Market Overview - U.S. stock markets experienced a modest rebound on November 19, 2025, with major indexes closing higher, breaking a multi-day losing streak as investors awaited Nvidia's earnings report [1] - The S&P 500 rose 0.4%, the Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.6%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.1%, halting their respective losing streaks [2] Economic Indicators - The yield on the 10-year Treasury note increased to 4.13% from approximately 4.11% [3] - The U.S. dollar index rose by 0.7% to 100.19 [3] - WTI crude futures declined over 2% to settle at $59.50 per barrel, while gold futures advanced 0.2% to $4,075 per ounce [3] Key Company News - Nvidia (NVDA) shares climbed by as much as 3.2% ahead of its fiscal third-quarter earnings report, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.25 per share on revenue of $54.9 billion [5] - Alphabet (GOOGL) saw a 3% increase in shares, reaching an all-time intraday high following the announcement of its AI model, Gemini 3 [5] - Lowe's (LOW) shares rose 4% after reporting stronger-than-expected third-quarter profits and raising its full-year sales projection [5] - Target (TGT) shares fell 2.7% after reporting disappointing sales figures and lowering its full-year profit forecast [5] - Walmart (WMT) shares were down nearly 1% as investors awaited its earnings report [5] - Constellation Energy (CEG) rallied 5% after receiving a $1 billion loan from the U.S. Department of Energy [5] - Medtronic plc (MDT) jumped 4.7% after surpassing earnings estimates [5] - Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) surged 8.5% on strong earnings, while Magic Software Enterprises Ltd. (MGIC) fell 4.4% after missing expectations [5] Upcoming Events - Nvidia's fiscal 2026 third-quarter earnings report is expected to be a major market mover, influencing sentiment across technology and AI sectors [6] - The September jobs report, delayed due to a government shutdown, is set to be released on November 20, providing insights into the labor market [10] - Walmart's earnings report is anticipated to offer further indications of consumer spending and retail sector health [10] - Preliminary PMI data for November will be released on November 21, providing clues on global economic growth and business confidence [10]

CONCLUDED Stock Futures Climb After Nvidia Earnings Last Updated: 2 hours ago S&P 500 Kicks Higher at Finish. Now It's Nvidia Time. By Karishma Vanjani The U.S. stock market took off in the final minutes of regular trading, before Nvidia shared its quarterly earnings, a report that will vibe check the optimism on artificial intelligence. The S&P 500 closed 0.4% higher, breaking a four-day streak of losses. Dow gained 0.1%. Nasdaq led the pack, rising 0.6%. Much of this afternoon, the S&P 500 did basically n ...

Core Viewpoint - Lowe's CEO anticipates an increase in home renovations as homeowners are hesitant to purchase new homes due to high mortgage rates, which has positively impacted the company's stock performance [1]. Company Performance - Lowe's stock rose nearly 6% following the CEO's optimistic outlook on home renovations [1]. - The company reported better-than-expected results in the third quarter, raising its full-year sales outlook [3]. - Despite a small increase in same-store sales of 0.4%, which was below the expected 1.02%, Wall Street remains optimistic about Lowe's performance [4]. Market Conditions - Homeowners are likely to utilize home equity lines of credit (HELOC) for larger home improvement projects, driven by their reluctance to give up low mortgage rates [2]. - The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate is currently at 6.24%, reflecting a slight increase [2]. - The average age of homes in the U.S. is approximately 44 years, indicating a growing need for renovations [2]. Competitive Position - Lowe's has achieved double-digit growth in its home installation business, including kitchens, bathrooms, and HVAC systems [5]. - The company is gaining market share, which is contributing to its success despite a lack of overall market recovery [6]. - Analysts believe Lowe's profitability will improve, and its margin gap with Home Depot is expected to narrow as it gains traction with professional customers [6].

