New York — Bitcoin (BTC) may be locked in a difficult market now, but long-term investors should be looking far ahead, according to Pantera Capital CEO Dan Morehead. “In 10 years from now, bitcoin will massively outperform gold. That’s very obvious,” Morehead said during a panel with Bitmine Immersion (BMNR) Chairman Tom Lee at the Ondo Summit in New York City on Tuesday. “Paper money is being debased at 3% every year, and that’s called stable money," said Morehead. "Now, over your lifetime, that’s 90%, ...

Core Insights - Gold serves as a safer alternative investment during economic challenges, having surged approximately 60% over the past year and over 750% in the last 20 years as of December 15 [1][3] - Ray Dalio emphasizes that the U.S. economic issues are not unique, with other countries facing similar debt and deficit problems, leading to a potential devaluation of currencies and a favorable environment for non-government-produced assets like gold and bitcoin [2][4] - Dalio warns of an impending economic crisis, likening the current situation to the 1929 Great Crash, and suggests that a lack of confidence in traditional banking could boost alternative assets [3][6] Economic Analysis - Dalio describes the U.S. debt levels as threatening to choke off economic growth, with traditional government responses like printing money leading to currency devaluation and rising inflation [4][6] - He compares the economy to a circulatory system, where credit is essential for productivity and growth, and warns that irresponsible borrowing can lead to a financial crisis [5][6] Investment Recommendations - Dalio recommends diversifying investments into assets with strong income statements and balance sheets, underweighting debt assets like bonds, and overweighting gold and a small amount of bitcoin [9] - He highlights the importance of investing in uncorrelated assets, suggesting that a mix of 10 to 15 good uncorrelated return streams can help maintain low risk levels [14][15] Cryptocurrency Insights - Bitcoin, while experiencing volatility, is viewed as a potential hedge against economic instability, although it has recently fallen 30% from its all-time high of $126,000 [10][11] - Investors are advised to be cautious with cryptocurrencies, as they can be inherently risky and more volatile than traditional markets [12] Alternative Investment Strategies - Investing in fractional shares of art is presented as a unique diversification strategy, with historical returns outpacing the S&P 500 [16][17] - The platform Masterworks allows investors to buy fractional shares in high-value artworks, providing an alternative asset class that is not tied to any single currency or economy [17]

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Core Viewpoint - Merck (MRK) stock is highlighted for its monopoly-like high margins available at a discounted price, making it an attractive investment opportunity [1] Financial Performance - Revenue growth for Merck is reported at 1.8% for the last twelve months (LTM) and an average of 3.7% over the last three years [8] - Recent profitability metrics include approximately 29.1% operating cash flow margin and 31.2% operating margin for LTM [8] - Long-term profitability averages show about 27.2% operating cash flow margin and 22.6% operating margin over the last three years [8] - The stock is currently offered at a price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 3.5, representing a 22% discount compared to one year ago [8] Investment Strategy - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which includes Merck, has a record of outperforming benchmark indices, including the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 [11] - The selection process for stocks focuses on those with market capitalizations over $10 billion, high cash flow from operations margins, and those that have significantly decreased in value over the past year [6] Market Dynamics - The average 12-month forward returns for selected stocks are close to 19%, with a win rate of around 72% for positive returns [9]

Core Insights - The discussion highlights the impact of tariffs on inflation, particularly in the appliance sector, where prices increased by 3.3% in the first seven months of this year compared to a 6% decrease in the same period last year, indicating a direct correlation with tariffs [2] - There is a bullish sentiment towards gold as a diversifier in investment portfolios, with central banks purchasing approximately 1,000 tons of gold annually over the last three years, which is double the previous decade's pace [4] - Retail and institutional investors are increasingly turning to gold as a complementary diversifier, especially during market downturns, where gold has historically performed better than Bitcoin during significant S&P 500 declines [5][6] Economic Indicators - The current economic environment shows a higher 10-year yield following Federal Reserve cuts, contrasting with historical trends where yields would typically decrease during economic slowdowns [7][8] - Inflation remains elevated, with core PCE projected at 2.9% for August, and GDP growth is reported to be over 3% for the third quarter, indicating a robust economy despite a slowing labor market [9][10]

#DeFi bridges and #GameFi are gaining traction. Is your portfolio diversified enough? ...

Market Trends - Gold performs well during equity sell-offs [1] - Bitcoin demonstrates resilience amidst bond market stress [1] Investment Strategy - Portfolio diversification remains a key strategy [1]

Market Trends - The crypto market is experiencing a shift from retail investors ("Old Guard") selling to institutions buying [1] - This transition may lead to a change in crypto culture, with less emphasis on memes and risk-taking, and more on professionalism [1] - The market may see reduced short-term volatility and more predictable price action due to macro-related flows and fund activity [1] - Crypto is evolving into infrastructure for Real World Assets (RWAs), stablecoins, and payments [1] Investment Strategy - Crypto is increasingly viewed as a portfolio diversification asset rather than a "get rich quick" scheme [2] - Bitcoin may be treated like gold, and Ethereum like a tech stock by traditional finance (TradFi) [2] Risks - The migration of tokens from numerous small wallets to fewer large custodians increases centralization risk, potentially problematic for DAOs [2]

Portfolio Management & Risk Mitigation - Rebalancing portfolios by "taking chips off the table" is crucial as portfolios grow, framing it as rebalancing rather than selling [2] - Cashing out to fiat is a valid strategy for diversifying asset holdings into stocks, gold, real estate, and land, while mitigating self-custody risks [1] - Reducing the mental stress associated with self-custodying a significant portion of net worth is a reason to cash out [1] On-Chain Economy & Crypto Industry Evolution - The on-chain economy is significantly more robust compared to 2021/22, offering easier access to yield earning, safe capital storage, and participation [1] - The true crypto industry win is never leaving the crypto ecosystem [2] Fiat Conversion & Asset Allocation - Cashing out to fiat is necessary for paying taxes and buying other assets to create a balanced portfolio [1]