🚨 LATEST: There is now a 23.2% chance of a rates cut at the next FOMC meeting, per CME Group https://t.co/g2fTSMICov ...

We've just had a FOMC meeting, and it was quite clear that there won't be rate hikes or rate cuts going forward.But, will there be a rate cut?The markets are shaking massively, as a Gold and Silver rally doesn't necessarily mean that there's nothing breaking.That's why I bet on 25bps on Polymarket.What about you? ...

RT Santiment (@santimentfeed)🇺🇸 BREAKING: The FOMC decision is in, and no changes to interest rates will be made for the first meeting of the year. Jerome Powell has stated that interest rates are in 'neutral range' now, hinting that rates may now stay put for the indefinite future.🤔 From a crypto sentiment perspective, the FOMC press conferences will always draw major attention, particularly after how much the Fed's decisions have rocked crypto markets back and forth between 2022 and 2025.👀 As we see below ...

Welcome back to the good watch channel everyone. My name is Josh and right now Bitcoin is starting to reject from my exact area of resistance in the immediate short term. And this is happening right after we just saw the Federal Reserve announced their next decision on interest rates which I'll talk about in just a moment alongside Ethereum which is still technically playing out this short-term bullish signal while the price of XRP is continuing to hold above this crucial line of support on the price chart. ...

Threats to stocks and the dollar remain. President Trump has threatened new 100% tariffs on US imports from Canada, the possibility of a US government shutdown over ICE funding, and lingering concerns about Greenland. In addition, there is political uncertainty about the Fed, as the FOMC is expected to leave rates unchanged at today’s meeting, potentially drawing new threats from Mr. Trump for refusing to cut rates further.US MBA mortgage applications fell -8.5% in the week ended January 23, with the purcha ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's current situation is heavily influenced by political pressures, which limits its ability to make independent monetary policy decisions [3][4][10]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Independence - The Federal Reserve is facing a significant political assault that undermines its independence, making it difficult for officials to acknowledge economic data [3][4]. - There is uncertainty regarding the statements that Fed Chair Jay Powell will make during the press conference, especially in light of recent political scrutiny [2][3]. Group 2: Potential Leadership Changes - Discussions are ongoing about the next head of the Federal Reserve, with various candidates being considered, including Rick Reer and Christopher Waller [4][5][7]. - Christopher Waller is noted for not having made political donations, which aligns with the Fed's tradition of maintaining political neutrality [7][8]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - Consumer confidence has significantly declined, with a notable labor market differential reported, which historically indicates a recession [10]. - Inflation metrics, such as Trueflation TRU at 1.15%, suggest that inflation is not currently a pressing issue for corporations, despite ongoing cost-cutting measures [11][12]. Group 4: Employment and Cost Pressures - The labor market is experiencing challenges, with high-paying corporate jobs being lost, impacting middle-income workers [15]. - Rising costs in essentials, particularly grocery prices and gasoline, are straining consumers, although rents are beginning to fall [13][14]. Group 5: Future Rate Cuts - Expectations are that meaningful rate cuts may not occur until June, and there is speculation that Powell may not act decisively on monetary policy before his term ends [15][16]. - Powell's acknowledgment of labor market weaknesses could influence future policy decisions, as failing to address these issues may tarnish his legacy [17].

Market Overview - Crypto markets are experiencing a pause amid negative news, with Bitcoin's price stabilizing and gold prices rising significantly [1] - The USD index has decreased by almost 3% this week and over 10% in the last year, impacting risk assets [3] Government and Regulatory Environment - There is a 76% probability of a US government shutdown by January 31, which is causing caution among institutions [2] - Legislative progress on the US Crypto Clarity Act has slowed, contributing to market uncertainty [2] FOMC Impact - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting maintained interest rates at 3.50%–3.75%, with no early cuts expected [2] - The FOMC news is influencing capital flows, with gold outperforming equities and becoming a safe-haven asset [4] Gold and Bitcoin Comparison - Gold has reached an all-time high of $5,280 per ounce, outperforming the S&P 500 by over 100% [4] - Bitcoin is trading around $89,000, showing a slight increase of 1.2% on the day, but remains in a medium-term downtrend [6][8] - Tether holds over 140 tons of gold, valued at approximately $24 billion, highlighting gold's significance in the current market [5] Market Dynamics - Bitcoin's market cap is significantly smaller than gold's $36 trillion, suggesting potential for growth if liquidity conditions improve [6] - The current market conditions are reminiscent of historical currency weakening prior to coordinated interventions [3]

ADP reported that US private payrolls rose an average of 7,750 per week in the four weeks ending January 3, the smallest weekly increase in six weeks.The risk of another partial government shutdown is negative for stocks. Senate Democrats threatened to block a government funding deal over Department of Homeland Security/ICE funding after the ICE shooting of an ICU nurse in Minnesota on Saturday. There could be a partial government shutdown when the current stopgap funding measure expires this Friday.Stocks ...

Tomorrow is going to be a big day, I would assume.FOMC meeting, while the Dollar is hitting a new low since 2022.Fireworks, that's what we can expect. ...

ADP reported that US private payrolls rose an average of 7,750 per week in the four weeks ending January 3, the smallest weekly increase in six weeks.The risk of another partial government shutdown is also weighing on stocks. Senate Democrats threatened to block a government funding deal over Department of Homeland Security/ICE funding after the ICE shooting of an ICU nurse in Minnesota on Saturday. There could be a partial government shutdown when the current stopgap funding measure expires this Friday.Sto ...