June 16, 2025 02:38 PM GMT Cross-Asset Spotlight | Global M Update Signals, Flows & Key Data Erika.Singh-Cundy@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-0960 A weekly summary of key cross-asset monitors, data, moves, and models tracking sentiment, fund flows, and positioning. Key highlights from last week: Exhibit 1: Morgan Stanley forecasts Bear Base Bull Bear Base Bull Equities S&P 500 5,977 4,900 6,500 7,200 -16.7% 10.0% 21.7% 19% 0.54 MSCI Europe 2,169 1,610 2,250 2,620 -22.6% 6.9% 24.0% 16% 0.44 Topix 2,756 2,100 ...

市场洞察 - 重点报道 --- Market Insights - Marquee Market Insights | Markets | Equities 市场洞察 | 市场 | 股票 Eq Positioning and Key Levels 股票头⼨及关键⽔平 Please see below for a consolidated recap of the various GS positioning metrics. 请⻅下⽅⾼盛各类仓位指标的综合回顾。 Summary: 摘要： long $78bn (66 %tile). Estimates over the next week and month are insignicant, with a skew to the downside (link). 1. CTA Corner: Last week, CTAs bought $3.5bn of equities globally, bringing positioning to t h CTA ⻆：上周，CTA 在全球买⼊了 35 亿美元的股票，使持仓达到多头 780 亿美元（处于第 66 百分 ...

Next 12 Months Outlook: Our High-Conviction Calls Skewed to the Downside: The broad imposition of tariffs by the US is a structural shock to the global trading order. The tariffs themselves and the associated uncertainty will weigh notably on growth, but given the strong starting point coming into the year, we do not expect a global recession. Although the recent US inflation data did not show notable effects from inflation, we do not change our view that goods inflation will step up, and expect quarterly i ...

以下文章来源于中金研究院 ，作者CGI 中金研究院 . 中金研究院 (CICC Global Institute，缩写 CGI)作为中金公司一级部门，定位为新时代、新形势下的新型 智库，服务于中国公共政策研究与决策，参与国际政策讨论和交流，并为中国金融市场尤其是资本市场 发展建言献策。 乡村，是理解当代中国经济与社会发展的原点。 五年来，中金研究院跨越全国21省58县149个乡镇，走进300多个村庄，用脚步丈量土地，用纸笔 记录变迁。 数字化对乡村影响大，但谈不上结构性变化。它主要体现在产业数字化，销售渠道改变；还有数字治理，通过 村民群等方式实现治理，未来村庄概念变得模糊。另外，数字化生活渗透强，像抖音、快手等平台，农民尤其 是老年农民是主要用户，乡村风俗等内容成为他们精神生活和文化意义的重要源头。 Q 乡愁过去是少数人的专属，现在随着城市化推进，乡愁又有什么新变化和意义？ 现在乡愁扩大到全社会，十四亿人都有乡愁。过去是精英有乡愁，现在大多数人离开家乡后都有乡愁。通过数 字平台等，乡愁可能成为精神依托，对维持乡村秩序、社会稳定很重要，是深层文化基础和价值理念。 今年在研究基础上，中金研究院推出 《田野对谈》 ...

Core Viewpoint - Univest Securities, LLC announced the closing of a public offering of approximately $8 million for Chanson International Holding, a provider of bakery, seasonal, and beverage products in China and the United States [1][3]. Group 1: Offering Details - The offering consisted of 16,000,000 units priced at $0.50 per unit, each unit comprising one Class A ordinary share or a pre-funded warrant, along with Series A and Series B warrants [2]. - Each Series A and Series B warrant has an exercise price of $0.525 per Class A ordinary share and is exercisable starting from the issuance date until two and a half years after [2]. Group 2: Use of Proceeds - The net proceeds from the offering will be used to open new stores in China and the U.S., with allocation based on market conditions [3]. Group 3: Company Overview - Chanson International Holding, founded in 2009, operates 63 stores in China and 3 in New York City, offering packaged bakery products, made-in-store pastries, and beverages [7]. - The company focuses on creating healthy, nutritious, and ready-to-eat food through advanced facilities and aims to provide a comfortable store environment for customers [7].

