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What Went Wrong With SAP Stock?
Forbes· 2026-01-30 14:20
Core Viewpoint - SAP's stock experienced a significant decline of 15% on January 29, attributed primarily to lower-than-expected cloud backlog growth of 16% in Q4, compared to analyst expectations of 26% [2][4]. Financial Performance - Q4 revenue reached €9.7 billion, an increase from €9.4 billion year-over-year, while operating profit surged to €2.6 billion from €2 billion [3]. - Full-year 2025 cloud revenue increased by 26% on a constant currency basis to €21.02 billion, with Cloud ERP Suite revenue rising by 32% to €18.12 billion [3]. - Non-IFRS operating profit grew by 28% to €10.42 billion, and free cash flow nearly doubled, increasing by 95% to €8.24 billion [3][9]. Backlog and Growth Concerns - The current cloud backlog stands at €21.1 billion ($25.3 billion), growing at 16%, which raises concerns about future revenue conversion [4][5]. - Total cloud backlog reached €77.29 billion, up 30%, but the slower growth in backlog has led to doubts about SAP's growth narrative [5]. - CEO Christian Klein indicated that the backlog growth is expected to "slightly decelerate" in 2026, with cloud revenue growth projected between 23-25% [6]. Market Reaction and Valuation - SAP's stock is trading at levels not seen since mid-2024, with a current price of $200, reflecting a 27 times trailing adjusted earnings multiple, lower than its historical average of 35 times [10][11]. - Despite the apparent undervaluation, the market remains skeptical, as a €10 billion share repurchase program initiated in February 2026 is viewed as insufficient to address the underlying growth concerns [12]. Competitive Landscape - SAP competes with major players like Oracle, Salesforce, Microsoft, and Workday, with its primary strength in Cloud ERP [13]. - The 32% increase in Cloud ERP Suite revenue indicates a strong product-market fit, but hesitance from large enterprises to commit may signal broader industry challenges [13]. Investment Dilemma - The recent decline raises questions about whether this represents a buying opportunity or a broken narrative, as the fundamentals remain solid but growth expectations have been reset [14][16]. - Investors must weigh the potential for robust growth in SAP's cloud transition against concerns about economic uncertainties and AI capabilities impacting cloud adoption [15][16].
ServiceNow's multiple is being compressed, says Jim Cramer
Youtube· 2026-01-30 00:56
Core Viewpoint - The price-to-earnings multiple (referred to as "M") is crucial in determining stock prices and investor sentiment, particularly in the enterprise software sector, which is currently facing significant challenges due to concerns over AI replacing human employees [1][2][3]. Company Analysis - Service Now is highlighted as a strong company with a respected CEO, known for its ability to automate and digitize business processes, thereby improving efficiency [4][5]. - Despite Service Now's strong earnings and growth, its stock has declined over 50% in the past year, with a notable drop in its price-to-earnings multiple from 65 times forward earnings at the end of 2024 to just under 28 times earnings currently [6][8]. - The market is skeptical about Service Now's future profitability, believing that AI advancements will lead to reduced demand for user-based pricing, which poses an existential threat to the company [7][10]. Industry Context - The enterprise software industry, particularly companies like Service Now and Salesforce, is experiencing multiple compression, indicating that even with strong earnings, investor confidence is waning [10][12]. - The market's perception of growth potential is critical, as it currently views these companies as no longer being growth names despite their ongoing strong performance [11][12]. - There is an expectation that the price-to-earnings multiple may continue to shrink before it stabilizes, suggesting a potential buying opportunity in the future once the bottom is reached [13].
Workday Shares Slide Nearly 10%
RTTNews· 2026-01-29 16:30
Workday, Inc. (WDAY) fell sharply on Thursday, dropping 9.42 percent, or $17.81, with shares trading at $171.31.The decline comes possibly due to broader pressure on enterprise software stock executive news in the sector, including Workiva's appointment of a former Workday executives Scott Herren and Mark Peek to its board.The stock opened at $178.73 after closing at $189.12 in the prior session on the Nasdaq. During the day, shares traded between $169.01 and $179.99. The bid was $162.64, while the ask sto ...
