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Should You Buy, Sell or Hold PANW Stock Before Q1 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 14:56
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is set to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on November 19, projecting revenues between $2.45 billion and $2.47 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 14.5% to 15.5% [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal first-quarter non-GAAP earnings remains at 89 cents per share, reflecting a 14.1% increase from the previous year [2] Revenue and Earnings Projections - Expected revenues for Q1 fiscal 2026 are between $2.45 billion and $2.47 billion, which translates to approximately 15% year-over-year growth [9] - The consensus for non-GAAP earnings per share is 89 cents, unchanged over the past 60 days, with an anticipated increase of 14.1% from the prior year [2][3] Performance Indicators - Palo Alto Networks has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 5.3% [3] - The company currently holds an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating uncertainty regarding an earnings beat this time [4][5] Growth Drivers - The company's performance is likely bolstered by strong deal wins and progress in its platformization strategy, particularly in AI-powered offerings [6] - Significant growth in Next-Generation Security (NGS) Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) is noted, with large customers showing nearly 80% year-over-year growth in NGS ARR [7] - The shift to cloud platforms and increased demand for cybersecurity solutions due to rising cyberattacks in a hybrid work environment are expected to positively impact performance [8] Market Position and Valuation - Year-to-date, Palo Alto Networks shares have increased by 15.7%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 27.4% [11] - The company trades at a lower price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 12.99X compared to the industry average of 13.74X, suggesting reasonable value amidst solid long-term prospects [14][18] Strategic Considerations - The pending acquisition of CyberArk is anticipated to enhance Palo Alto Networks' capabilities in identity-driven threat protection, complementing its existing security offerings [20] - Despite macroeconomic challenges and potential softening in IT spending, the company's innovative strategies and market execution are expected to drive long-term growth [22]
Palo Alto Networks' Pre-Q4 Earnings Analysis: Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-14 15:11
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) is set to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 18, projecting revenues between $2.49 billion and $2.51 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 14-15% [1][8] - The consensus estimate for non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) is 88 cents, reflecting a 17.3% increase from the previous year [2][8] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 5.1% [3] Revenue and Earnings Projections - Fiscal fourth-quarter revenue is expected to be in the range of $2.49-$2.51 billion, which translates to a year-over-year growth of 14-15% [1][8] - Non-GAAP EPS is projected to rise 17.3% year-over-year to 88 cents [2][8] Factors Influencing Performance - The fourth-quarter performance is likely driven by strong deal wins and progress in platformization strategy, particularly in AI-powered security solutions [6][8] - The adoption of multi-product platformization deals and increased cloud platform migration are expected to enhance overall performance [7][8] - Recognition from the Federal Risk and Authorization Management Program (FedRAMP) is boosting product adoption among government organizations [9] Market Position and Valuation - Palo Alto Networks' shares have gained 3.2% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 20.2% [11] - The company trades at a lower price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 11.23X compared to the industry average of 11.9X and peers like CyberArk, CrowdStrike, and Zscaler [14][17] Investment Considerations - The company's innovative product offerings and expanding market opportunities in areas like Zero Trust and private 5G security solutions present growth potential [18] - Near-term prospects may be affected by softening IT spending due to macroeconomic uncertainties [19] - Despite challenges, the company's innovation-led strategy and long-term growth prospects make it a stock worth holding [20]
Should Investors Buy, Sell or Hold PANW Stock Before Q3 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Palo Alto Networks is expected to report strong fiscal third-quarter results with projected revenues of $2.26-$2.29 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 14-15% [1][8] Revenue and Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal third-quarter revenues is $2.27 billion, reflecting a growth of 14.6% from the previous year [1] - Non-GAAP earnings are projected to be 77 cents, representing a 16.7% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Performance History - Palo Alto Networks has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 5.5% [5] Factors Influencing Q3 Results - The company is likely to benefit from strong deal wins and increased demand for its machine learning-powered security models [8] - The accelerated migration to cloud platforms and rising cyberattacks due to hybrid work environments are expected to drive demand for cybersecurity solutions [9] - FedRAMP recognitions for several products are enhancing adoption among government organizations [10] Challenges and Risks - The company faces challenges related to the transition from hardware to software and cloud-based solutions, which may impact gross margins [11] - There are concerns about softening IT spending due to macroeconomic uncertainties, which could affect revenue growth [15] - Increased competition from established players like CrowdStrike and Zscaler necessitates continuous investment in capabilities [18][19] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, Palo Alto Networks' shares have increased by 21.8%, underperforming the Zacks Internet – Software industry's return of 31.8% [12] - The company is trading at a forward 12-month P/S of 12.52X, which is lower than the industry's 14.04X, indicating a fair valuation [13] Investment Consideration - The company's innovative product offerings and expanding market opportunities in areas like Zero Trust and private 5G security solutions present growth potential [14] - Despite near-term challenges, the long-term outlook remains positive, making the stock worth holding [21]