Core Insights - The third-quarter earnings season is concluding, with significant attention on Nvidia and mixed results from major home improvement retailers Home Depot and Lowe's amid softer demand [1][2]. Home Improvement Sector - Home Depot reported fiscal third-quarter results that fell short of analyst expectations, with adjusted earnings per share at $3.74, missing the expected $3.81 by 1.84% and declining from $3.78 in the prior year [4][3]. - Home Depot's sales reached $41.4 billion, a 2.8% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.88%, with approximately $900 million from a recent acquisition [5]. - Comparable sales growth for Home Depot was only 0.2%, significantly below the projected 2.1%, with customer transactions down 1.4% from the previous quarter [6]. - The company lowered its full-year 2025 adjusted earnings forecast due to ongoing consumer uncertainty and weaker housing turnover, leading to a 7% drop in its stock value [7]. Lowe's Performance - Lowe's reported fiscal third-quarter results that exceeded profitability expectations, with total sales of $20.8 billion, up 3.2% year-over-year, aligning closely with estimates [9]. - Adjusted earnings per share for Lowe's reached $3.06, surpassing the anticipated $2.97 by 3% and reflecting a 5.9% increase from the prior year [10]. - Comparable sales for Lowe's rose 0.4% for the second consecutive quarter, supported by an 11.4% increase in online sales and strength in professional categories [10]. - Lowe's stock increased by over 5% in early trading, indicating a better positioning for gradual recovery compared to competitors [11]. Retail Sector Challenges - Target reported a 1.5% year-over-year sales decline to $25.3 billion, missing estimates, with comparable sales down 2.7% [13]. - Target's earnings of $1.78 per share were slightly above estimates, but the bottom line declined 3.8% from the previous year, reflecting cautious consumer spending [14]. - Walmart is set to report its fiscal third-quarter earnings, with projections of a 5.2% increase in earnings per share to $0.61 and revenue expected to reach $177.14 billion, up 4.5% year-over-year [16].

Core Insights - Homeowners are avoiding large renovations, but there is a trend towards smaller home improvement projects, which is seen as a positive indicator for 2026 [1][2] - Lowe's reported third-quarter results that surpassed analysts' expectations, although the profit guidance for 2025 was lower than anticipated [3] Consumer Behavior - Many homeowners are delaying expensive renovations due to affordability concerns and economic uncertainty, particularly regarding larger discretionary purchases [3] - High interest rates have made home renovations less appealing, especially for those needing loans [3][4] Market Conditions - Despite rising home prices providing borrowing opportunities, homeowners are waiting for lower interest or mortgage rates before committing to larger purchases [4] - There is potential for homeowners to access between $11 billion to $13 billion in equity for borrowing when interest rates decrease [4] Company Outlook - Lowe's executives express cautious optimism about future conditions as they anticipate potential near-term rate reductions could serve as an additional stimulus for consumer spending [5]

Group 1 - Nvidia shares increased ahead of its earnings report, which is considered a significant event for the earnings season [1] - Lowe's stock surged after reporting better-than-expected quarterly profits, indicating strong performance in the home improvement sector [2] - Alphabet's shares continued to rise following Berkshire Hathaway's investment, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the tech giant [2] Group 2 - Eversource Energy's shares fell after a regulatory block on its $2.4 billion sale of Aquarion Water, highlighting challenges in the utility sector [3] - Plug Power's stock declined after announcing a $375 million convertible notes sale, indicating potential dilution concerns among investors [3] - Energy sector stocks, including Valero Energy and APA, dropped as crude oil prices fell due to oversupply worries [3] Group 3 - Gold futures rose, while the yield on the 10-year Treasury note decreased, suggesting a shift in investor sentiment towards safe-haven assets [4] - The U.S. dollar strengthened against major currencies, indicating a potential shift in currency market dynamics [4]

Market Overview - Pre-market futures show slight increases, with the Dow up 73 points (+0.16%), S&P 500 up 16 points (+0.24%), Nasdaq up 77 points (+0.31%), and Russell 2000 up 8 points (+0.37%) [1] Trade Data - The U.S. trade deficit for August is reported at -$59.6 billion, better than the expected -$61.0 billion and improved from the previous month's -$78.2 billion [3] - Imports fell while exports remained sluggish, indicating a weaker trade narrative despite the improved deficit figures [4] Earnings Reports - Target (TGT) shares fell -3.4% after Q3 earnings of $1.78 per share beat consensus by 2 cents, but revenues of $25.27 billion missed expectations by -0.36% and were lower than the previous year's $25.67 billion [5] - Lowe's (LOW) shares rose +5.9% following a positive earnings beat of $3.06 per share, with revenues of $20.81 billion meeting estimates and outperforming Home Depot on year-over-year comparisons [6] - The TJX Companies (TJX) reported earnings of $1.28 per share, surpassing estimates of $1.22, with sales of $15.12 billion exceeding the $14.88 billion consensus [7] NVIDIA Performance - NVIDIA (NVDA) is expected to report extraordinary earnings growth of +53.1% and revenue growth of +55.85% for Q3, with a market cap of $4.4 trillion [8] - Pre-market futures for NVIDIA are up +1.6%, contributing to a +35% stock value gain since the start of the year, and shares have increased over +1500% since October 2022 [9]