SAP Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-29 08:03
Core Insights - SAP achieved its best bookings result in Q4, with lower churn and stable discounting, indicating a successful quarter amidst ongoing transformation efforts [1][3] - The company met its 2025 outlook for cloud and software despite challenges in the first half of the year, attributing strong performance to cost discipline and AI integration [2][3] Financial Performance - Cloud revenue increased by 26%, with the Cloud ERP Suite growing by 32%, contributing to a full-year non-IFRS operating profit of €10.4 billion [4][16] - Total cloud backlog reached a record €77 billion, up 30%, while current cloud backlog grew by 25%, reflecting a shift towards larger public-sector deals [5][16] - Free cash flow for 2025 was approximately €8.2 billion, with a new €10 billion share repurchase program announced [15][17] AI and Product Strategy - AI is driving significant deal momentum, with over two-thirds of Q4 cloud orders including Business AI, and 90% of the largest deals incorporating AI or SAP Business Data Cloud [6][11] - The Business Data Cloud generated over €2 billion in order entry since its launch, emphasizing its strategic importance for integrating SAP and non-SAP data [9] - SAP's product strategy focuses on a unified platform for business transformation, enhancing user experience and embedding AI into core workflows [10][12] Market Position and Growth - The mid-market segment is now the fastest-growing area for SAP, with several thousand new customers acquired in recent years [7] - SAP's public cloud business grew five times faster than its private cloud business in 2025, indicating strong market demand [7] - The company expects to accelerate total revenue growth and achieve record free cash flow of approximately €10 billion in 2026 [17] Geopolitical and Market Considerations - SAP's performance in the U.S. public sector remained strong, with customers focusing on regulatory compliance rather than vendor origin [18] - Management acknowledged the impact of geopolitical tensions on deal closures but remains optimistic about future growth [2][18]
SAP(SAP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-29 07:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total cloud backlog reached EUR 77 billion, up 30% year-on-year, indicating strong underlying business momentum [6][25] - Cloud revenue grew by 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of the Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [27] - Total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - More than two-thirds of Q4 cloud order entry included business AI, which increased by over 20 percentage points compared to Q3 [5] - The Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue for the year, reinforcing its position as a key growth engine [27] - Software licenses revenue decreased by 27%, contrasting with the growth in cloud revenue [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Brazil, France, Germany, India, Italy, South Korea, and Spain showed outstanding performances in cloud revenue, while China, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the UK, and the US were particularly strong [28] - The company outperformed the cloud market by 10 percentage points in 2025 [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging AI to enhance business resilience and productivity, with a clear strategy to embed AI into business processes [4][5] - The RISE and GROW with SAP initiatives remain core pillars of the transformation strategy, targeting large-scale enterprises and mid-sized companies [24] - The company aims to achieve a run rate of around EUR 2 billion in real cost efficiencies by the end of 2028 through internal AI usage [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged geopolitical uncertainty and macroeconomic volatility as challenges but expressed confidence in the company's ability to drive growth through AI and cloud solutions [4][24] - The outlook for 2026 anticipates a moderation in CCB growth but expects total revenue growth to accelerate, supported by a strong foundation [32] Other Important Information - The company plans to initiate a new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion, reflecting confidence in sustainable business strengths [31] - Non-IFRS basic earnings per share increased by 36% to EUR 6.15 for the fiscal year 2025 [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about CCB growth and pipeline for Q1 - Management noted that the 25% CCB growth was impacted by a higher share of large deals with longer ramp periods and some deals with cancellation clauses, but bookings performance was ahead of plan [40][41] Question: AI-driven cost savings and R&D focus - The company plans to achieve EUR 2 billion in savings through business growth without a restructuring plan, focusing on scaling the business with AI [47][49] Question: Customer adoption of AI offerings - Approximately 60% of existing cloud customers are actively using the AI offerings, with a significant increase in adoption of the AI copilot tool [57] Question: TCB growth dynamics and BDC contribution - Management acknowledged a steep deceleration in TCB growth but emphasized the strong pipeline and expected contributions from the Business Data Cloud in 2026 [74]
SAP(SAP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-01-29 06:00
Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results Christian Klein, CEO Dominik Asam, CFO January 29, 2026 Public Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results Presentation | January 29, 2026 Safe Harbor Statement During this presentation we will make forward-looking statements which are predictions, projections, or other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations, forecasts, and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and outcomes t ...