June 13, 2025 01:51 AM GMT Asia EM Equity Strategy | Asia Pacific Morgan Stanley Asia (Singapore) Pte.+ M Update Garner Alpha Bites (113): Asia vulnerability to oil price spike Brent oil is up US$5 this morning to US$75 per barrel after Israel confirmed it had launched strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. Israel and Iraq have closed their airspaces. This comes at a time when markets had been trading close to our target prices. Our investment recommendations from our most recent note: Asia EM Equity Strateg ...

13 June 2025 | 12:47PM EDT Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Isabella Rosenberg +1(212)357-7628 | isabella.rosenberg@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC c45a43530f604d12bcb9a82b5aa6b9f6 n Flows into mutual funds and related investment products showed net outflows from equities and robust inflows into bonds. n Net flows int ...

13 June 2025 | 7:27PM BST Global Rates Trader Inflation Offers Relief, Oil Offers Risks Inflation relief for global bond markets was short-lived as geopolitical tensions saw oil prices move sharply higher into the weekend. Even with some improvement in the underlying growth versus inflation trade-off and signs of duration risk appetite finding better footing, the macro impediments to a sharp move lower in US yields remain largely in place. Heading into the June FOMC decision, we continue to think any sustai ...

以下文章来源于中金公司CICC ，作者中金公司 中金公司CICC . 中国国际金融股份有限公司（中金公司）成立于1995年，致力于为多元化的客户群体提供高质量金融增值服务，建立了以研究和信息技术为基础，投资银 行、股票业务、固定收益、资产管理、私募股权和财富管理全方位发展的均衡业务结构。 6月11日至13日，中金公司2025年中期投资策略会在上海成功举办。本次会议以"韧性与重构"为主题，来自政府机构、行业、学界的嘉宾和近500家上 市公司高管汇聚一堂，通过总量主题日的全体大会和之后两天的10场主题分会，围绕市场关注的中国经济与全球资产展望、地缘经济、AI大模型、具 身智能、新消费、高端制造等核心主题进行了前瞻讨论。活动现场，中金研究重磅专题《具身智能：AI下一站》《未来脉动：全球经济的国别视角》 《感受"带路"矿业的心跳》获得参会嘉宾的积极反馈，本次会议共吸引近4000人报名参会。 中金公司首席经济学家、研究部负责人、中金研究院院长彭文生，研究部执行负责人、首席策略分析师缪延亮，首席宏观分析师张文朗，美国宏观首席经济 学家刘政宁，国内策略首席分析师李求索，海外策略首席分析师刘刚发表主题演讲，展望2025年下半 ...

第 394 期 2025-06-13 央行发布2025年5月金融统计数据报告、5月社会融资规模存量和增量统计数据报告。 数据显示，5月末，广义货币(M2)余额325.78万亿元，同比增长7.9%。狭义货币(M1)余额108.91万亿元，同 比增长2.3%。前五个月人民币贷款增加10.68万亿元。前五个月人民币存款增加14.73万亿元。 初步统计，2025年5月末社会融资规模存量为426.16万亿元，同比增长8.7％。其中，企业债券余额为32.91 万亿元，同比增长3.4%；政府债券余额为87.39万亿元，同比增长20.9％。 2025年前五个月社会融资规模增量累计为18.63万亿元，比上年同期多3.83万亿元。其中，企业债券净融资 9087亿元，同比少2884亿元；政府债券净融资6.31万亿元，同比多3.81万亿元。 宏观动态 北交所宣布！暂免收取债券交易相关费用 北交所发布通知，为进一步激发市场活力，持续降低市场成本，提升服务实体经济质效，北京证券交易所 决定继续暂免收取债券交易相关费用。 其中，北交所发布的《关于发布的公告》（北证公告〔2023〕82 号，）有关暂免收取债券现券（不含可转换公司债券）交易经 ...