Market Overview - U.S. stock markets are experiencing cautious optimism with major indexes attempting to rebound from a recent losing streak, particularly in technology and growth stocks [1][2] - The S&P 500 is up between 0.5% and 0.7%, trading around 6,650 to 6,636.30, while the Nasdaq Composite is showing stronger gains, up between 0.4% and 1.5%, trading around 22,615 to 22,602.62 [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average is posting modest gains, up approximately 0.08% to 0.2%, hovering near 46,127 to 46,091.74 [2] Corporate Earnings and Stock Movements - Lowe's shares jumped more than 5% after reporting stronger-than-expected third-quarter profits and raising its full-year guidance [7] - Target's shares slid between 1.9% and over 2% following a sharp drop in third-quarter profit and a warning of continued sales downturn [7] - Adobe announced an agreement to acquire Semrush Holdings, Inc. in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1.9 billion [11] - Medtronic's shares rose 4.7% after reporting second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings that beat consensus estimates [11] - Magic Software Enterprises Ltd. experienced a 4.4% drop in shares after missing analyst expectations for third-quarter earnings [11] - Constellation Energy surged 3.4% following a $1 billion loan announcement from the U.S. Department of Energy [11] - Plug Power plunged 20.6% after announcing a $375 million convertible notes offering [11] Upcoming Market Events - Nvidia's third-quarter earnings report is highly anticipated and expected to be a critical test for the broader AI-driven market rally [4][8] - A delayed U.S. jobs report for September is scheduled for release, which could influence future Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions [5] - The week of November 24-30 will bring significant macroeconomic data, including the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index and the second estimate of U.S. GDP [6]

Core Insights - Lowe's reported better-than-expected profits, leading to a surge in its stock price, contrasting with rival Home Depot's disappointing earnings [1][2][7] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Lowe's in Q3 were $3.06, an increase from $2.89 year-over-year, exceeding analyst expectations [2] - Revenue for the quarter was approximately $20.81 billion, aligning with estimates, while comparable sales growth was slower than anticipated at 0.4% [2][5] Sales Drivers - The increase in profits was attributed to a rise in online sales and sales to professional contractors, alongside double-digit growth in "home services" [3] - CEO Marvin Ellison noted that the current quarter has started positively with comparable sales growth, which is significant given last year's strong sales due to hurricane-related demand [4][7] Future Outlook - Lowe's raised its full-year revenue forecast to $86 billion, up from a previous range of $84.5 billion to $85.5 billion, surpassing analyst consensus [5] - The company anticipates adjusted EPS at the lower end of its previous range, now projected at $12.25, citing ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty [5] - Comparable sales are now expected to be roughly flat, compared to the previous guidance of flat to 1% growth [5] Market Context - The results from Lowe's and Home Depot may indicate broader trends in the U.S. housing market and demand for home improvement supplies and services [4] - Analysts from JPMorgan highlighted the contrast between Lowe's positive outlook and Home Depot's cautious stance regarding current demand [8]

Market Overview - Major stock indexes mostly rose, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 advancing 0.4% and 0.2% respectively, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.3% [2] - The S&P 500 was on pace to snap a four-session losing streak [1][16] - Investors are focused on Nvidia's upcoming quarterly results, which could have significant implications for the AI trade and the broader market [2][11] Nvidia and AI Sector - Nvidia's shares have fallen nearly 5% this week and are down more than 12% from their closing high on October 29 [2] - Concerns about AI valuations are prevalent, with 45% of fund managers surveyed by Bank of America citing an AI bubble as the biggest tail risk for the market [14] - Peter Thiel's hedge fund sold its entire stake in Nvidia during the third quarter, raising concerns among investors [23][24] Retail Sector Performance - Lowe's shares surged 5% after reporting a third-quarter profit that exceeded analysts' expectations and raising its full-year sales projection to $86 billion [4][10] - Home Depot's stock fell 6% after reporting disappointing profits and cutting its full-year outlook [4] - Target's stock declined about 1% after missing sales estimates and lowering its full-year profit forecast [5] Other Notable Companies - Microsoft shares fell 2.7% after announcing partnerships with Nvidia and Anthropic, and were down more than 1% recently [3] - Amazon's stock slipped 0.2% following a 4.4% drop due to a rating cut [5] - Alphabet's shares jumped 4% to an all-time high after announcing its latest AI model, Gemini 3 [3] Economic Indicators - Investors are awaiting the delayed September jobs report, originally scheduled for October 3, due to the U.S. government shutdown [2] - The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) is near its highest level since May, indicating increased market anxiety [12][13]