SAP SE Non-GAAP EPS of €1.62 beats by €0.11, revenue of €9.68B misses by €80M; initiates o
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-29 05:24
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SAP Quarterly Statement Q4 2025
Prnewswire· 2026-01-29 05:00
Core Insights - SAP SE reported strong financial results for Q4 and FY2025, highlighting significant growth in cloud services and overall revenue [1][5][17] Financial Performance - Q4 2025 total revenue increased by 3% to €9.68 billion, with a 9% increase at constant currencies [4][11] - Full year 2025 total revenue rose by 8% to €36.80 billion, with an 11% increase at constant currencies [7][17] - Cloud revenue for Q4 grew by 19% to €5.61 billion, and for the full year, it increased by 23% to €21.02 billion [11][17] - The Cloud ERP Suite revenue in Q4 was up 23% to €4.86 billion, and for the full year, it rose by 28% to €18.12 billion [11][17] - Operating profit for Q4 increased by 27% to €2.55 billion, while for the full year, it surged by 111% to €9.83 billion [13][18] - Free cash flow for Q4 was €1.03 billion, a significant recovery from a loss in the previous year, and for the full year, it increased by 95% to €8.24 billion [15][20] Cloud Backlog and Growth - Total cloud backlog reached €77.29 billion, up 22% year-over-year, and 30% at constant currencies [5][32] - Current cloud backlog grew by 16% to €21.05 billion in Q4, with a 25% increase at constant currencies [10][32] Shareholder Returns - SAP announced a new share repurchase program of up to €10 billion, set to begin in February 2026 [23][24] Customer Engagement and Market Position - SAP's "RISE with SAP" initiative continues to attract global customers, driving significant business transformations [25][26] - The company reported strong cloud revenue performance across various regions, particularly in APJ and EMEA [28][29] Non-Financial Performance - Customer NPS decreased by 3 points to 9, primarily due to lower scores from on-premise customers [21] - Employee Engagement Index increased to 76%, and total carbon emissions decreased to 6.3 Mt [22]
ServiceNow(NOW) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-01-28 22:00
© 2025 ServiceNow, Inc. All Rights Reserved. © 202 6 ServiceNow, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Investor Presentation Fourth Quarter 2025 Safe Harbor and other information This presentation contains "forward ‐looking" statements that are based on our management's beliefs and assumptions and on inf ormation currently available to management. Forward ‐looking statements include information concerning our possible or assumed strategy, future operations, financing plans, operating mod el, financial position, future ...
ServiceNow reports better-than-expected fourth-quarter results
CNBC· 2026-01-28 21:18
Core Insights - ServiceNow exceeded Wall Street's fourth-quarter estimates, reporting a revenue growth of 20.5% to $2.96 billion, with net income rising to $401 million or 38 cents per share, compared to $384 million or 37 cents per share a year ago [1] - Despite strong performance, shares fell over 3% following the earnings announcement [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share were reported at 92 cents, surpassing the expected 88 cents, while revenue reached $3.57 billion, exceeding the forecast of $3.53 billion [4] Future Outlook - The company forecasts subscription revenues between $3.65 billion and $3.66 billion for the first quarter and between $15.53 billion and $15.57 billion for the fiscal year 2026 [2] Strategic Moves - ServiceNow's acquisition of Moveworks is expected to contribute 100 basis points to both full-year and first-quarter subscription revenue growth, as well as to current remaining performance obligations growth [3] Shareholder Returns - The board approved a $5 billion share buyback program, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [2]