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Should You Buy Newmont Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 13:51
Key Takeaways Newmont is set to report Q3 results on Oct. 23, with EPS expected to rise 56.8% year over year.Higher realized gold prices and strong Tier 1 asset performance likely boosted NEM's margins.Tier 1 asset focus supports NEM's growth outlook despite elevated production costs.Newmont Corporation (NEM) is slated to report third-quarter 2025 results after the closing bell on Oct. 23. The mining giant is expected to have benefited from higher gold prices in the quarter amid cost headwinds.The Zacks Con ...
Is AEM's Investment in Fuerte Metals a Bet on the Next Big Find?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 12:06
Key Takeaways AEM acquired 5M subscription receipts in Fuerte Metals for C$8.25M via a private placement.Agnico Eagle will hold 8.12% of Fuerte's shares non-diluted and 11.65% on a partially diluted basis.The move supports AEM's strategy of equity positions in high-potential mining opportunities.Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) recently acquired 5 million subscription receipts issued by a fully-owned subsidiary of Fuerte Metals Corporation, through a brokered private placement, for a total consideration of ...
Is Barrick's Asset Sale Spree Paving the Way for Next Growth Phase?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 12:56
Key Takeaways Barrick agreed to sell its Tongon mine and exploration assets in Cote d'Ivoire for up to $305M.The deal extends Barrick's portfolio reshaping after multiple asset sales.Proceeds will bolster its balance sheet, fund growth and enhance shareholder returns.Barrick Mining Corporation (B) recently agreed to sell its interests in the Tongon gold mine and certain of its exploration properties in Côte d’lvoire to the Atlantic Group for total consideration of up to $305 million, including a cash consid ...
Newmont's Ahafo North Gold Pour: A Launchpad for Long-Term Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-10-10 13:06
Core Insights - Newmont Corporation (NEM) has achieved its first gold pour at the Ahafo North project in Ghana, marking a significant milestone towards commercial production expected in Q4 2025 [1][8] Group 1: Project Development - The first gold pour reflects years of planning and engineering, following the completion of key developmental phases such as ore stockpiling and commissioning of processing circuits [2] - Ahafo North is expected to produce between 275,000 and 325,000 ounces of gold annually over an estimated mine life of 13 years, contributing significantly to local employment and the economy [3][8] Group 2: Economic Impact - The project has created approximately 4,500 contracted jobs and is expected to generate an additional 560 permanent and 1,000 contracted roles, enhancing Ghana's economy through royalties, taxes, and development initiatives [3] Group 3: Strategic Positioning - Ahafo North is Newmont's third investment in Ghana and is considered the best unmined gold deposit in the region, reinforcing the company's long-term growth and value creation strategy [4] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Other companies in the industry, such as Barrick Mining Corporation and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, are also advancing their growth projects, indicating a competitive environment focused on high-return investments [5][6] Group 5: Stock Performance and Valuation - Newmont's shares have increased by 128.9% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 124.3%, driven by a rally in gold prices [7] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 15.20, which is approximately 9.3% lower than the industry average [9] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 suggest a year-over-year increase of 56.3% and 3.1%, respectively, with positive trends in EPS estimates over the past 60 days [10]
Can Kinross Gold's Cash Strength Fuel Greater Shareholder Returns?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 14:10
Core Insights - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is leveraging its strong financial position and free cash flow to enhance shareholder value through dividends and share repurchases [1][2][4] Financial Performance - KGC reactivated its share buyback program in April 2025, repurchasing approximately $225 million in shares by July 30, 2025, including $170 million in the second quarter [1][8] - The company plans to return at least $650 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchases in 2025 [2][8] - KGC ended the second quarter with robust liquidity of around $2.8 billion, including cash and cash equivalents exceeding $1.1 billion [3] - Second-quarter free cash flow increased by approximately 87% year over year and 74% from the previous quarter, driven by strong gold prices and operational performance [3][8] Capital Allocation Strategy - KGC is executing a well-defined capital allocation policy, utilizing its cash generation to fund growth projects, pay down debt, and drive shareholder value [4] - The company’s two largest assets, Tasiast and Paracatu, are key contributors to cash flow generation and production [3] Market Position - KGC's shares have increased by 173% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, which rose by 120.2% [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KGC's earnings in 2025 and 2026 indicates a year-over-year rise of 110.3% and 8.1%, respectively [9] Valuation - KGC is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 16.69, which is a modest 1.4% premium to the industry average of 16.46 [10]
Can Agnico Eagle's Expanding Reserves Fuel Its Next Growth Phase?
