%.And it looks like there’s a lot more upside to go.For one, Q4 is historically the best quarter for stocks. So, there’s that.Additionally, since 1950, in post-election years (i.e., the first year after a Presidential election), December has a 77.8% likelihood of finishing higher.And there’s a myriad of other reasons why, beyond just the recurring seasonal ...
Will a Year-End Rally Start Tomorrow?
Investor Place· 2025-12-09 22:05
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street traders are anticipating a 90% chance of a quarter-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve, which is expected to support the market and potentially lead to a year-end rally [1][4][6] Economic Sentiment - The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey showed a slight increase in December, indicating consumers are feeling "slightly less miserable" than before, which could signal a potential bottom for stocks [2][3] - Consumer inflation expectations dropped from 4.5% to 4.1%, marking the most significant decline since July [3] Labor Market and Real Estate - The ADP private payrolls report indicated a loss of 32,000 jobs in November, reflecting labor market weakness [4] - There is a noted deflation in real estate, with softening home and rental prices contributing to concerns about deflation rather than inflation [4] Consumer Confidence - The Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell to 88.7 in November from 95.5 in October, representing the largest decline in seven months [4] Market Performance Expectations - Historically, the second half of December has been a strong period for stocks, with average gains of 1% and positive performance 70% of the time [6] - The expectation is for a year-end rally, potentially starting as early as this week [6][7] Bitcoin Market Dynamics - Bitcoin's recent selloff was attributed to excessive leverage among traders, but the market has stabilized as forced liquidations ceased [14][15] - The 50-week moving average is a critical level for Bitcoin; a rejection at this level could signal a bearish trend, while a successful breach could indicate a bullish trend [17][18] Future Projections for Bitcoin - Bitcoin is projected to approach the 50-week moving average near $100,000 by December 2025, with strong macro tailwinds expected to support this movement [20] - The outlook for 2026 suggests that Bitcoin will transition from a speculative asset to a structural growth sector, driven by stablecoin adoption and broader market integration [22]
5 Stocks With Recent Price Strength to Tap a Likely Year-End Rally
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 14:26
Core Insights - U.S. stock markets are experiencing significant growth in 2025, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite up 12.6%, 16.7%, and 22.1% respectively, following a strong rally over the past two years [1] - The potential cut in the benchmark interest rate by the Fed may further support this rally, alongside strong personal spending expected to boost economic growth [1] Stock Performance - Several stocks have shown notable price strength, particularly those on a recent bull run, indicating a high chance of continued momentum [2][7] - The following stocks have been identified as potential winners: Owlet Inc. (OWLT), Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL), Dycom Industries Inc. (DY), Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. (SHIP), and Strattec Security Corp. (STRT) [2][7] Screening Parameters - Stocks must show a percentage change in price greater than zero over the last four weeks and greater than 10% over the last twelve weeks to indicate sustained momentum [4] - A Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and an average broker rating of 1 are also criteria for selection, along with a current price above $5 and trading near 52-week highs [5][6] Individual Stock Analysis - **Owlet Inc. (OWLT)**: Stock price increased by 57.7% over the past four weeks, with an expected earnings growth rate of 79.7% for next year and a 27.3% improvement in earnings estimates [8] - **Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL)**: Stock price rose by 23% in the last four weeks, with an expected earnings growth rate of 30% and over 100% improvement in earnings estimates [10] - **Dycom Industries Inc. (DY)**: Stock price climbed 22.8% recently, with an expected earnings growth rate of 42.3% and a 36.9% increase in earnings estimates [12] - **Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. (SHIP)**: Stock price surged by 22.2% over the past four weeks, with an expected earnings growth rate of 39.1% and a 30.9% improvement in earnings estimates [13] - **Strattec Security Corp. (STRT)**: Stock price advanced by 17.4% recently, with an expected earnings growth rate of -2.6% for the current year but a 23.3% improvement in earnings estimates [15]
Global Stocks Hold Steady After Four-Day Rally: Markets Wrap
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-27 13:02
A gauge of global equities held firm after four days of gains, following a recovery fueled by bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates faster than previously thought. The MSCI All Country World Index was little changed after trimming its drop for November to 0.4% in the prior sessions. The gauge had been down nearly 4% for the month just over a week ago. European and Asian benchmarks posted modest moves, with US markets closed for Thanksgiving. S&P 500 futures were steady. Most Read from Blo ...
S&P 500: The Fed Saves The Day, Year-End Rally Underway
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-25 21:57
Core Insights - The article discusses the current market trends and potential investment opportunities within specific sectors, highlighting the importance of thorough analysis before making investment decisions [2]. Group 1: Market Trends - Recent market fluctuations have shown a significant impact on investor sentiment, with a notable increase in volatility observed in the tech sector [2]. - Analysts are focusing on the recovery patterns of various industries post-pandemic, particularly in consumer discretionary and travel sectors, which are showing signs of rebound [2]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - There are emerging opportunities in renewable energy companies, driven by increased government incentives and consumer demand for sustainable solutions [2]. - The healthcare sector is also highlighted as a potential growth area, especially companies involved in telehealth and biotechnology, which have gained traction during the pandemic [2]. Group 3: Risks and Considerations - Investors are advised to remain cautious of potential regulatory changes that could impact certain industries, particularly technology and finance [2]. - The article emphasizes the need for diversification in investment portfolios to mitigate risks associated with market volatility [2].
5 Charts Deciding If The Year-End Rally Survives
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-24 15:30
Thanksgiving Week on Wall Street is often a bullish stretch. Historically, stocks rally during the period, which includes just three and a half sessions. If you’re like me, you’ll also be closely monitoring real-time holiday spending trends.Freelance Financial Writer | Investments | Markets | Personal Finance | RetirementI create written content used in various formats including articles, blogs, emails, and social media for financial advisors and investment firms in a cost-efficient way. My passion is putti ...
VTI: Expecting A Year-End Rally After The November Shakeout (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-18 15:43
New economic data is slowly pouring in. Initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct. 18 came in at 232,000, very close to what independent data gatherers had expected. But first-time applications for unemployment benefits are not the focal point of risk right now. AtFreelance Financial Writer | Investments | Markets | Personal Finance | RetirementI create written content used in various formats including articles, blogs, emails, and social media for financial advisors and investment firms in a cost-effic ...
Since 1950, This Data Has Anticipated The Year-End Rally In The S&P 500
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-11 07:03
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of in-depth research and insights for informed investment decisions in the Latin American equity market [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - The company has over 5 years of experience in equity analysis specifically focused on Latin America [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - The research provided aims to assist clients in navigating investment opportunities within the Latin American market [1]
A 5% Correction Is More Likely Than A Year-End Rally
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-23 20:24
Core Viewpoint - The market sentiment is bullish, with expectations for a significant year-end rally, particularly predicting the S&P 500 Index could reach 7,000 [1]. Group 1 - Investors are confident in the market's stability and potential for growth as the year closes [1]. - The article highlights a focus on strategic buying opportunities, particularly in dividend and value stocks, which have contributed to a strong performance rating on investment platforms [1]. - The author has garnered a substantial following, indicating a level of trust and interest in their investment insights [1].