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Should You Buy, Sell or Hold PANW Stock Before Q1 Earnings Release?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-13 14:56
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is set to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on November 19, projecting revenues between $2.45 billion and $2.47 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 14.5% to 15.5% [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal first-quarter non-GAAP earnings remains at 89 cents per share, reflecting a 14.1% increase from the previous year [2] Revenue and Earnings Projections - Expected revenues for Q1 fiscal 2026 are between $2.45 billion and $2.47 billion, which translates to approximately 15% year-over-year growth [9] - The consensus for non-GAAP earnings per share is 89 cents, unchanged over the past 60 days, with an anticipated increase of 14.1% from the prior year [2][3] Performance Indicators - Palo Alto Networks has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 5.3% [3] - The company currently holds an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating uncertainty regarding an earnings beat this time [4][5] Growth Drivers - The company's performance is likely bolstered by strong deal wins and progress in its platformization strategy, particularly in AI-powered offerings [6] - Significant growth in Next-Generation Security (NGS) Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) is noted, with large customers showing nearly 80% year-over-year growth in NGS ARR [7] - The shift to cloud platforms and increased demand for cybersecurity solutions due to rising cyberattacks in a hybrid work environment are expected to positively impact performance [8] Market Position and Valuation - Year-to-date, Palo Alto Networks shares have increased by 15.7%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 27.4% [11] - The company trades at a lower price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 12.99X compared to the industry average of 13.74X, suggesting reasonable value amidst solid long-term prospects [14][18] Strategic Considerations - The pending acquisition of CyberArk is anticipated to enhance Palo Alto Networks' capabilities in identity-driven threat protection, complementing its existing security offerings [20] - Despite macroeconomic challenges and potential softening in IT spending, the company's innovative strategies and market execution are expected to drive long-term growth [22]