ZACKS· 2025-09-24 13:21
Core Insights - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) is focused on mineral reserve replacement, achieving a 0.9% year-over-year increase in proven and probable gold reserves to 54.3 million ounces by the end of 2024, with inferred mineral resources rising approximately 9% to 36.2 million ounces due to successful exploration drilling [1][8] Group 1: Exploration and Development - AEM's drilling campaigns in the first half of 2025 have advanced key projects, including the East Gouldie deposit at Canadian Malartic, with plans for production start-up in the second half of 2026 [2] - At Hope Bay, drilling results at Patch 7 indicate potential for mineral resource expansion, while the Marban deposit is being developed for reserve and resource expansion following the acquisition of O3 Mining [3] - AEM is also working on a feasibility study at San Nicolas, expected to be completed in late 2025, and has initiated the development of an exploration ramp at Detour Lake [3] Group 2: Competitive Positioning - AEM's initiatives in expanding its reserve base and inferred resources position it as a growth-oriented player among major peers, with a focus on maintaining drilling pace and converting potential into formally declared reserves through 2025 [4] - In comparison, Newmont Corporation (NEM) reported a 1.3% decline in gold reserves to 134.1 million ounces, raising concerns about its growth potential [5] - Barrick Mining Corporation (B) demonstrated strong reserve growth, increasing its proven and probable gold mineral reserves by approximately 17.4 million ounces to 89 million ounces, indicating proactive exploration efforts [6] Group 3: Market Performance - AEM's shares have surged 107.6% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 117.7%, driven by record-setting gold prices [7][8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's earnings in 2025 and 2026 implies a year-over-year rise of 67.4% and 3.4%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [9] - AEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 22.38, which is approximately 37.4% higher than the industry average of 16.29 [10]
Is Newmont Stock Still a Buy After a 36% Rally in 3 Months?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 13:26
Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation's shares have surged 35.6% in the past three months, driven by rising gold prices and strong earnings performance, supported by operational efficiency and a robust Tier 1 portfolio [1][7]. Group 1: Stock Performance - NEM stock has outperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 29% rise and the S&P 500's increase of 11.4% [2]. - Among peers, Barrick Mining Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, and Kinross Gold Corporation have seen stock increases of 36%, 24.1%, and 49%, respectively [2]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - Technical indicators show bullish momentum for NEM, with the stock trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA), indicating a long-term uptrend [5]. Group 3: Growth Projects and Strategic Focus - Newmont is investing in growth projects like the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana and the Cadia Panel Caves in Australia, aimed at expanding production capacity and extending mine life [10]. - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has created a leading portfolio with a multi-decade production profile, expected to deliver significant shareholder value and synergies of $500 million annually [11]. - Newmont has divested non-core businesses, completing a divestiture program that is expected to generate $3 billion in after-tax cash proceeds in 2025 [12]. Group 4: Financial Health - Newmont has a strong liquidity position with $10.2 billion in liquidity, including $6.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and a free cash flow of $1.7 billion, up 42% from the prior quarter [13]. - The company has returned approximately $2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases and reduced debt by $1.4 billion since the beginning of 2025 [13]. Group 5: Gold Price Dynamics - Gold prices have surged 40% this year, driven by geopolitical tensions and central bank purchases, with prices exceeding $3,600 per ton for the first time [16]. - Newmont stands to benefit from the strength in gold prices, which is expected to enhance profitability and cash flow generation [14]. Group 6: Cost Challenges - Newmont faces challenges from rising production costs, with costs applicable to sales and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) increasing by around 6% and 2% year over year, respectively [18]. - The company anticipates AISC for its total portfolio to rise to $1,630 per ounce in 2025, up from $1,516 per ounce in 2024 [19]. Group 7: Earnings Estimates - Newmont's earnings estimates for 2025 have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $5.30, indicating a year-over-year growth of 52.3% [20]. Group 8: Valuation - Newmont is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 14.88X, which is a discount compared to the industry's average of 15.59X [21]. Group 9: Investment Outlook - Newmont presents an attractive investment case with a robust portfolio of growth projects and solid financial health, although higher production costs may impact margins [24].
Does Kinross Gold's 49% Surge in 3 Months Justify Buying it Now?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 13:21
Core Viewpoint - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) has experienced a significant stock price increase of 49% over the past three months, outperforming both the Zacks Mining – Gold industry and the S&P 500, driven by rising gold prices and favorable market conditions [1][7]. Group 1: Stock Performance - KGC's stock has outperformed its peers, with Barrick Mining Corporation, Newmont Corporation, and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited gaining 36%, 35.6%, and 24.1%, respectively, during the same period [2]. - Technical indicators show KGC trading above its 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [5]. Group 2: Development Projects - Key projects such as Great Bear in Ontario and Round Mountain Phase X in Nevada are expected to enhance KGC's production and cash flow [10]. - The Tasiast and Paracatu assets are crucial for cash flow generation, with Tasiast achieving record production and cash flow in 2024 [11]. Group 3: Financial Health - KGC reported robust liquidity of approximately $2.8 billion, including over $1.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and a significant increase in free cash flow of about 87% year-over-year [12]. - The company repaid $800 million of debt in 2024, improving its net debt position to around $100 million by the end of the second quarter of 2025 [13]. Group 4: Gold Price Dynamics - Gold prices have surged by 40% this year, driven by trade tensions and expectations of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut, with prices exceeding $3,600 per ton [15][16]. - Central banks are increasing gold reserves, contributing to sustained demand and price support [16]. Group 5: Cost Pressures - KGC experienced a 4% year-over-year increase in production costs per ounce, with all-in-sustaining costs rising nearly 8% to $1,493 per gold equivalent ounce sold [18]. - The company anticipates continued cost pressures through 2025, with expected AISC reaching $1,500 per gold equivalent ounce [19]. Group 6: Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for KGC, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings projected at $1.38, indicating a year-over-year growth of 102.9% [20]. - KGC is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 16.25X, which is a premium compared to the industry average [21]. Group 7: Investment Outlook - KGC's strong project pipeline and financial health, along with rising earnings estimates, present a positive outlook, although higher production costs and stretched valuations may warrant caution for new investors [24].
Harmony Gold Stock Trading Cheaper Than Industry: Buy, Sell or Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-09-15 12:26
Valuation and Performance - Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 6.09X, which represents a discount of approximately 60.9% compared to the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's average of 15.59X [1][5] - HMY's shares have increased by 82.8% this year, although this is lower than the industry's rise of 101.6% and the S&P 500's increase of 12.7% [2] Growth Projects - HMY is focused on key projects such as Wafi-Golpu and Eva Copper, which are expected to enhance its gold and copper production capabilities [5][11] - The Wafi-Golpu project has an estimated gold reserve of 13 million ounces and is currently in negotiations for a Mining Development Contract [13] - The Eva Copper project is expected to produce 55,000-60,000 tons of copper annually, with first production anticipated in 2028 [14] Gold Price Dynamics - Gold prices have surged by 39% this year, driven by factors such as aggressive trade policies, central bank purchases, and geopolitical tensions [15][16] - For fiscal 2025, HMY recorded a 31% increase in average gold prices received, reaching $2,620 per ounce, which is expected to enhance profitability [17] Financial Health - HMY has a strong balance sheet, with net cash increasing by approximately 295% to $628 million in fiscal 2025 [18] - The company ended the fiscal year with liquidity of $1,179 million and offers a dividend yield of 1.3% [18] Cost Challenges - HMY experienced a 20% increase in all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) to $1,806 per ounce in fiscal 2025, driven by higher labor and electricity costs [19][20] - The company anticipates continued cost pressures, particularly from electricity and labor, which are significant components of its cost structure [20] Production Issues - HMY's gold production for fiscal 2025 fell by 5% to around 1.48 million ounces, impacted by adverse weather and safety-related stoppages [22] - Production guidance for fiscal 2026 indicates continued challenges, with expected output of 1.4-1.5 million ounces [22][23] Earnings Outlook - Earnings estimates for HMY for fiscal 2026 have been revised downward over the past 60 days, indicating potential challenges ahead [23]
Barrick Unlocks Value From Hemlo Sale: Will It Support Capital Plans?
ZACKS· 2025-09-15 12:21
Core Insights - Barrick Mining Corporation has agreed to sell its Hemlo Gold Mine in Canada to Carcetti Capital Corp for gross proceeds of up to $1.09 billion, including $875 million in cash [1][9] - The divestment is expected to conclude within the fourth quarter of 2025 and aims to strengthen Barrick's balance sheet and return capital to shareholders [1][4] Company Operations - Hemlo has been operated by Barrick for over three decades, producing more than 21 million ounces of gold, with 143,000 ounces produced last year [2] - This sale marks Barrick's exit from its last operating mine in Canada, a significant region for the company, which plans to pursue new opportunities through early-stage projects and exploration targets in the country [2] Strategic Focus - Barrick has divested several non-core assets to concentrate on Tier 1 assets, including the sale of its 50% interest in the Donlin Gold Project in June 2025 and the Alturas Project in Chile, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025 [3] - Combined with the sales of Donlin and Alturas, Barrick anticipates generating over $2 billion from non-core asset divestments this year, supporting its capital allocation strategy [4] Industry Context - Among Barrick's peers, Newmont Corporation completed its non-core divestiture program in April 2025, expecting to generate $3 billion in after-tax cash proceeds from its divestiture program [5] - Kinross Gold Corporation also streamlined its portfolio through the sale of its Russian assets and other operations, resulting in a strong production profile anchored by its major assets [6] Financial Performance - Barrick's shares have gained 87.3% year to date, compared to a 101.6% rise in the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, driven by a rally in gold prices [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Barrick's earnings in 2025 and 2026 implies year-over-year increases of 56.4% and 21.8%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [10] Valuation Metrics - Barrick is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.81, which is approximately 17.8% lower than the industry average of 15.59 [11]